PowellVolz Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 What even is that little closed off isobar SE of Knoxville that the GFS thinks it sees? Some kind of meso low?I seen that and was wondering about that. It lines up well with that enhanced area to its NW. this might help with GOM convection . 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 Yikes….. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 21z Rap maintains. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 5 hours after it stops, snow depth isn't much less than snowfall on the RAP. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kasper Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 26 minutes ago, PowellVolz said: APB for @Stovepipe . he is currently……. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 Anyone have the GFS sleet map? It shows a strong burst of sleet on the leading edge of the precip. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 Just seen something you don’t see every day…. Going down Kingston Pk near campus and in front of me there was a guy mowing, a girl running in shorts and a salt truck treating the road. . 3 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Silas Lang Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 5 minutes ago, John1122 said: Anyone have the GFS sleet map? It shows a strong burst of sleet on the leading edge of the precip. Yeah. I was actually looking at the 3k NAM and there is almost a half inch of sleet in a lot of areas. GFS seems to think less (.20). Adding both with snow maps for reference. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 3 minutes ago, Silas Lang said: Yeah. I was actually looking at the 3k NAM and there is almost a half inch of sleet in a lot of areas. GFS seems to think less (.20). Adding both with snow maps for reference. That sleet burst, if it happens, will greatly aid in snow sticking. Even 1/4th inch would be huge. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Uncle Nasty Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 Out of curiosity does anyone remember the last decent snow in March for East TN? I’m having trouble remembering one in recent years. This is going purely off memory but I "think" on March 25th, 2009 or 2010 we received some heavy, wet snow in Chattanooga. Temps were upper 30's and it would dump heavy snow for 30 minutes, temps would crash to 33° and we would pick up a quick 1/2"-1" of heavy, wet snow. It would stop for awhile and temp would climb back to the upper 30's. Snow again and temps drop to 33. I think we ended up with 2" of sloppy wetness that didn't stick around for more than 4 or 5 hours. Sent from my moto z4 using Tapatalk 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 Bradford Pears are in full bloom. If we get more than 3-4” there might not be any left. . 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 Good thing this isn’t coming in Saturday night or we would lose an hour of snow . 3 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ladyjmayo Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 3 minutes ago, PowellVolz said: Bradford Pears are in full bloom. If we get more than 3-4” there might not be any left. . Good. Those things are stinky! (I have two in my front yard) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Runman292 Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 51 minutes ago, PowellVolz said: WATE going 1-2” in the valley up to 4” on the plateau and 6” on top of the GSM. I remember them patting themselves on the back after the last snow when they were literally off by 6” around @John1122 house . 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Silas Lang Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 15 minutes ago, John1122 said: That sleet burst, if it happens, will greatly aid in snow sticking. Even 1/4th inch would be huge. Yeah a quarter of an inch of sleet is actually quite a lot and would make a nice little sheet for the snow. It does not melt as quickly in marginal temps. 3 minutes ago, Runman292 said: This was my largest snow of the year with close to 2.5 inches in Knoxville. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 Lol… I forgot about the “random snow band”. “We would have given ourselves an A had it not snowed more than we thought” . 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vol4Life Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 8 minutes ago, Runman292 said: I love that they are patting themselves on the back for saying highest totals on plateau and mountains. That’s like getting credit on the ACT for getting your name right! Lol! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 For those asking about snow in East Tennessee in March. 2018 had several days of pretty widespread snow. There was generally 1 to 3 in East Tn and up to 3 or 4 inches in SE Kentucky. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 Interesting…. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 Looks like David Aldrich is drinking NAM juice. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 Another 1993 flashback. WVLT met said "don't believe these big totals you're seeing shared on social media of model out puts. No way it is going to happen." Eerily reminiscent of Matt Hinkin's famous statement in 1993 about not believing the 12+ inch totals and blizzard talk being thrown about. He said 6 inches max back then. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kasper Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 46 minutes ago, PowellVolz said: Just seen something you don’t see every day…. Going down Kingston Pk near campus and in front of me there was a guy mowing, a girl running in shorts and a salt truck treating the road. . It’s the four seasons lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wurbus Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 GEFS Mean. Pretty big increase along SE KY/Western Virginia 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kasper Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 21 minutes ago, PowellVolz said: Lol… I forgot about the “random snow band”. “We would have given ourselves an A had it not snowed more than we thought” . How about the #keepingitreal….. my god 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Runman292 Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 Just now, Kasper said: How about the #keepingitreal….. my god My favorite is #NoHypeWeather. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dwagner88 Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 I’m honestly a little surprised at the winter storm watch. I expected the typical valley winter product black hole. I think that indicates they are at least considering a higher end event, even down here. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 I’m honestly a little surprised at the winter storm watch. I expected the typical valley winter product black hole. I think that indicates they are at least considering a higher end event, even down here. Agree I expected the routine, WSW mountains and plateau, WWA I-40 north and if anything a special weather statement southern valley. Though I was expecting that before the 18z runs, which have really bumped up significantly this evening.Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted March 10, 2022 Author Share Posted March 10, 2022 Two days of modeling and many noticeable precipitation holes over KTRI not to go ahead and expect that. Hopefully even if that occurs, there's enough mustard in this system to squeeze out 2-3 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 Not such which model Accuweather uses. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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