wolfie09 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 GFS is solid.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 2 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: This came east What's up with SNJ lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 The Srefs came in better for CNY. Similar to GFS. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Just now, MJO812 said: This came east What's up with SNJ lol For this area it was similar, just added a little down south.. Western fringes dried a bit though.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 What a terrible storm. Like water torture. Each run is just slightly worse until we are down to nothing. I have no idea what the NWS sees. My brother is driving from NW Philly to the ADKS to go skiing and the latest NAM run gives Philly more snow than the western ADKs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SyracuseStorm Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 3 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: What a terrible storm. Like water torture. Each run is just slightly worse until we are down to nothing. I have no idea what the NWS sees. They are going with a blend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 I’ve made it to Vermont. Decided to ride at Pico today instead of sugarbush as conditions are pretty uninspiring and tickets were 100 dollars cheaper. Mesos seem to put me in a sweet spot tomorrow afternoon. Looks like it’ll be a wild day. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 It's looking like a 4"-8" event, enjoy what you get because it's probably over after this.. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted March 11, 2022 Author Share Posted March 11, 2022 Looking at the forecasted soundings, I think ratios should be decent 12-14:1 for WNY by 1am, and similar ratios around 6-9am for CNY. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Looks to me like the Syracuse area is going to get what I call the Syracuse Synoptic Six. 6 inches. Seems to be the maximum we can ever get from synoptic storms these days. So-so ending to an amazingly frustrating winter. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 And to think this whole time I was worried about it going NW and raining. NYC quickly getting in the game at this point. Yikes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Just now, Ericjcrash said: And to think this whole time I was worried about it going NW and raining. NYC quickly getting in the game at this point. Yikes. A NW shift? OF COURSE NOT. Not when we actually need it. Only happened EVERY OTHER TIME this stupid season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 9 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: A NW shift? OF COURSE NOT. Not when we actually need it. Only happened EVERY OTHER TIME this stupid season. Makes you wonder if someone is playing games with the models. AI maybe? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 43 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: A NW shift? OF COURSE NOT. Not when we actually need it. Only happened EVERY OTHER TIME this stupid season. I’m gonna miss your winter rants. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 D1&2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Well they definitely need the snow. This was a little side shoot that services ski in and ski out houses (only had natural snow). Not our best choice. Haha. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 41 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: D1&2 As you said, it was only downhill from the 1st version...lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 1 minute ago, DeltaT13 said: Well they definitely need the snow. This was a little side shoot that services ski in and ski out houses (only had natural snow). Not our best choice. Haha. Surprised that run wasn't closed! That's a wax and edge destroyer... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 39 minutes ago, vortmax said: As you said, it was only downhill from the 1st version...lol Haha yup.. But it's also a bit of an optical illusion because of timing.. Some maps are 0z-0z while others are 12z-12z.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 3 hours ago, TugHillMatt said: Looks to me like the Syracuse area is going to get what I call the Syracuse Synoptic Six. 6 inches. Seems to be the maximum we can ever get from synoptic storms these days. So-so ending to an amazingly frustrating winter. So you're going with the low end of the BGM Forecast probabilities? Smart. BTW I need 5.8" to reach last year's seasonal Snowfall. Currently at 72.5", somehow. So 6" gets me over the line. Need another 10" after that to get to 2 winter's ago paltry totals (88"). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Buffalo starting to slash lol Last update was 10" locally.. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Euro pretty similar to 0z.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PerintonMan Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 That persistent hole in western Monroe County and environs might not even get advisory-level totals. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 42 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Buffalo starting to slash lol Last update was 10" locally.. They can keep inching that 4-8 towards me 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 40 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Euro pretty similar to 0z.. Yawn. Daytime in March too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Starting to see that enhanced area of precip over WNY blossom. Temp is dropping down to 37 now. See how quick we can changeover later this afternoon. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted March 11, 2022 Author Share Posted March 11, 2022 Radar versus the 18Z nam at the same time. A little more of a bend in the radar presentation vs 18z Nam output down in AK, MO and IL. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 3 minutes ago, LakeEffectKing said: Radar versus the 18Z nam at the same time. A little more of a bend in the radar presentation vs 18z Nam output down in AK, MO and IL. More amped? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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