Chicago Storm Posted March 4, 2022 Share Posted March 4, 2022 I'm sure somebody will pull at least 3"There’s almost always an isolated higher amount here and there… But overall, it’s a 1-2” ‘event’.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 4, 2022 Author Share Posted March 4, 2022 1 hour ago, Chicago Storm said: There’s almost always an isolated higher amount here and there… But overall, it’s a 1-2” ‘event’. . I'm going bold and predicting a band of 2-4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted March 4, 2022 Share Posted March 4, 2022 I miss caring about the 18Z NAM 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted March 4, 2022 Share Posted March 4, 2022 1 hour ago, Hoosier said: I'm going bold and predicting a band of 2-4" you could be right, you just may not know it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 5, 2022 Author Share Posted March 5, 2022 Seems like the ptype uncertainty zone is gonna run right through here. Should eventually turn to snow but the question is when. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted March 5, 2022 Share Posted March 5, 2022 6 hours ago, Hoosier said: Seems like the ptype uncertainty zone is gonna run right through here. Should eventually turn to snow but the question is when. and than there are those who refuse to give up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted March 5, 2022 Share Posted March 5, 2022 I’m bored on a Saturday morning, so here’s the newest NAM run: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 5, 2022 Share Posted March 5, 2022 Ride it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman33 Posted March 5, 2022 Share Posted March 5, 2022 Kuchera or 10:1, pick the one that has the highest amounts. Gotta love it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted March 5, 2022 Share Posted March 5, 2022 27 minutes ago, snowman33 said: Kuchera or 10:1, pick the one that has the highest amounts. Gotta love it. Fair point. Kuchera actually gives my area slightly more; but here goes: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted March 5, 2022 Share Posted March 5, 2022 12z GFS... it all falls overnight here. That will help it accumulate, but it's very poor timing for viewing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 5, 2022 Author Share Posted March 5, 2022 Precip rates look decent pretty much right after it begins, which should help kickstart accumulations coming off of this mild weekend. Also as hawkeye mentioned, overnight timing won't hurt for areas that experience that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 5, 2022 Share Posted March 5, 2022 Looks like a 2-3" event since it will fall at night. Most of it will be toast by end of day Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted March 5, 2022 Share Posted March 5, 2022 It's looking like I'm in a decent spot for snow Sunday night. 12z Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted March 5, 2022 Share Posted March 5, 2022 31 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said: It's looking like I'm in a decent spot for snow Sunday night. 12z Euro Euro looks spot on 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 5, 2022 Author Share Posted March 5, 2022 Although amounts won't be remarkable, this system has some nice moisture to work with as the higher pwat plume doesn't get shunted too far south with the current system and is readily available to be tugged back north. Given the moisture and a period of nice lift, think there will be a window of mod-hvy snow associated with this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted March 5, 2022 Share Posted March 5, 2022 7 hours ago, Baum said: and than there are those who refuse to give up. bump Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 5, 2022 Share Posted March 5, 2022 hoosier the only one invested in this one.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 5, 2022 Author Share Posted March 5, 2022 5 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: hoosier the only one invested in this one. . Of course, it's my thread. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 5, 2022 Author Share Posted March 5, 2022 NAM gone wild. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted March 5, 2022 Share Posted March 5, 2022 22 hours ago, Baum said: I miss caring about the 18Z NAM bump Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 5, 2022 Share Posted March 5, 2022 1 hour ago, Hoosier said: NAM gone wild. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 6, 2022 Author Share Posted March 6, 2022 Yes, I know nobody cares about this system, but still curious to see how it will play out locally. 00z HRRR flips to snow right after onset here but other models are more rainy/sleety. Obviously going to depend on how pronounced the warm layer aloft is, and precip rates may dictate type. If it's heavy, then it's possible that it would result in a negligible warm layer aloft with mostly a rimed/lower quality type snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted March 6, 2022 Share Posted March 6, 2022 8 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Yes, I know nobody cares about this system, but still curious to see how it will play out locally. 00z HRRR flips to snow right after onset here but other models are more rainy/sleety. Obviously going to depend on how pronounced the warm layer aloft is, and precip rates may dictate type. If it's heavy, then it's possible that it would result in a negligible warm layer aloft with mostly a rimed/lower quality type snow. ban. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted March 6, 2022 Share Posted March 6, 2022 Minneapolis - St Paul has VCTS -FZRA, indicating some lightning with 25 miles of the airport. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted March 6, 2022 Share Posted March 6, 2022 The NAM/3kNAM are really overdoing this system compared to other models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 6, 2022 Author Share Posted March 6, 2022 6 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said: The NAM/3kNAM are really overdoing this system compared to other models. Doesn't even have the HRRR/RAP on its side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted March 6, 2022 Share Posted March 6, 2022 6 hours ago, Baum said: bump You should check out the 0z NAM. It’s even more outrageous than 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted March 6, 2022 Share Posted March 6, 2022 Hoosier NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 6, 2022 Author Share Posted March 6, 2022 fwiw, the Canadian models generally came in snowier than previous runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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