CheeselandSkies Posted May 26, 2022 Share Posted May 26, 2022 24 minutes ago, Hoosier said: DVN confirmed an EF-1 near Freeport. Also irritatingly close to where I was yesterday, although the timestamp on it was several hours earlier. I don't recall any warnings being issued around that time either, except the ones to the east in the Chicago 'burbs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted May 26, 2022 Share Posted May 26, 2022 Today doing what yesterday was supposed to do out east: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted May 26, 2022 Share Posted May 26, 2022 28 minutes ago, CheeselandSkies said: Today doing what yesterday was supposed to do out east: Tornado has been reported. Actually had PDS wording in the text. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted May 27, 2022 Share Posted May 27, 2022 Rotating broadly over DeKalb/Sycamore 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted May 27, 2022 Share Posted May 27, 2022 Tried to tighten up a bit overhead, but stayed ragged and loose. Will follow it out of town a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted May 27, 2022 Share Posted May 27, 2022 Man oh man, Sunday would be epic across a large part of the Plains and Midwest if not for that stupid cap. Monday holds more interest for me at this point, and possibly Tuesday depending on how the trough evolves. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted May 27, 2022 Share Posted May 27, 2022 14 hours ago, Hoosier said: Tornado has been reported. Actually had PDS wording in the text. You and ChicagoWX’s buddy Chad called out IND on NWSChat last night for calling it a “large and dangerous tornado” when it was clearly a small and weak one (landspout?). They said they issued based on info they had at that time, that they were very busy, that they issued a regular warning 10 minutes later, and finally gave half-hearted mea culpa. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted May 27, 2022 Share Posted May 27, 2022 So far, NAM forecast soundings for Monday show the same issue as Sunday...rock solid capping due to very warm and dry at 850mb...kind of ridiculous that we are having this issue even along/east of the Mississippi when normally our problem in the spring is that we can't get a proper Plains-style EML/dryline this far northeast. Edit: On second look, today's 12Z NAM is showing a few areas where the cap may potentially break Sunday evening. Still need to keep an eye on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted May 27, 2022 Share Posted May 27, 2022 1 hour ago, IWXwx said: You and ChicagoWX’s buddy Chad called out IND on NWSChat last night for calling it a “large and dangerous tornado” when it was clearly a small and weak one (landspout?). They said they issued based on info they had at that time, that they were very busy, that they issued a regular warning 10 minutes later, and finally gave half-hearted mea culpa. I thought it seemed a little odd to have a large and extremely dangerous tornado on a day like yesterday, but didn't think much of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted May 27, 2022 Share Posted May 27, 2022 Kinda interesting that MKX can completely ignore a 3KM EHI >7 with 1KM SRH approaching 400 m2/s2 over portions of their CWA 54 hours out (on the 18Z NAM), even if there is the likelihood of strong capping. I feel like that office (my local one, so I read them the most) used to be staffed by severe geeks who would do very detailed discussions, but most of them have retired and now they just kind of gloss over threats (although granted, it has been quite a few years since we had a real high-ceiling one that actually materialized, so maybe they've just given up). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted May 29, 2022 Share Posted May 29, 2022 SPC upgraded tomorrow to a moderate risk for MN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted May 29, 2022 Share Posted May 29, 2022 Semi interested in the local potential for storms Tuesday. Nothing too impressive but sufficient shear for severe t storms 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted May 30, 2022 Share Posted May 30, 2022 Yep, planning to chase closer to home Tuesday after tomorrow's Minnesota mess...where exactly remains to be seen. Not going to the 30 hatch in Misery even if I had Wednesday off as well and gas wasn't $4.30/gal even here in relatively low Wisconsin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted May 30, 2022 Share Posted May 30, 2022 @madwx 00Z HRRR for our BY Tuesday... Edit: HRW-FV3 as well although they don't call it the "supercell printer" for nothing: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted May 30, 2022 Share Posted May 30, 2022 It would be nice to actually get something further east for once, Minnesota has been slammed all spring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted May 30, 2022 Share Posted May 30, 2022 8 minutes ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: It would be nice to actually get something further east for once, Minnesota has been slammed all spring Gotta move west of the lakes hoss 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted May 30, 2022 Share Posted May 30, 2022 Tornado watches up for MN. Rough weather developing in the central part of the state. At 502 PM CDT, a large and extremely dangerous tornado was located over Eagle Bend, or 23 miles northeast of Alexandria, moving northeast at 55 mph. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted May 30, 2022 Share Posted May 30, 2022 Location: 1 S FORADA, MNDescription: TornadoMagnitude:Report Time: 04:35 pm CDT - 5/30/2022Remarks: CONFIRMED TORNADO BY LAW ENFORCEMENT, DAMAGED A HOME. Location: 3 W STARBUCK, MNDescription: TornadoMagnitude:Report Time: 04:10 pm CDT - 5/30/2022Remarks: SPOTTER SAW A RAIN-WRAPPED TORNADO ON THE GROUND. TREES ARE DOWN AND A PICKUP TRUCK TOWING A TRAILER WAS ROLLED. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted May 30, 2022 Share Posted May 30, 2022 03:40 pm CDT - 5/30/2022 APPLETON, MN Tstm Wnd Gst 90 MPH Location: 3 N MILAN, MNDescription: TornadoMagnitude:Report Time: 03:30 pm CDT - 5/30/2022Remarks: TORNADO HIT A FARM. THE FAMILY TOOK SHELTER. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted May 30, 2022 Share Posted May 30, 2022 West-central part of the state has been hit pretty good. Up to golf ball sized hail in the mix, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted May 31, 2022 Share Posted May 31, 2022 For a day with a 15% hatched tornado risk level, yesterday was pretty underwhelming with only 5 reports. That said, there were ton of wind reports (over 150). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted May 31, 2022 Share Posted May 31, 2022 1 hour ago, Powerball said: For a day with a 15% hatched tornado risk level, yesterday was pretty underwhelming with only 5 reports. That said, there were ton of wind reports (over 150). I think some of those wind reports will be changed to tornadoes once surveyed, but it was a toss-up going in if there were actually going to be any large, cyclic, intense tornado family-producing supercells (as of Friday/Saturday the setup was drawing comparisons to 6/17/2010, but that was quickly tempered by storm mode doubts). I made a last-minute decision not to chase when I was pretty sure the storm mode would suck, not to mention racing speeds into bad terrain. Witness the number of chasers who came up from the Plains for Monday, but like @Quincy went back the way they came morning of. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherMonger Posted May 31, 2022 Share Posted May 31, 2022 Guessing by the lack of ppsts today is much ado about nothing, but with as boring as this Spring has been here I'll take anything I can get. Could probably count on one hand the days I have heard thunder thus far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 31, 2022 Share Posted May 31, 2022 Feels juiced, shame about the clouds tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted May 31, 2022 Share Posted May 31, 2022 2 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: Feels juiced, shame about the clouds tho Pretty typical for our region. Plains get blasted with severe, and then the zombievection and leftover clouds co ck block the setup the next day in our region. Pretty much just come to expect it lol. Bring on the mid-summer ROF nocturnal extravaganza pleeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 1, 2022 Share Posted June 1, 2022 We seem to be on the way toward having a rather pathetic convective display tonight... somewhat limited coverage and intensity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted June 1, 2022 Share Posted June 1, 2022 signs pointing toward active NW flow in our area starting this weekend and heading through next week. definitely will be an uptick in our storm chances 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 1, 2022 Share Posted June 1, 2022 4 minutes ago, madwx said: signs pointing toward active NW flow in our area starting this weekend and heading through next week. definitely will be an uptick in our storm chances To me it doesn't look like a good pattern for appreciable severe chances though. I'd love to be wrong about that but I fear we may be waiting until mid-month for more robust severe prospects. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted June 1, 2022 Share Posted June 1, 2022 Spotter confirmed tor OTG near Macomb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted June 1, 2022 Share Posted June 1, 2022 1 minute ago, SchaumburgStormer said: Spotter confirmed tor OTG near Macomb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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