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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2022 OBS Thread


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38 minutes ago, Newman said:

Euro for Saturday is solid NW

sn10_024h.us_ne.thumb.png.18fe8fc925cc72bedb7a473205709650.png

Euro blew chunks with the system today and it's on its own right now. I'd be weary especially with such a delicate set up, like most rain -> snow events are.  Model's have been terrible with pushing the cold air in too quickly this season. When the GFS is showing it further NW, which has typically overdone the cold the most this year, it's a hard sell imo. You guys likely see snow, but I wouldn't expect more than a inch or two at this time. 

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That would work. Stretched out front with another low developing to enhance the backbuilding after the primary wave moves thru and brings CAA in it's wake. One of the wrfs is hellbent on developing an entirely separate storm at 48hrs coming N out of the Tennessee Valley. Some fast changes happening with this on guidance:

nam3km_ref_frzn_neus_56.thumb.png.931bbdbf1061e824829ca084c294ae75.png

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