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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2022 OBS Thread


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6 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Are you going to do the same thing you did last storm? Every single model now has the stripe of accum snows in SE PA. Timing is near perfect....early morning hours and AM rush so sun not really an issue. Many of us will see a car topper/mulch topper. I love the 70s today but you have to at least acknowledge what guidance is showing. Cant just disregard it because you personally moved on from winter. We go thru this every year anymore. March is the new Feb.

Have at it...

73F

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From Mt. Holly (bunch of RERs today) -

KPHL hit 76 (so far).  On another note, Steve Sosna did just mention something about "wet snow, mostly north and west" with respect to this upcoming potential event.

Currently 74 IMBY (has been bopping back and forth between 72 - 74 depending on the cloud cover) with dp 59.

KPHL-temps-03072022.PNG

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Before the rain came in (0.02" so far), I did tap 75 for a high (last time it was near that temp was back around Oct. 25, 2021).  Currently 67 with dp a juicy 61 (and it feels humid) and overcast.

From Mt. Holly regarding overnight -

 

FNRoLrBXIAEc-MW.jpg

 

 

WPC has us in their "Marginal Risk" zone for heavy rainfall -

 

FNQ_cfOXsAMD_TQ.png

And SPC updated their SWDY1 outlook -

FNRaZm0UcAIR6Sq.jpg

 

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Here comes SPC -

 

Quote
SEL8

   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 38
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   615 PM EST Mon Mar 7 2022

   The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

   * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
     northern Delaware
     much of New Jersey
     souteastern New York
     eastern Pennsylvania
     Coastal Waters

   * Effective this Monday evening from 615 PM until 1100 PM EST.

   * Primary threats include...
     Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

   SUMMARY...A line of showers with possible isolated embedded
   thunderstorms will overspread the region this evening, accompanied
   by the potential to produce strong, damaging wind gusts.

   The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
   statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles north northwest
   of Poughkeepsie NY to 40 miles southwest of Trenton NJ. For a
   complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
   update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

   REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
   favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
   Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
   weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
   warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
   tornadoes.

   &&

   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 37...

   AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
   0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
   few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 300. Mean storm motion vector
   25040.

   ...Kerr

 

 

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Quote

Severe Thunderstorm Watch

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 38
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
615 PM EST MON MAR 7 2022

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 38 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM EST
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

PAC011-015-017-025-029-045-069-077-079-089-091-095-101-103-115-
127-131-080400-
/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0038.220307T2315Z-220308T0400Z/

PA
.    PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BERKS                BRADFORD            BUCKS
CARBON               CHESTER             DELAWARE
LACKAWANNA           LEHIGH              LUZERNE
MONROE               MONTGOMERY          NORTHAMPTON
PHILADELPHIA         PIKE                SUSQUEHANNA
WAYNE                WYOMING
$$

 

Quote

 

Severe Thunderstorm Watch

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 38
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
615 PM EST MON MAR 7 2022

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 38 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM EST
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

NJC001-003-005-007-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-027-029-031-033-
035-037-039-041-080400-
/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0038.220307T2315Z-220308T0400Z/

NJ
.    NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ATLANTIC             BERGEN              BURLINGTON
CAMDEN               ESSEX               GLOUCESTER
HUDSON               HUNTERDON           MERCER
MIDDLESEX            MONMOUTH            MORRIS
OCEAN                PASSAIC             SALEM
SOMERSET             SUSSEX              UNION
WARREN
$$

 

Quote

Severe Thunderstorm Watch

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 38
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
615 PM EST MON MAR 7 2022

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 38 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM EST
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

DEC003-080400-
/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0038.220307T2315Z-220308T0400Z/

DE
.    DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

NEW CASTLE
$$

 

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In coming line -

 

Here are the warnings that just got issued -

(this one ends at 8:30 pm) -

FNSYgf-VgAAaBqS.jpg

 

This one goes until 9:15 pm -

 

FNSgkN5VEAQvFXM.jpg

 

 

Quote

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Severe Thunderstorm Warning
NJC019-027-035-037-041-PAC011-017-029-077-089-091-095-080215-
/O.NEW.KPHI.SV.W.0006.220308T0105Z-220308T0215Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
805 PM EST Mon Mar 7 2022

The National Weather Service in Mount Holly NJ has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Morris County in northern New Jersey...
  Hunterdon County in northwestern New Jersey...
  Sussex County in northwestern New Jersey...
  Warren County in northwestern New Jersey...
  Northwestern Somerset County in northern New Jersey...
  Southeastern Berks County in eastern Pennsylvania...
  Southeastern Lehigh County in eastern Pennsylvania...
  Northern Montgomery County in southeastern Pennsylvania...
  Bucks County in southeastern Pennsylvania...
  North central Chester County in southeastern Pennsylvania...
  Southeastern Monroe County in northeastern Pennsylvania...
  Northampton County in eastern Pennsylvania...

* Until 915 PM EST.

* At 803 PM EST, severe showers and embedded thunderstorms were
  located along a line extending from near Hawley to Kunkletown to
  Wernersville, moving east at 50 mph. This line has had a history
  of producing areas of wind damage.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Damage to roofs, siding, trees, and power lines is
           possible.

* Locations impacted include...
  Allentown, Reading, Easton, Morristown, Somerville, Newton,
  Montague, Bethlehem, Bridgewater, Pottstown, Dover, Lansdale,
  Madison, Hopatcong, Forks, Florham Park, Emmaus, East Hanover,
  Lincoln Park and Wyomissing.

This includes the following highways...
 Pennsylvania Turnpike between mile markers 295 and 303.
 Northeast Extension between mile markers 26 and 57.
 Interstate 78 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 54 and 76.
 Interstate 78 in New Jersey between mile markers 0 and 37.
 Interstate 80 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 308 and 314.
 Interstate 80 in New Jersey between mile markers 0 and 47.
 Interstate 287 in New Jersey between mile markers 16 and 54.
 Interstate 176 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 1 and 11.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

This line of heavy showers and embedded thunderstorms may contain
little or no lightning. Do not wait until you hear thunder before
taking cover.

&&

LAT...LON 4120 7436 4110 7449 4104 7450 4100 7430
      4090 7428 4091 7434 4078 7437 4042 7476
      4035 7486 4034 7494 4030 7488 4021 7498
      4013 7588 4030 7612 4065 7545 4115 7516
      4109 7500 4116 7490 4129 7483 4136 7470
TIME...MOT...LOC 0103Z 263DEG 45KT 4154 7517 4085 7544 4033 7610

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Gorse

 

Quote

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
811 PM EST Mon Mar 7 2022

NJC019-027-035-037-041-PAC011-017-029-077-089-091-095-080215-
/O.CON.KPHI.SV.W.0006.000000T0000Z-220308T0215Z/
Morris NJ-Hunterdon NJ-Sussex NJ-Warren NJ-Somerset NJ-Berks PA-
Lehigh PA-Montgomery PA-Bucks PA-Chester PA-Monroe PA-Northampton PA-
811 PM EST Mon Mar 7 2022

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM EST
FOR MORRIS...HUNTERDON...SUSSEX...WARREN...NORTHWESTERN SOMERSET...
SOUTHEASTERN BERKS...SOUTHEASTERN LEHIGH...NORTHERN MONTGOMERY...
BUCKS...NORTH CENTRAL CHESTER...SOUTHEASTERN MONROE AND NORTHAMPTON
COUNTIES...

At 810 PM EST, severe showers and embedded thunderstorms were
located along a line extending from Blooming Grove to near
Northampton to near Denver, moving east at 55 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. A 59 mph wind gust was reported in
         Lehighton Pennsylvania.

SOURCE...Public.

IMPACT...Damage to roofs, siding, trees, and power lines is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Allentown, Reading, Easton, Morristown, Somerville, Newton, Montague,
Bethlehem, Bridgewater, Pottstown, Dover, Lansdale, Madison,
Hopatcong, Forks, Florham Park, Emmaus, East Hanover, Lincoln Park
and Wyomissing.

This includes the following highways...
 Pennsylvania Turnpike between mile markers 295 and 303.
 Northeast Extension between mile markers 26 and 57.
 Interstate 78 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 54 and 76.
 Interstate 78 in New Jersey between mile markers 0 and 37.
 Interstate 80 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 308 and 314.
 Interstate 80 in New Jersey between mile markers 0 and 47.
 Interstate 287 in New Jersey between mile markers 16 and 54.
 Interstate 176 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 1 and 11.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

This line of heavy showers and embedded thunderstorms may contain
little or no lightning. Do not wait until you hear thunder before
taking cover.

&&

LAT...LON 4120 7436 4110 7449 4104 7450 4100 7430
      4090 7428 4091 7434 4078 7437 4042 7476
      4035 7486 4034 7494 4030 7488 4021 7498
      4013 7588 4030 7612 4065 7545 4115 7516
      4109 7500 4116 7490 4129 7483 4136 7470
TIME...MOT...LOC 0110Z 277DEG 49KT 4137 7516 4068 7543 4026 7615

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Gorse

 

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7 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said:

You just got a warning up your way.

It just came through. Looked like a washing machine through my NW-facing living room windows. The gauge says we picked up .18" but it sure seemed like a lot more than that. I guess it's harder to measure when it's going sideways (on my little device, anyway).

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Expanded STS up -

 

FNSkYOFVgAQ3me1.jpg

 

Quote

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Severe Thunderstorm Warning
DEC003-PAC017-029-045-091-101-080215-
/O.NEW.KPHI.SV.W.0007.220308T0121Z-220308T0215Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
821 PM EST Mon Mar 7 2022

The National Weather Service in Mount Holly NJ has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Northern New Castle County in northern Delaware...
  Southern Montgomery County in southeastern Pennsylvania...
  South central Bucks County in southeastern Pennsylvania...
  Chester County in southeastern Pennsylvania...
  Philadelphia County in southeastern Pennsylvania...
  Delaware County in southeastern Pennsylvania...

* Until 915 PM EST.

* At 820 PM EST, severe showers and embedded thunderstorms were
  located along a line extending from near Lyons to near Delta,
  moving east at 60 mph. This line has had a history of producing
  areas of wind damage.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Damage to roofs, siding, trees, and power lines is
           possible.

* Locations impacted include...
  Philadelphia, Camden, Wilmington, West Chester, Bensalem,
  Norristown, Chester, Phoenixville, West Norriton, East Norriton,
  Coatesville, Yeadon, Westtown, Carneys Point, Downingtown,
  Conshohocken, Palmyra, Hatboro, Folcroft and Ambler.

This includes the following highways...
 Pennsylvania Turnpike between mile markers 301 and 352.
 Northeast Extension between mile markers 21 and 25.
 Interstate 95 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 0 and 16, and
between mile markers 19 and 35.
 Interstate 95 in Delaware between mile markers 12 and 23.
 Interstate 76 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 327 and 350.
 Interstate 676 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 0 and 1.
 Interstate 476 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 0 and 19.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

This line of heavy showers and embedded thunderstorms may contain
little or no lightning. Do not wait until you hear thunder before
taking cover.

&&

LAT...LON 3976 7606 3987 7599 3995 7600 4004 7593
      4011 7594 4015 7585 4022 7497 4006 7494
      3996 7513 3992 7513 3985 7524 3984 7536
      3977 7546 3971 7548 3972 7613
TIME...MOT...LOC 0120Z 273DEG 53KT 4041 7572 3970 7641

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Gorse

 

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Another STS up in Jersey -

FNSr3vuVUAU4J2I.jpg

 

Quote

 

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
846 PM EST Mon Mar 7 2022

NJC019-027-035-037-041-PAC017-029-091-095-080215-
/O.CON.KPHI.SV.W.0006.000000T0000Z-220308T0215Z/
Morris NJ-Hunterdon NJ-Sussex NJ-Warren NJ-Somerset NJ-Montgomery PA-
Bucks PA-Chester PA-Northampton PA-
846 PM EST Mon Mar 7 2022

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM EST
FOR MORRIS...HUNTERDON...SUSSEX...WARREN...NORTHWESTERN SOMERSET...
CENTRAL MONTGOMERY...BUCKS...NORTH CENTRAL CHESTER AND SOUTHEASTERN
NORTHAMPTON COUNTIES...

At 844 PM EST, severe showers and embedded thunderstorms were
located along a line extending from near Vernon Valley to near
Clinton to Royersford, moving east at 50 mph. This line has a
history of producing areas of wind damage.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Trained weather spotters.

IMPACT...Expect considerable tree damage. Damage is likely to mobile
         homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

Locations impacted include...
Easton, Morristown, Somerville, Newton, Bridgewater, Pottstown,
Dover, Lansdale, Madison, Hopatcong, Florham Park, East Hanover,
Lincoln Park, Kinnelon, Hackettstown, Quakertown, Perkasie,
Doylestown, Byram and Boonton.

This includes the following highways...
 Northeast Extension between mile markers 25 and 45.
 Interstate 78 in New Jersey between mile markers 0 and 37.
 Interstate 80 in New Jersey between mile markers 12 and 47.
 Interstate 287 in New Jersey between mile markers 16 and 54.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

This is a DANGEROUS SITUATION. These storms are producing areas of
wind damage. SEEK SHELTER NOW inside a sturdy structure and stay
away from windows.

This line of heavy showers and embedded thunderstorms may contain
little or no lightning. Do not wait until you hear thunder before
taking cover.

&&

LAT...LON 4120 7437 4110 7449 4104 7450 4100 7430
      4090 7428 4091 7434 4078 7437 4043 7475
      4038 7486 4035 7486 4034 7494 4030 7488
      4021 7498 4014 7575 4131 7458
TIME...MOT...LOC 0144Z 272DEG 44KT 4128 7450 4061 7488 4018 7557

THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH

$$

Gorse

 

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Mike is busy tonight! :lol:

 

 

FNSuChTVIAUp2_R.jpg

 

Quote

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Severe Thunderstorm Warning
DEC003-NJC001-005-007-015-021-025-029-033-PAC017-045-091-101-080300-
/O.NEW.KPHI.SV.W.0009.220308T0202Z-220308T0300Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
902 PM EST Mon Mar 7 2022

The National Weather Service in Mount Holly NJ has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Northern New Castle County in northern Delaware...
  Ocean County in southern New Jersey...
  Camden County in southern New Jersey...
  Southeastern Mercer County in central New Jersey...
  Northern Atlantic County in southern New Jersey...
  Northern Salem County in southern New Jersey...
  Gloucester County in southern New Jersey...
  Burlington County in southern New Jersey...
  Southern Monmouth County in central New Jersey...
  Southeastern Montgomery County in southeastern Pennsylvania...
  Southeastern Bucks County in southeastern Pennsylvania...
  Philadelphia County in southeastern Pennsylvania...
  Delaware County in southeastern Pennsylvania...

* Until 1000 PM EST.

* At 900 PM EST, severe showers and embedded thunderstorms were
  located along a line extending from near Chalfont to Stanton,
  moving east at 65 mph. This line has a history of producing areas
  of wind damage.

  HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Expect considerable tree damage. Damage is likely to
           mobile homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

* Locations impacted include...
  Philadelphia, Toms River, Trenton, Camden, Wilmington, Gloucester
  City, Lakewood, Cherry Hill, Bensalem, Jackson, Howell, Evesham,
  Mount Laurel, Chester, Willingboro, Deptford, Voorhees, Medford,
  West Deptford and Barnegat.

This includes the following highways...
 New Jersey Turnpike between exits 1 and 8.
 Pennsylvania Turnpike between mile markers 334 and 359.
 Interstate 95 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 0 and 40.
 Interstate 95 in Delaware between mile markers 3 and 23.
 Interstate 76 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 332 and 351.
 Interstate 76 in New Jersey between mile markers 0 and 3.
 Interstate 195 in New Jersey between mile markers 0 and 2, and
between mile markers 7 and 34.
 Interstate 295 in New Jersey between mile markers 0 and 61.
 Interstate 676 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 0 and 1.
 Interstate 676 in New Jersey between mile markers 0 and 4.
 Interstate 476 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 0 and 13, and
between mile markers 15 and 17, and near mile marker 19.
 Garden State Parkway between mile markers 46 and 99.
 Atlantic City Expressway between mile markers 21 and 44.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

This is a DANGEROUS SITUATION. These storms are producing areas of
wind damage. SEEK SHELTER NOW inside a sturdy structure and stay
away from windows.

This line of heavy showers and embedded thunderstorms may contain
little or no lightning. Do not wait until you hear thunder before
taking cover.

&&

LAT...LON 4019 7393 3950 7417 3963 7575 4020 7520
TIME...MOT...LOC 0200Z 260DEG 55KT 4023 7519 3973 7566

THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH

$$

Gorse

 

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