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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2022 OBS Thread


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There were a bunch of RERs yesterday.

 

Quote
SXUS71 KPHI 062135
 RERACY
 
 RECORD EVENT REPORT
 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
 435 PM EST SUN MAR 06 2022
 
 ...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT ATLANTIC CITY NEW JERSEY...
 
 THE TEMPERATURE AT THE ATLANTIC CITY INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT IN POMONA 
 CLIMBED TO 71 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON. THIS SET A NEW RECORD FOR THIS 
 DATE, BREAKING THE OLD RECORD OF 68 DEGREES WHICH WAS SET BACK IN 
 1959.
 
 $$
 
 GORSE

 

Quote
SXUS71 KPHI 062206 AAA
 RERILG
 
 RECORD EVENT REPORT...UPDATE
 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
 506 PM EST SUN MAR 06 2022
 
 ...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT WILMINGTON DELAWARE...
 
 AS OF 5 PM, THE TEMPERATURE CLIMBED TO 72 DEGREES AT THE NEW CASTLE 
 COUNTY AIRPORT IN WILMINGTON. THIS SET A NEW RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE 
 FOR THIS DATE, BREAKING THE OLD ONE OF 71 DEGREES WHICH WAS SET BACK 
 IN 1935.
 
 $$
 
 GORSE

 

Quote
SXUS71 KPHI 062141
 RERMPO
 
 RECORD EVENT REPORT
 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
 441 PM EST SUN MAR 06 2022
 
 ...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT MOUNT POCONO PENNSYLVANIA...
 
 THE TEMPERATURE CLIMBED TO 63 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON AT THE MOUNT 
 POCONO AIRPORT. THIS SET A NEW RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE FOR THIS 
 DATE, BREAKING THE OLD RECORD OF 62 DEGREES WHICH WAS SET BACK IN 
 1935.
 
 $$
 
 GORSE

 

Quote
SXUS71 KPHI 070034
 RERPHL
 
 RECORD EVENT REPORT
 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
 734 PM EST SUN MAR 06 2022
 
 ...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE TIED AT PHILADELPHIA PENNSYLVANIA...
 
 THE TEMPERATURE AT THE PHILADELPHIA INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT CLIMBED TO 
 71 DEGREES AT 550 PM TODAY. THIS TIED THE RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE 
 FOR THIS DATE, WHICH WAS LAST SET BACK IN 1935.
 
 $$
 
 GORSE

 

Quote
SXUS71 KPHI 062137
 RERRDG
 
 RECORD EVENT REPORT
 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
 437 PM EST SUN MAR 06 2022
 
 ...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT READING PENNSYLVANIA...
 
 THE TEMPERATURE THIS AFTERNOON SOARED TO 75 DEGREES AT THE READING 
 AIRPORT. THIS SET A NEW RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE FOR THIS DATE, 
 BREAKING THE OLD RECORD OF 74 DEGREES WHICH WAS SET BACK IN 1976.
 
 $$
 
 GORSE

 

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Wind Advisory was lofted for the area -

 

Quote

Wind Advisory

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
257 AM EST Mon Mar 7 2022

DEZ001>004-MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-
060>062-070-071-101>106-072100-
/O.NEW.KPHI.WI.Y.0005.220307T1700Z-220308T0600Z/
New Castle-Kent-Inland Sussex-Delaware Beaches-Kent MD-
Queen Annes-Talbot-Caroline-Sussex-Warren-Morris-Hunterdon-
Somerset-Middlesex-Western Monmouth-Eastern Monmouth-Mercer-Salem-
Gloucester-Camden-Northwestern Burlington-Ocean-Cumberland-
Atlantic-Cape May-Atlantic Coastal Cape May-Coastal Atlantic-
Coastal Ocean-Southeastern Burlington-Carbon-Monroe-Berks-Lehigh-
Northampton-Delaware-Philadelphia-Western Chester-Eastern Chester-
Western Montgomery-Eastern Montgomery-Upper Bucks-Lower Bucks-
Including the cities of Wilmington, Dover, Georgetown,
Rehoboth Beach, Chestertown, Centreville, Easton, Denton, Newton,
Washington, Morristown, Flemington, Somerville, New Brunswick,
Freehold, Sandy Hook, Trenton, Pennsville, Glassboro, Camden,
Cherry Hill, Moorestown, Mount Holly, Jackson, Millville,
Hammonton, Cape May Court House, Ocean City, Atlantic City,
Long Beach Island, Wharton State Forest, Jim Thorpe, Stroudsburg,
Reading, Allentown, Bethlehem, Media, Philadelphia, Honey Brook,
Oxford, West Chester, Kennett Square, Collegeville, Pottstown,
Norristown, Lansdale, Chalfont, Perkasie, Morrisville,
and Doylestown
257 AM EST Mon Mar 7 2022

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 1 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts of 40 to 50 mph
  expected shifting to northwest this evening with gusts of 40 to
  50 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of central, northern, northwest and southern
  New Jersey, east central, northeast and southeast
  Pennsylvania, northeast Maryland and central, northern and
  southern Delaware.

* WHEN...From noon today to 1 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects.
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may
  result.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A line of showers with a few embedded
  thunderstorms will move across the area late this afternoon into
  this evening along a cold front and could contain winds briefly
  gusting up to 60 mph in places.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

Fitzsimmons

"March winds". :lol:

And some possible severe action too -

FNPNEtjUYAUH7an.jpg

SPC even has us in a "Slight Risk" for SWDY1 -

FNOXg71UcAQpLCb.jpg

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1 hour ago, ChescoWx said:

Some accumulating snow starting to look increasingly likely for some areas on Wednesday....all models have something  image.thumb.png.ab36754b427399b746faa4b143f9be3f.pngimage.thumb.png.9ee4044b63af0787c22c68cfa07a7d7b.pngimage.thumb.png.562724e642f00c2dace5004381846de1.pngimage.thumb.png.9af6e5d1a6d728fd9f664c4d833f126f.png

The NBM seems to be weighting towards the GFS at the moment.  The NAM has marginal surface temps at the time it is showing that total accumulated snow (with similar temps preceding that). Same thing with the antecedent surface temps on the EC being marginal (at least in the southern parts of the CWA) with the colder air coming in after the precip. :P  I think the EC is putting more weight on the 850 & 925 temps which are going to be colder but that stuff would hit the above freezing at the surface and liquefy.

 

floop-nbm-2022030706.snowfall_acc.us_ne-6z-mar9-10-storm-snow-03072022.gif

floop-nam4km-2022030706.sfct.us_ne-6z-feb9-10-storm-temps-03072022.gif

floop-ecmwf_full-2022030706.850th.us_ne-6z-feb9-10-storm-850-temps-animated-03072022.gif

floop-ecmwf_full-2022030706.sfct.us_ne-6z-mar9-10-storm-surface-temps-animated-03072022.gif

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4 minutes ago, ChescoWx said:

Locations with elevation over 600ft would if these models are correct see accumulation....if below 400 ft - I would think more white rain

I would agree.  The colder air is higher up in the atmosphere but is marginal at ground level at any lower elevations south and east along the coastal plain.

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12 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said:

Temp here is now 74 with dp 60. Winds have really picked up now. Same temp at KPHL (per the ASOS just before 11 am), which would tie the record (so far).

ETA - my crocuses are up and blooming!

74F here as well. Definitely had some 30-35mph gust. Really think we'll see some 50+ gust later this afternoon/evening. State college radar starting to show some darker greens/yellows...

 

sc.jpg

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26 minutes ago, Birds~69 said:

Much better chance getting a farmers tan...

72F

 

Are you going to do the same thing you did last storm? Every single model now has the stripe of accum snows in SE PA. Timing is near perfect....early morning hours and AM rush so sun not really an issue. Many of us will see a car topper/mulch topper. I love the 70s today but you have to at least acknowledge what guidance is showing. Cant just disregard it because you personally moved on from winter. We go thru this every year anymore. March is the new Feb.

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