Maestrobjwa Posted February 28, 2022 Share Posted February 28, 2022 1 hour ago, 87storms said: too early for post-winter analysis, but it really does seem like it followed a la nina to a tee (aside from a couple of january events). just couldn't get a consistent southern stream to get going. with that said, i did expect more in the way of clippers, especially based off of the november pattern. that part surprised me a bit given the fact that the northern stream was the primary player. I'd still like to know why clippers in general have been hard to come by. It's like that good clipper of 2015 was supposed to satisfy us for years, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baldereagle Posted February 28, 2022 Share Posted February 28, 2022 GFS say get your lawn mower ready for action. Beware the bugs of March. Sincerely, Capt. Obvious 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 28, 2022 Share Posted February 28, 2022 8 minutes ago, baldereagle said: GFS say get your lawn mower ready for action. Beware the bugs of March. Sincerely, Capt. Obvious I'm ready to move past it...when it doesn't snow in Feb its a good sign to tune up the mower Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 28, 2022 Author Share Posted February 28, 2022 12 minutes ago, BristowWx said: I'm ready to move past it...when it doesn't snow in Feb its a good sign to tune up the mower Actually my experience is that a snowless (practically) Feb with warm-ish temps are usually followed by cold springs. I have no data to support this, only memories. 2020 and 2009 come to mind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 28, 2022 Share Posted February 28, 2022 With the advertised pattern there likely will be no long trackers(probably a good thing). Still a decent chance something pops up around March 10th, but in general the 'good looks' on the ens means with the SE ridge flatter and the boundary closer have been getting can kicked a bit. Problem with that is we don't have much road left. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 28, 2022 Share Posted February 28, 2022 Mid March Hail Mary still possible….been seeing it off and on in the GEFS extended, the weeklies and now the ensembles since the VD time period. Have a good week everyone! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AdamHLG Posted February 28, 2022 Share Posted February 28, 2022 I’ve given up. I’m in this game for the HECS, MECS and BECS. Last one of those was 2016 in northern Baltimore county and it’s been too long. We’re not getting a March 93 this year and we all know it. Time for severe season. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 28, 2022 Author Share Posted February 28, 2022 54 minutes ago, AdamHLG said: I’ve given up. I’m in this game for the HECS, MECS and BECS. Last one of those was 2016 in northern Baltimore county and it’s been too long. We’re not getting a March 93 this year and we all know it. Time for severe season. . Good call on that March ‘93. They’re pretty common, just not our year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 28, 2022 Share Posted February 28, 2022 16 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Good call on that March ‘93. They’re pretty common, just not our year I mean there was a point in March '93 we didn't know we were getting a March '93...we don't know for sure we are not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 28, 2022 Share Posted February 28, 2022 6 minutes ago, BristowWx said: I mean there was a point in March '93 we didn't know we were getting a March '93...we don't know for sure we are not Exactly. Giving up means you are no longer interested in playing. Not that it's actually over. Not a person or computer here can get sensible wx right beyond 5 days or so. If you know enough to be certain that it's over, then it's different. But nobody does. Prob not even the wx itself. I always keep a casual eye open during dead space because I know for certain I don't know much. Lol. Big boy climo near the cities generally ends by mid March. Once that window is clear, it gets much easier to give up because climo is closing the door whether I like it or not. Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 28, 2022 Share Posted February 28, 2022 GFS has a stormy and cold enough long range at the very least it has some chances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AdamHLG Posted February 28, 2022 Share Posted February 28, 2022 Yes, I mean I have given up, not that it is actually over. More specifically, I have given up on a MECS, HECS and BECS for this season, not that it can't conceivably happen. I would love to be proven wrong and, if so, ya'll can lambast me for the next 10 years as the guy that gave up too soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 28, 2022 Share Posted February 28, 2022 Pretty good agreement among all three global ensembles for around mid month…WB 12Z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 28, 2022 Share Posted February 28, 2022 9 hours ago, baldereagle said: GFS say get your lawn mower ready for action. Beware the bugs of March. Sincerely, Capt. Obvious Oh, and here I thought all the green on the GFS meant rain! Not grass! But I guess one helps the other, eh?! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted February 28, 2022 Share Posted February 28, 2022 So my end of winter call is still on track? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted February 28, 2022 Share Posted February 28, 2022 4 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: No buddy. Lots of winter left Bruh that's like d10 forecasting. Take it to the bank, right? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 1, 2022 Share Posted March 1, 2022 1 hour ago, IronTy said: Bruh that's like d10 forecasting. Take it to the bank, right? That period has looked favorable on the means. Doesn't mean we will see a winter storm. I have liked the March 8-12 window, but that may end up being shifted later by 2-3 days based on the advertised progression on the latest ensemble runs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 1, 2022 Share Posted March 1, 2022 27 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Hey @Blizzard of 93. Are you itching for a March wet paste job? ( preferably a giant parachute 1-2" /hour 6-12" region wide event) Yes sir! The Mid Atlantic & southern PA deserve it! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 1, 2022 Share Posted March 1, 2022 The 0z GFS managed to get a decent snow event through the region on March 10. GEFS suggests a storm moving along the boundary for that time period, but a bit on the warm side. The advertised h5 look actually gets better just beyond that time, so maybe the 10th through the 17th or so is our best chance for something. St Patty's Day paste bomb. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 1, 2022 Share Posted March 1, 2022 The 0z GFS managed to get a decent snow event through the region on March 10. GEFS suggests a storm moving along the boundary for that time period, but a bit on the warm side. The advertised h5 look actually gets better just beyond that time, so maybe the 10th through the 17th or so is our best chance for something. St Patty's Day paste bomb. Winter in like a lamb...out like a lamb 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted March 1, 2022 Share Posted March 1, 2022 14 hours ago, losetoa6 said: Found even more snow . Been slammed at work. Haven't looked at guidance much . I think that officially puts our 10 day digital snow at 500" on the year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted March 1, 2022 Share Posted March 1, 2022 GFS still has a system with cold around the 8th. Just a bit too far south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 1, 2022 Share Posted March 1, 2022 1 hour ago, Yeoman said: I think that officially puts our 10 day digital snow at 500" on the year. nah...thats part of why this winter has sucked. We havent even seen digital snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXW176 Posted March 1, 2022 Share Posted March 1, 2022 25 minutes ago, Ji said: nah...thats part of why this winter has sucked. We havent even seen digital snow You are so full of shit. But have a nice day! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 1, 2022 Share Posted March 1, 2022 That chance around the 15th that has been showing up for a couple of days is probably our last hoorah. I hope it works out for a 6 inch paste bomb and then we go to 70's with an occasional chance of severe. This winter has really beat me up mentally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 1, 2022 Share Posted March 1, 2022 19 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: That chance around the 15th that has been showing up for a couple of days is probably our last hoorah. I hope it works out for a 6 inch paste bomb and then we go to 70's with an occasional chance of severe. This winter has really beat me up mentally. I'd sign on the dotted line for this. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 1, 2022 Share Posted March 1, 2022 4 hours ago, FXW176 said: You are so full of shit. But have a nice day! i dont rememember a winter with less digital snow for at least my area(Western Loudoun) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted March 1, 2022 Share Posted March 1, 2022 33 minutes ago, Ji said: i dont rememember a winter with less digital snow for at least my area(Western Loudoun) You forgetting the 40 inch snowstorm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted March 1, 2022 Share Posted March 1, 2022 22 hours ago, CAPE said: That period has looked favorable on the means. Doesn't mean we will see a winter storm. I have liked the March 8-12 window, but that may end up being shifted later by 2-3 days based on the advertised progression on the latest ensemble runs. I mean, anything's possible, even a meteor like the one that wiped out the archosaurs. In 18yrs here we've only had one significant snow event in March and even that melted by mid afternoon. I'll take the under. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 1, 2022 Share Posted March 1, 2022 4 minutes ago, IronTy said: I mean, anything's possible, even a meteor like the one that wiped out the archosaurs. In 18yrs here we've only had one significant snow event in March and even that melted by mid afternoon. I'll take the under. Archosaurs? Hadn't heard that term, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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