Ji Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 18z GFS with a disastrous shift 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 8 minutes ago, Ji said: 18z GFS with a disastrous shift I was expecting this post lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 33 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said: What’s the high end potential here? 4 - 7 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 I thought the trough looked more neutral and sharper than 12z? No? Anyone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 12 minutes ago, CAPE said: I was expecting this post lol. LOL!! Yeah, the only forecast that's easy to make and be 100% correct about! The 18Z doesn't look overly different if you compare to the 06Z or even 00Z, at least in terms of what it shows for sensible weather. Obviously 12Z was a "better look." The trough axis looks kind of different each cycle, which I'm sure plays some role. As well as how rapidly the cold air comes in. It's a bit warmer at 18Z Saturday in this run, compared to the 12Z run. ETA: The low of interest is also more southwest of here at 12Z, and deeper, for what that is worth at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 8, 2022 Author Share Posted March 8, 2022 1 hour ago, Ji said: who cares. Only matters if we are getting 4 or more inches of snow You’d still find a way to bitch about it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 This has a chance to drop a decent thump of snow for the familiar late season folks N & W. Would be a nice way to go out after a hard fought winter for scraps in our region. Can the Euro score a coup on this last event of the winter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 9 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: This has a chance to drop a decent thump of snow for the familiar late season folks N & W. Would be a nice way to go out after a hard fought winter for scraps in our region. Can the Euro score a coup on this last event of the winter? I have observed that the snowiest model caves to the least snowiest as time gets closer. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 8, 2022 Author Share Posted March 8, 2022 2 minutes ago, BristowWx said: I have observed that the snowiest model caves to the least snowiest as time gets closer. Every time lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 CMC has been the least snowiest, and HH GFS resembles that depiction at the surface, but not quite as shitty. Any guesses how the next couple runs of the Euro will trend? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 27 minutes ago, CAPE said: CMC has been the least snowiest, and HH GFS resembles that depiction at the surface, but not quite as shitty. Any guesses how the next couple runs of the Euro will trend? Less snow more dog turd? That is my final answer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted March 9, 2022 Share Posted March 9, 2022 35 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Less snow more dog turd? That is my final answer On the GFS, H5 continues to sink to the south. Indicates a good trend, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 9, 2022 Share Posted March 9, 2022 18Z EURO is a tick NW at hour 90 compared to last run. Hopefully we will see it trend eastward by 12Z Th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted March 9, 2022 Share Posted March 9, 2022 37 minutes ago, Weather Will said: 18Z EURO is a tick NW at hour 90 compared to last run. Hopefully we will see it trend eastward by 12Z Th. Still looks to be a nice hit for a lot of folks incoming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted March 9, 2022 Share Posted March 9, 2022 16 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: Still looks to be a nice hit for a lot of folks incoming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 9, 2022 Share Posted March 9, 2022 1 hour ago, DDweatherman said: Still looks to be a nice hit for a lot of folks incoming. Heading to Deep Creek this weekend…if its going to be cold, I’d rather be there than here and go skiing depending on conditions. LWX 'yellow'd' the western zones: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 9, 2022 Share Posted March 9, 2022 00z GFS takes a step in the right direction on an event just about 4 days out and silence? Looks like it’s time for spring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted March 9, 2022 Share Posted March 9, 2022 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: 00z GFS takes a step in the right direction on an event just about 4 days out and silence? Looks like it’s time for spring Real nice improvement over 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 9, 2022 Share Posted March 9, 2022 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: 00z GFS takes a step in the right direction on an event just about 4 days out and silence? Looks like it’s time for spring It’s slow season on the boards. But GFS looks fun verbatim. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted March 9, 2022 Share Posted March 9, 2022 Just now, nj2va said: It’s slow season on the boards. But GFS looks fun verbatim. You should get shlacked out in deep creek Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 9, 2022 Share Posted March 9, 2022 we are not allowed to discuss snow maps anymore 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 9, 2022 Share Posted March 9, 2022 10 minutes ago, Chris78 said: You should get shlacked out in deep creek I’m fully onboard the spring train and sun/60s but I’d be ok with the foot+ the GFS spit out there (oops, snow maps!) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 9, 2022 Share Posted March 9, 2022 this is the sober board that people claim they want. no excitement. this is the dream realized. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 9, 2022 Share Posted March 9, 2022 CMC is also much improved — not crazy, but very different than previous runs and a step in the right direction. Would be cool to go 3/3 tonight. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 9, 2022 Share Posted March 9, 2022 CMC is also much improved — not crazy, but very different than previous runs and a step in the right direction. Would be cool to go 3/3 tonight. it was too much to ask for, it’s clearly worse than 00z. snow is snow, though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 9, 2022 Share Posted March 9, 2022 WB 0Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted March 9, 2022 Share Posted March 9, 2022 6 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 0Z Color me interested. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 9, 2022 Share Posted March 9, 2022 WB 6Z GFS… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted March 9, 2022 Share Posted March 9, 2022 16 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 6Z GFS… After a nice 0z gfs run, this almost turns the lights out for winter. Figures, headed in the wrong direction with this one. Been too west all winter to this point and will be too east here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 9, 2022 Share Posted March 9, 2022 The recent trends across guidance are in the wrong direction. The wave(s) of interest will form along/ahead of the front, but recent runs of the globals are delaying the progression of the trough a bit, so the low pressure track is further west, thus warmer aloft and at the surface for much of our region while precip is falling as the cold is delayed. The general outcome that had been advertised before the more recent 'trend to better' was almost all of the precip falling ahead of the front in the warm sector. Lets see where we go from here. In general the further NW, the better if you want to see some significant snow. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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