Wonderdog Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 H5 improved from 6z for Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 GFS goes from 48 to 29 and snow from 12z Saturday to 18z Saturday. FUN! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 2 minutes ago, LP08 said: GFS goes from 48 to 29 and snow from 12z Saturday to 18z Saturday. FUN! Oh boy, all we need is a 20F drop in 6 hours of daylight in mid March. Lock this up! 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: Oh boy, all we need is a 20F drop in 6 hours of daylight in mid March. Lock this up! Only 19...big difference I've never been more confident in something not happening...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 17 minutes ago, LP08 said: Only 19...big difference I've never been more confident in something not happening...lol As we know it is rare to happen but if any set up can do it this is the one. Saturday is far from impossible. @MillvilleWx talked about how potent this front is. Since his post the models have trended much colder. As always we'll see! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 15 minutes ago, HighStakes said: As we know it is rare to happen but if any set up can do it this is the one. Saturday is far from impossible. @MillvilleWx talked about how potent this front is. Since his post the models have trended much colder. As always we'll see! Well, it's pretty clear that we'll have some blast of cold come in on Saturday. The key is, does the frontal wave develop "in time" for us or not? That low does blow up as it moves rapidly northeast. But we'd need it to be in a place that is still giving us precip when it does cool off. ETA: Best example offhand that I can think of is March 5, 2015. Which was probably about as perfect a scenario as you can get. Cold front moved through early in the morning with rain, there was a lull, and then the wave moved through dumping 6"+ snow on us in about 6 hours or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 12z Euro is better. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 Just now, CAPE said: good trends....and arctic air...good combination to end winter on a high note. A few more good trends like this and this could be a winter storm warning event lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 That’s pretty workable… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 full weenie mode for @Bob Chill? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 euro is good 3-6 plus for most of the area. The low developed more south and east...interesting event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 1 minute ago, Ji said: The low developed more south and east Yep, if it keeps going that way or even stays this way then we could be looking at a nice event to end this winter on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 1 hour ago, CAPE said: Oh wow. Just casually checking in and this show up 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 2 hours ago, Maestrobjwa said: I'm just sorry I wasn't old enough to remember it! you're such a baby It really was a fantastic storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 1 hour ago, Always in Zugzwang said: Well, it's pretty clear that we'll have some blast of cold come in on Saturday. The key is, does the frontal wave develop "in time" for us or not? That low does blow up as it moves rapidly northeast. But we'd need it to be in a place that is still giving us precip when it does cool off. ETA: Best example offhand that I can think of is March 5, 2015. Which was probably about as perfect a scenario as you can get. Cold front moved through early in the morning with rain, there was a lull, and then the wave moved through dumping 6"+ snow on us in about 6 hours or so. I can think of several other examples. Unfortunately I have to run out on an appointment. If I remember I'll list a few later. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 1 minute ago, mappy said: you're such a baby It really was a fantastic storm. Jan 1996 was amazing too. And I can remember that one very well because I had just gotten over the chicken pox, and then it snowed and school was out for a week. So I got to play with friends, while both my sisters were stuck at home with the chicken pox I had given them. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 8, 2022 Author Share Posted March 8, 2022 Euro and gfs look pretty cold for Sunday morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 Checking in after seeing a Twitter post about snow. We getting a 93’ Redux? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 8 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Euro and gfs look pretty cold for Sunday morning Snowcover enhanced to be sure, but the airmass looks cold. And transitory. Seems like 10s are a good bet for areas outside the metro corridor even without snowcover. Inside metro corridor, probably need snowcover to get that cold Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 What you need is the GFS development on the ECM track. What you fear is the ECM development on the GFS track. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 1 hour ago, stormtracker said: Oh wow. Just casually checking in and this show up At HR102 nonetheless. Would be an interesting spring storm for the higher elevations. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 1 hour ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Euro and gfs look pretty cold for Sunday morning who cares. Only matters if we are getting 4 or more inches of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 4 hours ago, WxUSAF said: Oh boy, all we need is a 20F drop in 6 hours of daylight in mid March. Lock this up! Actually… 19 degrees in 6 hours is really not a huge deal. March, April, July. Doesn’t matter. It happens and happens pretty often. Especially up this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 1 hour ago, LeesburgWx said: Checking in after seeing a Twitter post about snow. We getting a 93’ Redux? Nah. -2-4” of Snow in march doesn’t = 93 redux lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 9 minutes ago, jayyy said: Actually… 19 degrees in 6 hours is really not a huge deal. March, April, July. Doesn’t matter. It happens and happens pretty often. Especially up this way. It's not like where you live is all that much different than where many of the rest of us live. You drop 19 degrees, we drop 19 degrees. It's just that you might start a few degrees lower than others and the front comes through your area earlier than it does farther south and east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 5 minutes ago, mattie g said: It's not like where you live is all that much different than where many of the rest of us live. You drop 19 degrees, we drop 19 degrees. It's just that you might start a few degrees lower than others and the front comes through your area earlier than it does farther south and east. C'mon dude, Carroll County is the northern hinterlands. Way up north. With mountains and stuff. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 What’s the high end potential here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 2 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said: What’s the high end potential here? Cold, dry wind following warm, wet rain. Well that's the most likely outcome. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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