WinterWxLuvr Posted March 4, 2022 Author Share Posted March 4, 2022 10 minutes ago, poolz1 said: It is a cold climate variety that is grown all the way up in Wisconsin. The constant false start to spring and then return to deep winter cold is the culprit. Yeah there’s lots of varieties. I suspect many have the Virginia species and perhaps some even the southern species. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 4, 2022 Share Posted March 4, 2022 The garden thread called: It said it wants it's posts back 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 4, 2022 Share Posted March 4, 2022 WB 18Z GEFS….brutal day….I order P12 for everyone….GN 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 4, 2022 Share Posted March 4, 2022 2 hours ago, EastCoast NPZ said: I was in front royal for both. 37" in 96 and 21" total from both parts of 03 (4" Friday night, 17" Saturday evening thru Sunday afternoon). You see that little tiny ass bubble of sub 20 inch snow from 96 out here close to OKV? Yeah. That is my house. http://s7d2.scene7.com/is/image/TWCNews/Blizzard96Snowfall Now compare the 03 storm here. I had 8-10 inches more in 03 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 4, 2022 Share Posted March 4, 2022 Well. I honestly have no idea what the **** is going on with copy paste on this site. But I guess you will have to take my word for it.....Or dont. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 4, 2022 Share Posted March 4, 2022 12 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Maybe already mentioned but after the day 6/7 storm some ops and ensembles have a pretty amplified h5 signal day 9/10. Yeah it's been mentioned a time or 2 . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 4, 2022 Share Posted March 4, 2022 For next week, there are some differences between the EPS and GEFS wrt any colder air initially moving into the region- mostly associated with the timing and exact location of the pieces of energy being shed off the TPV and rotating down. The GEFS suggests a wave mid week with the boundary close to us, thus some potential for a little frozen. EPS has that wave but a little later and a bit warmer. On the heels of that the main trough approaches and there is the potential for a bigger storm heading into next weekend. For now it looks like there will be an initial LP tracking into the OV with a coastal low developing. Way too soon to discuss details, but this is the look on the latest GEFS- 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 4, 2022 Share Posted March 4, 2022 For next week, there are some differences between the EPS and GEFS wrt any colder air initially moving into the region- mostly associated with the timing and exact location of the pieces of energy being shed off the TPV and rotating down. The GEFS suggests a wave mid week with the boundary close to us, thus some potential for a little frozen. EPS has that wave but a little later and a bit warmer. On the heels of that the main trough approaches and there is the potential for a bigger storm heading into next weekend. For now it looks like there will be an initial LP tracking into the OV with a coastal low developing. Way too soon to discuss details, but this is the look on the latest GEFS- Yea....no. maybe d10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 4, 2022 Share Posted March 4, 2022 The general setup for late next week would certainly favor inland areas at elevation for potential frozen. Ji might be more interested if he wasn't stuck in eastern Loudoun county. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 4, 2022 Share Posted March 4, 2022 1 hour ago, losetoa6 said: Eps for day 6/7 timeframe This one will happen. I’ll be in the air omw home from a quick work. At least I’ll land in snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 4, 2022 Share Posted March 4, 2022 1 hour ago, CAPE said: Yeah it's been mentioned a time or 2 . That’s the one I’m waiting for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 4, 2022 Author Share Posted March 4, 2022 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: At least I’ll land in snow! Don’t count on it lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted March 4, 2022 Share Posted March 4, 2022 39 minutes ago, stormtracker said: This one will happen. I’ll be in the air omw home from a quick work. At least I’ll land in snow! 39 minutes ago, stormtracker said: That’s the one I’m waiting for. You should probably start thread. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 4, 2022 Share Posted March 4, 2022 Screw the cold coming. I'm more interested in what's after that - with this pattern below, I'd expect more seasonal to slightly above temps (given how we overperform on temps anyways). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 4, 2022 Share Posted March 4, 2022 Late March snow is ok, but it's like eating an ice cream cone in 100 degree temps....tastes good but you spend 90% of the time worrying about the drips and 10% of the time enjoying the ice cream Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 4, 2022 Share Posted March 4, 2022 WB 6Z EPS Day 6. First Hail Mary storm….late next work week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 4, 2022 Share Posted March 4, 2022 2 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: That's an improvement over 0z Yup…will see if we can get a storm to trend our way over the next week. The week of the 13th has potential but very chaotic with individual ensembles keying in on different waves. Jury out on that week so I am focusing on the day 6 wave for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted March 4, 2022 Share Posted March 4, 2022 This is the time of season where you can easily tell where posters live. I am of the same mindset as @losetoa6 calm, cool and collected, knowing more snows likely coming by the end of the month. Perhaps multiple. Ji? Well… you know he’s from wherever warmchaserchuck’s from in his mind - which is prob. eastern loudon county. Feeling decent about our chances of seeing a paste bomb in the 3/10-3/14 timeframe - especially for the north of 70 crew up, into psuland and clskinsfanland… which is the time period when we appear to have the best combination of having cold air around and having an active jet stream. Love these extreme boundary patterns where you have 10s and 20s in the north and 80s and 90s in the south. It is currently 1 degree in Caribou ME and in the 80s in the south. This is how we get moisture-laden storms that ring out into cold air domes. March sucks for snow climo wise, but boy, when it works out, it often works out well. As big chill stated on the previous page, these setups, like all others, obviously don’t often pan out — especially with it being March in the mid Atlantic — but when they do, you can see a situation unfold where a slow moving 1005mb low off the coast can dump a foot of goop on us. You don’t need all of the synoptic magic we saw back in January when the coast got slammed with that blizzard. The temp gradient and propensity for more intense, slower moving storms does a lot of the work for us. Climo becomes even more important as we head closer to official spring, as the type of pattern were entering is conducive of the types of snowstorms that can dump 6-12” up north and nothing but white rain near the UHI. I know some of you out there made moves further north toward mappyland USA and the snow capital of central Maryland Carroll county this winter… and while this winter as a whole has been subpar… there’s a decent chance you will soon find out why your move was a good one with multiple marginal events ahead of us 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted March 4, 2022 Share Posted March 4, 2022 16 minutes ago, nj2va said: Screw the cold coming. I'm more interested in what's after that - with this pattern below, I'd expect more seasonal to slightly above temps (given how we overperform on temps anyways). It’s forecasted to be 78-80 in dc on Monday depending on the model lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 4, 2022 Share Posted March 4, 2022 1 hour ago, CAPE said: The general setup for late next week would certainly favor inland areas at elevation for potential frozen. Ji might be more interested if he wasn't stuck in eastern Loudoun county. I was about to comment that by the time this upcoming warm shot is done, everyone except elevation and/or much farther west need something relatively anomalous to see appreciable snow. And by that time, most folks will just want mild weather to stay for good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 4, 2022 Share Posted March 4, 2022 if its going to be cold in March, it can snow, as well. Otherwise bring me spring. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 4, 2022 Author Share Posted March 4, 2022 Was just looking at the gfs and didn’t see our snowstorm. Where would be the proper place to locate this event? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 4, 2022 Author Share Posted March 4, 2022 Just now, losetoa6 said: Ah, so I was just looking at the wrong model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted March 4, 2022 Share Posted March 4, 2022 GFS is close for the 10th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 4, 2022 Share Posted March 4, 2022 30 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Ah, so I was just looking at the wrong model. Yes, kinda. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 4, 2022 Share Posted March 4, 2022 The initial wave on the GEFS- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 4, 2022 Share Posted March 4, 2022 Still a lot of spread among the members but the potential for a 'go big or go home' type storm looks to be next weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted March 4, 2022 Share Posted March 4, 2022 2 minutes ago, CAPE said: Still lots of spread among the members but the potential for a 'go big or go home' type storm looks to be next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 4, 2022 Author Share Posted March 4, 2022 29 minutes ago, CAPE said: The initial wave on the GEFS- That has a familiar look to it lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted March 4, 2022 Share Posted March 4, 2022 22 minutes ago, CAPE said: Still a lot of spread among the members but the potential for a 'go big or go home' type storm looks to be next weekend. For us it's probably go home. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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