uncle W Posted March 25, 2022 Share Posted March 25, 2022 having a warmer than average summer is par for the course now unless it rains every day like the summer of 2004 and 2009...these are the coolest Summers since 1950 in NYC... year....June...July....Aug...Ave...annual max warmest 30days total 90+ days 2009...67.5...72.7...75.7...72.0...........92..............76.6.............7 2000...71.2...72.3...72.7...72.1...........93..............72.7.............7 1992...70.3...74.2...73.0...72.5...........93..............74.4............9 1965...70.5...74.3...73.2...72.7...........95..............75.7...........15 1950...70.3...75.0...73.1...72.8...........95..............75.0.............6 1956...71.4...72.9...74.2...72.8...........99..............75.1...........11 1958...67.2...76.1...75.2...72.8...........93..............76.4.............6..... 1962...72.5...74.0...72.4...73.0...........99..............75.6...........18 1963...70.9...76.4...72.1...73.1...........98..............76.5............16 2004...71.2...74.5...74.2...73.3...........91..............74.8.............2 1964...71.6...75.4...72.9...73.3...........99..............76.4...........23 1996...71.4...73.4...74.5...73.4...........96..............74.9.............3 1986...71.6...76.0...73.1...73.6...........98...............76.3............11 1975...70.5...75.8...74.4...73.6...........98..............77.2.............8 1989...72.0...75.0...74.0...73.7...........96..............75.8...........16 1960...71.8...74.6...74.9...73.8...........91..............75.0.............5 1967...72.8...75.3...73.9...74.0...…….95...…….....76.3...……....9. 1976...73.2...74.8...74.3...74.1...........96..............75.8...........15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 25, 2022 Share Posted March 25, 2022 Overnight, it will be mostly cloudy. Some periods of rain and showers rain possible. The sun will likely return as the day progresses tomorrow. The ongoing generally warmer than normal pattern will likely conclude during the weekend. Nevertheless, this month could rank among the 15 warmest March cases on record in much of the region. There is growing potential for the month to end with cooler but not necessarily cold readings. The possibility of a fairly sharp but short-lived cold shot has increased on the guidance in recent days. In past cases where the MJO was in Phase 1 during the March 5-15 period with an amplitude of 1.500 or above on one or more days, all four cases when the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly was positive were warmer to much warmer than normal. In contrast, all three cases where the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly was negative, as is the case this year, were colder to much colder than normal. Mean Temperature for ENSO Region 3.4 anomalies < 0°C during March 22-31: Boston: 38.7°; Normal: 42.2° New York City: 41.8°; Normal: 46.2° Philadelphia: 42.2°; Normal: 47.3° The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was 0.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.9°C for the week centered around March 16. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -1.05°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.85°C. La Niña conditions will likely persist through March. The SOI was +4.55 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.162 today. On March 22 the MJO was in Phase 4 at an amplitude of 1.314 (RMM). The March 21-adjusted amplitude was 1.652 (RMM). Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 99% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal March (1991-2020 normal). March will likely finish with a mean temperature near 45.9° (3.1° above normal). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SI Mailman Posted March 25, 2022 Share Posted March 25, 2022 euro has very little tonight as well so big ol bag of bustLooks like Euro busted on that one. Pouring outside my window right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 25, 2022 Share Posted March 25, 2022 8 hours ago, Brian5671 said: euro has very little tonight as well so big ol bag of bust Pouring with thunder and lightning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted March 25, 2022 Share Posted March 25, 2022 MINOR LIGHTNING AREA SLIPPING BY TO THE SOUTH-but heavy rain here now 10:45pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 25, 2022 Share Posted March 25, 2022 Flash of lightning and rumble of thunder. Heavy rain currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STORMANLI Posted March 25, 2022 Share Posted March 25, 2022 +TSRA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 25, 2022 Share Posted March 25, 2022 Very heavy rain here in Brooklyn 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted March 25, 2022 Share Posted March 25, 2022 Had thunder and lightning here with heavy rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted March 25, 2022 Share Posted March 25, 2022 .75 inches total so far here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
guinness77 Posted March 25, 2022 Share Posted March 25, 2022 If this was Summer time, I’d be getting socked right now. Pretty impressive thunderstorm considering how chilly it was earlier. My floor shook from the thunder before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 25, 2022 Share Posted March 25, 2022 Been getting waves of moderate to heavy rain here over the last couple of hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 25, 2022 Share Posted March 25, 2022 12 hours ago, bluewave said: The one thing about the 6”+ April events is that they followed cold winters or cold Marches. So they were a product of the cold winter or early spring patterns. April 2018 followed the cold March with record 30” of snow at ISP. April 2003 followed one of our coldest and snowiest winters of the last 20 years. April 1996 speaks for itself with the historic snowfall that year with a cold winter into spring. The all-time April best blizzard of 1982 followed the cold 81-82 winter. Data for April 6, 1982 through April 6, 1982Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. State Name Station Type Total Snowfall NY ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP WBAN 16.0 NY PORT JERVIS COOP 15.1 NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 12.8 NY WESTCHESTER CO AP WBAN 12.0 NJ LODI COOP 11.5 NY SCARSDALE COOP 10.2 NJ PLAINFIELD COOP 10.1 CT STAMFORD 5 N COOP 10.0 CT DANBURY COOP 10.0 NJ MIDLAND PARK COOP 10.0 NY DOBBS FERRY-ARDSLEY COOP 9.7 NY NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 9.6 NY MINEOLA COOP 9.0 CT NEW HAVEN COOP 9.0 NY NY WESTERLEIGH STAT IS COOP 9.0 NY WESTBURY COOP 8.8 NY NEW YORK AVE V BROOKLYN COOP 8.8 NY NEW YORK LAUREL HILL COOP 8.5 NY LAGUARDIA AIRPORT WBAN 8.2 NY WEST POINT COOP 8.0 NY JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 8.0 Data for April 8, 1996 through April 10, 1996Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. State Name Station Type Total Snowfall NY PATCHOGUE 2 N COOP 15.0 CT JEWETT CITY COOP 13.0 NY YORKTOWN HEIGHTS 1W COOP 12.0 CT MIDDLETOWN 4 W COOP 12.0 CT NORWICH PUBLIC UTILITY PLANT COOP 11.0 CT IGOR I SIKORSKY MEMORIAL AIRPORT WBAN 9.8 NY ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP WBAN 9.6 CT GROTON COOP 9.5 NJ CHARLOTTEBURG RESERVOIR COOP 9.0 CT DANBURY COOP 8.1 NY BRIDGEHAMPTON COOP 8.0 NY GREENPORT POWER HOUSE COOP 7.5 NY RIVERHEAD RESEARCH FARM COOP 7.0 CT MOUNT CARMEL COOP 6.0 NY MINEOLA 1 NE COOP 5.5 NY JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 4.0 Data for April 7, 2003 through April 8, 2003Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. State Name Station Type Total Snowfall NY BRIDGEHAMPTON COOP 8.0 NJ HARRISON COOP 6.5 NY CENTERPORT COOP 6.4 NY OCEANSIDE COOP 6.1 NY LAGUARDIA AIRPORT WBAN 5.6 NY JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 5.4 NY BRONX COOP 5.3 NY NEW YORK AVE V BROOKLYN COOP 5.3 NY SEA CLIFF COOP 5.0 NJ CRANFORD COOP 5.0 NY RIVERHEAD RESEARCH FARM COOP 4.5 NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 4.4 CT JEWETT CITY COOP 4.0 NY NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 4.0 Data for April 1, 2018 through April 3, 2018Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. State Name Station Type Total Snowfall NJ CEDAR GROVE TWP 0.4 W CoCoRaHS 8.2 NJ WEST CALDWELL TWP 1.3 NE CoCoRaHS 7.5 CT NEW CANAAN 1.9 ENE CoCoRaHS 7.5 NJ TENAFLY 1.3 W CoCoRaHS 7.4 NJ LITTLE FALLS TWP 0.5 WNW CoCoRaHS 7.4 CT DARIEN 2.8 NW CoCoRaHS 7.3 CT STAMFORD 4.2 S CoCoRaHS 7.2 NJ HAWTHORNE 1.0 SSE CoCoRaHS 7.1 NY WADING RIVER 2.0 NW CoCoRaHS 7.1 NJ TETERBORO AIRPORT WBAN 7.0 NJ GLEN ROCK 0.7 SSE CoCoRaHS 7.0 NY GREENWOOD LAKE 3.0 SW CoCoRaHS 7.0 NY ARMONK 0.4 E CoCoRaHS 7.0 CT OAKDALE 2.6 WNW CoCoRaHS 7.0 NY CENTERPORT COOP 6.9 NJ KEARNY 1.7 NW CoCoRaHS 6.8 NJ HARRISON COOP 6.5 NJ OAKLAND 0.9 SSE CoCoRaHS 6.5 NJ HAWTHORNE 0.4 S CoCoRaHS 6.5 NY BRIGHTWATERS 0.7 NNW CoCoRaHS 6.5 CT MADISON CENTER 4.1 N CoCoRaHS 6.5 NY FISHERS ISLAND 0.5 NE CoCoRaHS 6.3 NJ CHARLOTTEBURG RESERVOIR COOP 6.2 CT MADISON CENTER 1.6 W CoCoRaHS 6.2 CT DANBURY COOP 6.1 CT NORWALK 2.9 NNW CoCoRaHS 6.1 CT SEYMOUR 1.5 NE CoCoRaHS 6.1 NJ NEW PROVIDENCE 0.8 ESE CoCoRaHS 6.0 NJ NORTH ARLINGTON 0.7 WNW CoCoRaHS 6.0 CT IGOR I SIKORSKY MEMORIAL AIRPORT WBAN 6.0 CT BRIDGEPORT-SUCCESS HILL COOP 6.0 CT SHELTON 1.3 W CoCoRaHS 6.0 CT RIDGEFIELD 1.9 SSE CoCoRaHS 6.0 NY ARMONK 0.3 SE CoCoRaHS 5.9 NJ WESTFIELD 0.6 NE CoCoRaHS 5.8 NJ CANOE BROOK COOP 5.7 NY WEST NYACK 1.3 WSW CoCoRaHS 5.7 CT MILFORD 1.8 E CoCoRaHS 5.7 CT MYSTIC 0.9 W CoCoRaHS 5.7 CT BETHEL 0.5 E CoCoRaHS 5.6 CT SOUTHBURY 2.0 NNE CoCoRaHS 5.6 CT NEW LONDON 1.0 NNW CoCoRaHS 5.6 NY LAGUARDIA AIRPORT WBAN 5.5 NY NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 5.5 Right, this alone should have indicated that April 1997 would be a bust down here. Somehow the Jersey shore ended up getting 6-8 inches out of it though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 25, 2022 Share Posted March 25, 2022 27 minutes ago, lee59 said: Had thunder and lightning here with heavy rain. Same-- for some reason these seem to always happen in the middle of the night this early in the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 25, 2022 Share Posted March 25, 2022 Picked up 1.20" of rain for the day. Storm total 1.29" Current temp 44 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted March 25, 2022 Share Posted March 25, 2022 The last 7 days of March are averaging 42degs.(35/48) or -4. Month to date is 46.5[+4.7]. March should end at 45.5[+2.7]. Reached 48 here yesterday, at 8pm. Today: 60-64, wind w. to sw. and breezy, clearing skies. 5220m Heights on the 28th, -2.7sd.--- ridge rises on the 31st. then flattens out. 46*(94%RH) here at 6am. 49* at 9am. 51* at Noon. Reached 57* at 6pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 25, 2022 Share Posted March 25, 2022 Morning thoughts… It will become partly cloudy and mild. High temperatures will likely reach the lower 60s in much of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include: New York City (Central Park): 62° Newark: 62° Philadelphia: 63° Noticeably colder air will arrive this weekend. Normals: New York City: 30-Year: 52.9°; 15-Year: 53.6° Newark: 30-Year: 53.8°; 15-Year: 54.7° Philadelphia: 30-Year: 56.0°; 15-Year: 56.7° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 25, 2022 Share Posted March 25, 2022 9 hours ago, SI Mailman said: 17 hours ago, Brian5671 said: euro has very little tonight as well so big ol bag of bust Looks like Euro busted on that one. Pouring outside my window right now yeah I got .68 last night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted March 25, 2022 Share Posted March 25, 2022 Topped out here at 45 yesterday, overnight low was 40. Currently 44 as of 8:45, with a high near 60 predicted today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 25, 2022 Share Posted March 25, 2022 The coming freezing temperatures would've been absolutely devastating to the growing season if Feb/March were a little warmer. Still we're a good 10-14 days ahead of schedule so some early bloom damage is likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted March 25, 2022 Share Posted March 25, 2022 .68" all total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 25, 2022 Share Posted March 25, 2022 48 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: The coming freezing temperatures would've been absolutely devastating to the growing season if Feb/March were a little warmer. Still we're a good 10-14 days ahead of schedule so some early bloom damage is likely. non native ornamental cherries, no big deal 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 25, 2022 Share Posted March 25, 2022 59 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: The coming freezing temperatures would've been absolutely devastating to the growing season if Feb/March were a little warmer. Still we're a good 10-14 days ahead of schedule so some early bloom damage is likely. All the local grocery stores and garden centers already have out the annual flowering plants like pansies and petunias. Several people around here have the flowering baskets in front of their houses. So they will all have to be taken in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 25, 2022 Share Posted March 25, 2022 4 minutes ago, bluewave said: All the local grocery stores and garden centers already have out the annual flowering plants like pansies and petunias. Several people around here have the flowering baskets in front of their houses. So they will all have to be taken in. pansies can handle frost Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 25, 2022 Share Posted March 25, 2022 14 minutes ago, forkyfork said: pansies can handle frost Frosts yes, but temperatures below 25° not ideal. https://www.chicagotribune.com/lifestyles/home-and-garden/ct-home-0406-garden-qa-20170407-story.html 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted March 25, 2022 Share Posted March 25, 2022 Only April 10-17 looks AN. Overall it looks like this: Other models are closer to Normal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 25, 2022 Share Posted March 25, 2022 18 hours ago, Tekken_Guy said: I’m just hoping we don’t get a repeat of 2020 or 2018 in April. 2018 would be awesome-- snow in April is always memorable! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 25, 2022 Share Posted March 25, 2022 17 hours ago, brooklynwx99 said: aside from the early cooldown, April looks warmer than not. also some indications of a warmer summer but that's way out there. the base state of the persistent SE / W Atlantic ridge has been established, so ride with that until further notice you can have snow in early April and still a warm April thereafter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 25, 2022 Share Posted March 25, 2022 16 hours ago, uncle W said: having a warmer than average summer is par for the course now unless it rains every day like the summer of 2004 and 2009...these are the coolest Summers since 1950 in NYC... year....June...July....Aug...Ave...annual max warmest 30days total 90+ days 2009...67.5...72.7...75.7...72.0...........92..............76.6.............7 2000...71.2...72.3...72.7...72.1...........93..............72.7.............7 1992...70.3...74.2...73.0...72.5...........93..............74.4............9 1965...70.5...74.3...73.2...72.7...........95..............75.7...........15 1950...70.3...75.0...73.1...72.8...........95..............75.0.............6 1956...71.4...72.9...74.2...72.8...........99..............75.1...........11 1958...67.2...76.1...75.2...72.8...........93..............76.4.............6..... 1962...72.5...74.0...72.4...73.0...........99..............75.6...........18 1963...70.9...76.4...72.1...73.1...........98..............76.5............16 2004...71.2...74.5...74.2...73.3...........91..............74.8.............2 1964...71.6...75.4...72.9...73.3...........99..............76.4...........23 1996...71.4...73.4...74.5...73.4...........96..............74.9.............3 1986...71.6...76.0...73.1...73.6...........98...............76.3............11 1975...70.5...75.8...74.4...73.6...........98..............77.2.............8 1989...72.0...75.0...74.0...73.7...........96..............75.8...........16 1960...71.8...74.6...74.9...73.8...........91..............75.0.............5 1967...72.8...75.3...73.9...74.0...…….95...…….....76.3...……....9. 1976...73.2...74.8...74.3...74.1...........96..............75.8...........15 what was the August we had the big regional blackout? was that 2003 or 2004? Hottest day of the year-- the high was 95 or 96. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 25, 2022 Share Posted March 25, 2022 4 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: what was the August we had the big regional blackout? was that 2003 or 2004? Hottest day of the year-- the high was 95 or 96. 2003 I think 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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