MJO812 Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 8 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Any last gasps of winter will probably wait until the second half of the month with Pv split effects (maybe) and mjo cold phases….. My gut tells me it’s over outside a late spring hilltop snow You need help from the NAO and AO next month. PNA is going negative and EPO still looks good. MJO will not be the driver of the pattern being in the COD. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 Bring on the spring heavy rain and severe weather. We try again next winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 2 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: Bring on the spring heavy rain and severe weather. We try again next winter. Our severe weather season has been a lot more active lately and it should continue. More flooding and tornado threats 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 6 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: Bring on the spring heavy rain and severe weather. We try again next winter. Enjoy the cold next month 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 52 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Enjoy the cold next month Cold and dry in March. Have fun with that 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: Enjoy the cold next month I'm willing to bet we hit 80 in March. There's no blocking and a strong -PNA is likely. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: Enjoy the cold next month There's no sign of cold for the first half of the month, unless you want to consider a couple days (this coming thursday and friday) in the low-mid 40s cold. We warm up to 60 next weekend. This is looking like a mild month unless we have a dramatic turnaround in the 2nd half of the month. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 i will enjoy the cold i wish it more dark though i hate the sunlight to bright... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 Bring on the 70s an severe threats!! 4 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 4 hours ago, MJO812 said: You need help from the NAO and AO next month. PNA is going negative and EPO still looks good. MJO will not be the driver of the pattern being in the COD. What happened to the other NYC weather forum? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 Not buying the 2nd half of March/after mid-month “winter is coming back” hype going around on twitter. Maybe central and northern interior New England pull off something? But the 1st half of March, at least, looks to be cooked here. As far as hoping for some miracle comeback after 3/15…good luck with that. And as far as a mid-month “SSW” some are talking about, what’s being shown is not even a true SSW, if anything it’s a normal final warming event, which happens every spring. Even if there was a mid-March SSWE, what good does that even do? There is a lag and by then it’s the tail end of March/early April….too little too late for producing a snowstorm pattern here. If it results in blocking, it’s chilly rains and dreary chilly spring days when no one wants it anymore 1 1 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 14 minutes ago, snowman19 said: Not buying the 2nd half of March/after mid-month “winter is coming back” hype going around on twitter. Maybe central and northern interior New England pull off something? But the 1st half of March, at least, looks to be cooked here. As far as hoping for some miracle comeback after 3/15…good luck with that. And as far as a mid-month “SSW” some are talking about, what’s being shown is not even a true SSW, if anything it’s a normal final warming event, which happens every spring. Even if there was a mid-March SSWE, what good does that even do? There is a lag and by then it’s the tail end of March/early April….too little too late for producing a snowstorm pattern here. If it results in blocking, it’s chilly rains and dreary chilly spring days when no one wants it anymore You don't buy a wintry look? Shocking. 9 3 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 53 minutes ago, sussexcountyobs said: What happened to the other NYC weather forum? No one posts there anymore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 23 minutes ago, snowman19 said: Not buying the 2nd half of March/after mid-month “winter is coming back” hype going around on twitter. Maybe central and northern interior New England pull off something? But the 1st half of March, at least, looks to be cooked here. As far as hoping for some miracle comeback after 3/15…good luck with that. And as far as a mid-month “SSW” some are talking about, what’s being shown is not even a true SSW, if anything it’s a normal final warming event, which happens every spring. Even if there was a mid-March SSWE, what good does that even do? There is a lag and by then it’s the tail end of March/early April….too little too late for producing a snowstorm pattern here. If it results in blocking, it’s chilly rains and dreary chilly spring days when no one wants it anymore We have heard this from you all winter 8 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 4 minutes ago, MJO812 said: We have heard this from you all winter We’ve also heard how deep winter is always coming from you since November. You are the Joe Bastardi, Jr of this place 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 10 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: You don't buy a wintry look? Shocking. Why are you posting in the NYC forum or even care what goes on in here when you live in the Tug Hill Plateau of upstate NY? 5 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 By all means, cheer on warmth once we get to April. For now, anomalous warmth in March only further reinforces our new climate realities and I absolutely cannot find excitement for it. Whether I prefer the cold or not, it’s just sad to me. I mean this sincerely even if you’re a warm weather person; enjoy the seasonality while we can still get it here. The way things have been since 2015 is alarming, at least to me. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 10 minutes ago, MJO812 said: No one posts there anymore you do..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 2 minutes ago, snowman19 said: Why are you posting in the NYC forum or even care what goes on in here when you live in the Tug Hill Plateau of upstate NY? I don't live in the Tug Hill. I did for a year, but the economy there is very difficult. Since we're totally free to post on any forum on here, I enjoy the NYC forum, as you have some really knowledgeable weather folks on here who don't just discuss storms for only your area. Why do you have "snowman" in your name when you very clearly like to "down" any winter weather possibilities? I agree in that winter in general seems to be lacking lately...but you seem to intentionally try to find any reason possible to advertise warmth and no winter. 9 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 3 minutes ago, nycwinter said: you do..... Sometimes and you don't know which forum I'm talking about. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 69 next Sunday? Sign me up! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 4 hours ago, SnoSki14 said: I'm willing to bet we hit 80 in March. There's no blocking and a strong -PNA is likely. Easy to do especially last 10 days of month. Models have close to 70 for next Sunday already. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 1 hour ago, CIK62 said: Freezing (sarcastic) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 we are going to turn cold by mid-month. the long-range GFS has a well-known issue parameterizing nuclear soot and ash particles in the upper atmosphere. 1 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 5 minutes ago, Will - Rutgers said: we are going to turn cold by mid-month. the long-range GFS has a well-known issue parameterizing nuclear soot and ash particles in the upper atmosphere. Oh please don't go there. Scary. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: Sometimes and you don't know which forum I'm talking about. i know the site seems to be dead at the moment.. maybe it will come back... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 44F for a high today, currently 42. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: No one posts there anymore Is it gone for good? I had all my yearly snow totals on there. I should have wrote them down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 11 minutes ago, sussexcountyobs said: Is it gone for good? I had all my yearly snow totals on there. I should have wrote them down. Might be Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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