Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,600
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    ArlyDude
    Newest Member
    ArlyDude
    Joined

March 2022


wdrag
 Share

Recommended Posts

10 minutes ago, HeadInTheClouds said:

Yeah, I laughed when I saw that. 9 inches for the city and 10 on Long Island is not happening. 

If the snow comes down hard enough it’ll accumulate regardless of time of year. But no way it’s more than a lucky 5-6” somewhere and away from the city. And that’s if the 1-2% possibility happens that the Nam is right. More likely it’s the way other models have it where it’s maybe a slushy couple of inches. 

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

I will say the other 0z meso models look decent for the Wed event as well. But this won't be anywhere near 10-1 ratios with the marginal at best temps and some will likely get wasted as white rain. But maybe this can be a half decent event that can sneak up on us outside the city. The city will probably have mostly white rain outside of the colder areas like Bayside/Whitestone unless it can come down heavily for a while. 

As for the squall line it split my area of course and there was a brief moderate shower.

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

8 hours ago, jm1220 said:

If the snow comes down hard enough it’ll accumulate regardless of time of year. But no way it’s more than a lucky 5-6” somewhere and away from the city. And that’s if the 1-2% possibility happens that the Nam is right. More likely it’s the way other models have it where it’s maybe a slushy couple of inches. 

yeah could be like 2-4, what time is the heaviest supposed to be?

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Morning thoughts…

It will be partly sunny and noticeably cooler. High temperatures will likely reach the upper 40s and lower 50s in most of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include:

New York City (Central Park): 48°

Newark: 49°

Philadelphia: 51°

A storm could bring a cold rain and wet snow tomorrow. Some accumulations are possible, especially on grassy surfaces.

Normals:

New York City: 30-Year: 47.2°; 15-Year: 47.7°

Newark: 30-Year: 48.3°; 15-Year: 49.0°

Philadelphia: 30-Year: 50.0°; 15-Year: 50.3°

Link to comment
Share on other sites

The next 8 days are averaging 42degs.(35/49), or +1.

Reached 69 here yesterday.

Today: 46-49, wind nw. to s. to e. and breezy, p. cloudy.

All models drank the same bad 'Hootch' and have 5" of Snow for Wednesday.     The 12th. more believable.

40*(50%RH) here at 6am.{was 55* at midnight}      42* at 9am.       47* at 4pm.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Very warm first week of March across the area with Newark at +4.7. The high of 76 was the 2nd warmest on record for the first week of March. It’s currently the 2nd warmest start to March since 2010.

 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Ending Date
Highest Max Temperature Mar 1 to Mar 7
Missing Count
1 1972-03-07 78 0
2 2022-03-07 76 0
3 1976-03-07 75 0
- 1964-03-07 75 0
- 1946-03-07 75 0
4 2017-03-07 73 0
- 1961-03-07 73 0
5 2009-03-07 72 0
- 1987-03-07 72 0
- 1974-03-07 72 0
6 1991-03-07 71 0

 

 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Ending Date
Mean Avg Temperature Mar 1 to Mar 7
Missing Count
1 2020-03-07 45.3 0
2 2022-03-07 43.8 0
3 2011-03-07 42.6 0
4 2010-03-07 42.3 0
5 2012-03-07 41.9 0
6 2018-03-07 41.4 0
7 2017-03-07 39.9 0
8 2016-03-07 39.3 0
9 2013-03-07 37.9 0
10 2021-03-07 34.8 0
11 2019-03-07 29.9 0
12 2014-03-07 28.2 0
13 2015-03-07 28.1 0
  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, MJO812 said:

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_18.png

Can't believe March may deliver yet again!!

Since 2010 March has out - performed December IMBY big time.

Obviously this storm may be too far west for us, and tomorrow may be white rain if the rates are not good enough, however the fact that we are yet again in the game shows that you can almost never count out March (unless your in a torch like 2012).

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

51 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Very warm first week of March across the area with Newark at +4.7. The high of 76 was the 2nd warmest on record for the first week of March. It’s currently the 2nd warmest start to March since 2010.

 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Ending Date
Highest Max Temperature Mar 1 to Mar 7
Missing Count
1 1972-03-07 78 0
2 2022-03-07 76 0
3 1976-03-07 75 0
- 1964-03-07 75 0
- 1946-03-07 75 0
4 2017-03-07 73 0
- 1961-03-07 73 0
5 2009-03-07 72 0
- 1987-03-07 72 0
- 1974-03-07 72 0
6 1991-03-07 71 0

 

 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Ending Date
Mean Avg Temperature Mar 1 to Mar 7
Missing Count
1 2020-03-07 45.3 0
2 2022-03-07 43.8 0
3 2011-03-07 42.6 0
4 2010-03-07 42.3 0
5 2012-03-07 41.9 0
6 2018-03-07 41.4 0
7 2017-03-07 39.9 0
8 2016-03-07 39.3 0
9 2013-03-07 37.9 0
10 2021-03-07 34.8 0
11 2019-03-07 29.9 0
12 2014-03-07 28.2 0
13 2015-03-07 28.1 0

How did JFK only have a high of 59?  I call BS on that report.  Islip was higher and they have a much longer trajectory over open water with a SW wind than JFK does!  A SW wind crosses central NJ and only a very small swath of ocean before reaching JFK.

 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

9 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

Get ready for 80s after the 15th. Hints at 2012 style ridging for the east. 

That would be the perfect scenario. 2 snow events to get us to average then let the warmth out!

One day we will repeat the month of March 2012. Difference of course was 2012 Canada was torched allowing for a true month long torch. This year Canada/west has a deep cold supply creating temp volatility.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 3/4/2022 at 1:55 PM, SnoSki14 said:

The Atlantic blocking & +PNA shown was just a headfake and transitory. Also I'm not sure what Doorman is smoking. How will that lead to a coastal track exactly? 

prateptype_cat_ecmwf.conus.thumb.png.afe8745c91853d8ad0e5bc2baf452b80.png

prateptype.conus.thumb.png.5cfc5c77cb4cbdef0a798507933f20e7.png

 

  • Weenie 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

10 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

Nice!  So no more of these two a week rainstorms anymore

Might finally have the hot dry summer I've been craving for.

 

You're not going to be seeing a hot, dry summer anytime soon, if ever with those boiling SSTs offshore. 

It could be dry for short periods but high dews/storminess will prevail. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...