SI Mailman Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 I'm delivering in shorts for the first time in 2022. No regrets 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 Imagine how many more record highs NYC would have during the warm season if they properly maintained that site. As soon as the leaves drop the record highs arrive. That’s why there were more 90° days before the trees over grew the site in the 1990s. Today is the 4th record high or tie since December. RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK, NY 109 PM EST MON MAR 7 2022 ...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE TIED SO FAR TODAY AT CENTRAL PARK NY... THE TEMPERATURE AT CENTRAL PARK NY REACHED 74 JUST AFTER 1 PM. THIS TIES THE RECORD OF 74 LAST SET IN 1946. THIS RECORD REPORT WILL BE UPDATED LATER TODAY WITH THE FINAL HIGH TEMPERATURE. RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK, NY 456 PM EST SUN MAR 06 2022 ...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT CENTRAL PARK NY... A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 68 WAS SET AT CENTRAL PARK NY TODAY. THIS TIES THE OLD RECORD OF 68 SET IN 1935. RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK, NY 201 PM EST THU FEB 17 2022 ...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT CENTRAL PARK NY... A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 68 WAS SET AT CENTRAL PARK NY TODAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 67 SET IN 1976. AN UPDATE WILL BE SENT IF A HIGHER TEMPERATURE IS REACHED. RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK, NY 120 AM EST SUN DEC 12 2021 ...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT CENTRAL PARK NY... A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 66 WAS SET AT CENTRAL PARK NY YESTERDAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 64 SET IN 1879. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 3 hours ago, MJO812 said: If there is a god then Sloatsberg will get the higher numbers ( : 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 Initial thoughts CMC did very well with this storm. I could see qpf amounts going up with this as we closer to the event. I think this could be a storm where Manhattan is White Rain and Central and Eastern LI, Jersey Shore, and north and west of the Tappan Zee sees 2-4 inches of snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted March 7, 2022 Author Share Posted March 7, 2022 3 hours ago, winterwx21 said: I mentioned on friday night that this had my attention because GGEM was showing it, and of course Walt has been all over it. But many people are going to be surprised if this happens because very have been talking about it. March of course is a crazy month where snowstorms can sneak up on you at the last minute, although GGEM would certainly deserve a lot of credit for advertising this pretty early. Have to take it seriously now that NAM is showing it too. Obviously it would be difficult to accumulate on pavement after warm temps and with borderline temps during the storm, but it certainly could end up being like the February snow event where we got a few inches on colder surfaces. My main consideration for pavement at AT 27F or higher, 1 hr after SR through 1HR before SS, is snow vsby about 1.5Mi or greater, then very little road acc, and of course none on treated. We get down to an hr of 1/2S at 33F, slush happens. It's not an easy prediction but the experienced idea is set forth, and so melting on pavement occurs. As discussed by our snow physics person a week or two ago, snow on snow is different. Then there are our snowboards, which is something in between. Will rereview this eve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted March 7, 2022 Author Share Posted March 7, 2022 1 minute ago, HVSnowLover said: Initial thoughts CMC did very well with this storm. I could see qpf amounts going up with this as we closer to the event. I think this could be a storm where Manhattan is White Rain and Central and Eastern LI, Jersey Shore, and north and west of the Tappan Zee sees 2-4 inches of snow. This one and i think prior storms this year and certainly SLK this morning where an advisory was issued with EC/ SPC HREF, GFS, HRRR all offering ice and a bit of snow. Not, with the exception of some IP mix. Check back for yourselves on (RGEM/GGEM) via TT or Pivotal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 Reached 62 degrees here today, felt good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 46 here.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 Well the HRRR sure looks good Wed 12-18Z if you want snow but as we know not trustworthy at this range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 1 minute ago, SnowGoose69 said: Well the HRRR sure looks good Wed 12-18Z if you want snow but as we know not trustworthy at this range Although the HRRR absolutely nailed the February snow event 48 hours in advance. We can certainly hope for a repeat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
matt8204 Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 57 minutes ago, SI Mailman said: I'm delivering in shorts for the first time in 2022. No regrets That's how it's done. Enjoy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
matt8204 Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 Got up to 74 here. Overcast now but still feels great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 Warmer than average March for our area on the extended EPS as the SE Ridge dominates. Mar 7-14 Mar 14-21 Mar 21-28 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 24 minutes ago, bluewave said: Warmer than average March for our area on the extended EPS as the SE Ridge dominates. Mar 7-14 Mar 14-21 Mar 21-28 This was supposed to be a cold month. What happened? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 46 with a steady rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 temp just spiked to 71 here in White Plains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 Wind Advisory from MON 6:00 PM EST until TUE 4:00 AM EST 1 of 2 Action Recommended Execute a pre-planned activity identified in the instructions Issued By New York City - NY, US, National Weather Service Affected Area Portions of northeast New Jersey, southern Connecticut and southeast New York Description ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY... WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph, shifting to the northwest. WHERE...Portions of northeast New Jersey, southern Connecticut and southeast New York. WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Tuesday. IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 42 minutes ago, bluewave said: Warmer than average March for our area on the extended EPS as the SE Ridge dominates. Mar 7-14 Mar 14-21 Mar 21-28 so in summer does it link up with the western ridge for 100+ or do we get high dewpoint heat instead 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 High for the day was 76 here. Current temp 74 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 26 minutes ago, MJO812 said: This was supposed to be a cold month. What happened? The models lost the blocking that they were showing for mid-March from Alaska to Northern Greenland. New Mar 14-21 Old run for Mar 14-21 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 Winds have gone calm here with the passage of the showers. We gusted to over 30 mph earlier. Down to 60 from a high of 72 earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 46 minutes ago, MJO812 said: This was supposed to be a cold month. What happened? Snowman19 prayed harder than we did 1 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 1 minute ago, White Gorilla said: Snowman19 prayed harder than we did I don't think God listens to him either. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 18z RGEM really has the snow coming down heavily for awhile wednesday. Obviously gonna need those heavy rates to overcome the borderline temps. RGEM would give us a few inches on colder surfaces. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 20 minutes ago, White Gorilla said: Snowman19 prayed harder than we did More likely at a coven than a traditional church. As always ….. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: This was supposed to be a cold month. What happened? That was quite awhile ago (back in February) that March was looking colder. We know long range is not very accurate. For the last week we've known that March is going to be a mild month. But of course that doesn't mean we can't sneak in a snow event. Hopefully that will happen on wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: This was supposed to be a cold month. What happened? Same thing all winter, lack of blocking. Nonstop +AO. -EPO was able to prevent a disaster of a winter but wasn't strong enough to give us a 13-15 winter either. Too much -PNA as well 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 1 hour ago, forkyfork said: so in summer does it link up with the western ridge for 100+ or do we get high dewpoint heat instead The Euro is going for something similar to last summer. Zonal ridge with centers east of New England and near the PAC NW. So a mix of heat and higher dew points. JJA 2022 forecast JJA 2021 forecast from March 2021 Verification JJA 2021 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 The 18z GFS keeps the theme of a strong storm affecting the region over the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 Ahead of an advancing cold front, temperatures soared to record levels in parts of the region away from the coastline. Daily records included: Allentown: 73° (old record: 70°, 1974, 1987, and 2009) Atlantic City: 76° (old record: 75°, 1974) Baltimore: 79° (old record: 76°, 1974) Georgetown, DE: 79° (old record: 75°, 1961) New York City-LGA: 74° (old record: 69°, 1987 and 2009) New York City-NYC: 74° (tied record set in 1946) Newark: 76° (old record: 75°, 1946) Philadelphia: 77° (old record: 74°, 1974) Salisbury: 79° (old record: 75°, 1974) Sterling, VA: 77° (old record: 76°, 1974) Trenton: 74° (old record: 72°, 1946 and 2009) Washington, DC: 80° (old record: 77°, 1961) Wilmington, DE: 78° (old record: 73°, 2009) In the New York City area, JFK Airport registered a high temperature of 59°. The last time JFK had a maximum temperature that was at least 15° colder than the Central Park high temperature was March 15, 2019. On that date, JFK record a high of 59° while Central Park saw the temperature top out at 75°. The record such spread in March is 22°. That mark was set on March 15, 1990, when the mercury reached 77° in Central Park but only 55° at JFK. In the wake of the cold front, readings will turn cooler. There is a growing risk that a storm could bring a cold rain or wet snow to the region on Wednesday. Some accumulations are possible especially on grassy surfaces. Milder conditions will follow in the storm's wake. Overall, March will likely be warmer than normal. There may also be one or two opportunities for at least some measurable snow in the northern Middle Atlantic and southern New England areas. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -1.3°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -1.1°C for the week centered around March 2. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -1.22°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.75°C. La Niña conditions will likely persist through March. The SOI was +16.80 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.004 today. On March 5 the MJO was in Phase 4 at an amplitude of 0.208 (RMM). The March 4-adjusted amplitude was 0.068 (RMM). Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 70% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal March (1991-2020 normal). March will likely finish with a mean temperature near 45.0° (2.2° above normal). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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