Ahoff Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 Happy Spring, since so many threw winter in the garbage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 Some crazy gradients in GFS fantasy land. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted February 25, 2022 Author Share Posted February 25, 2022 35 minutes ago, TimB said: Some crazy gradients in GFS fantasy land. Yeah, I doubt that. Though I do seem to remember a day in April a few years ago where it was around 80 here and in the 40s in Erie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted March 1, 2022 Author Share Posted March 1, 2022 Happy Spring. Possible 70s next weekend should push some over the edge, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted March 1, 2022 Share Posted March 1, 2022 9 hours ago, Ahoff said: Happy Spring. Possible 70s next weekend should push some over the edge, lol. Would say 70 is pretty likely if the forecast stays mid to upper 60s. We always overperform on temps, today was another example - forecast high was 53 or 54, PIT got to 58. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PghPirates27 Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 Do we typically overperform in the summer too? I’d take that if we had forecasts of 88 and hit 92. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 6 hours ago, PghPirates27 said: Do we typically overperform in the summer too? I’d take that if we had forecasts of 88 and hit 92. That’s @Ahoff’s area of complaint. We always underperform in the summer and it gets hotter in Syracuse and Burlington than it does here, or something like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted March 2, 2022 Author Share Posted March 2, 2022 6 hours ago, PghPirates27 said: Do we typically overperform in the summer too? I’d take that if we had forecasts of 88 and hit 92. No, lol. Almost never. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted March 2, 2022 Author Share Posted March 2, 2022 14 minutes ago, TimB said: That’s @Ahoff’s area of complaint. We always underperform in the summer and it gets hotter in Syracuse and Burlington than it does here, or something like that. Just a weird phenomena. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PghPirates27 Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 6 minutes ago, Ahoff said: Just a weird phenomena. Great so we overperform in the winter with warmth when we want snow, but when it's summer and the heat is good for swimming it doesn't. I am not happy about this lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 Just now, PghPirates27 said: Great so we overperform in the winter with warmth when we want snow, but when it's summer and the heat is good for swimming it doesn't. I am not happy about this lol. It’s probably all anecdotal, don’t take any of that seriously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted March 2, 2022 Author Share Posted March 2, 2022 22 minutes ago, PghPirates27 said: Great so we overperform in the winter with warmth when we want snow, but when it's summer and the heat is good for swimming it doesn't. I am not happy about this lol. I mean it's not like we get forecasted for 90 and end up at 75. It's more like forecast 90 or 91 and wind up at 88 or 89, almost every time. Definitely ends as swimming weather, just rare to go above forecasted highs when they get to the upper 80s and 90s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 1 hour ago, Ahoff said: Just a weird phenomena. I always figured that was just elevational effects mainly. PIT is at 1201', while SYR is 420' and BTV at 330'. There's usually not nearly as much of a north-south gradient in the summertime - in fact, many times with a big summertime ridge, there's warmer air aloft spreading in from Canada than there is further south. The moist adiabatic lapse rate is 3.5F per 1000 feet and dry adiabatic lapse rate is 5.4F per 1000 feet, but superadiabatic lapse rates can occur. Plus because of SYR and BTV's location, they get downsloping from most wind directions. PIT would only have downsloping from the east, otherwise generally a mild upslope flow (1200' being one of the higher points, which makes sense because it's an airport - there are a few 1300-1400' spots). If you look at last year, PIT had 5 90+ days, while SYR had 18 and BTV 14. However, BGM at 1627' only had 2 such days. I imagine if records were still kept downtown at say 800 or 850 feet, there would be more. The hot Syracuse temperatures are always a point of contention with the locals here, but elevation effects alone suggest it should be 4-6 degrees cooler in an atmosphere with adiabatic lapse rates than nearby Binghamton. I would imagine subtle downsloping effects and a more urbanized environment could even enhance those numbers somewhat. Obviously, in the winter, these trends don't hold. Temperature inversions are common, and lapse rates lower even in the absence of a temperature inversion. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted March 3, 2022 Share Posted March 3, 2022 On 2/24/2022 at 8:48 PM, Ahoff said: Happy Spring, since so many threw winter in the garbage. Dude you accuse me of trolling but you are trolling hard right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted March 3, 2022 Author Share Posted March 3, 2022 1 hour ago, KPITSnow said: Dude you accuse me of trolling but you are trolling hard right now. You’re not familiar with jokes it seems. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted March 4, 2022 Share Posted March 4, 2022 I might be drunk but I'm looking forward to that first thunderstorm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted March 4, 2022 Share Posted March 4, 2022 At this point, that promising winter period around next weekend is looking shorter, warmer, and less snowy. It’s probably time to accept that spring is here and has been since February 6th. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gordo74 Posted March 5, 2022 Share Posted March 5, 2022 23 hours ago, jwilson said: I might be drunk but I'm looking forward to that first thunderstorm. Tis the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
meatwad Posted March 5, 2022 Share Posted March 5, 2022 Warmest day of the year, 72 today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted March 6, 2022 Share Posted March 6, 2022 On 3/1/2022 at 4:29 PM, TimB said: Would say 70 is pretty likely if the forecast stays mid to upper 60s. We always overperform on temps, today was another example - forecast high was 53 or 54, PIT got to 58. Guess what… First 72 since the last day of our October heatwave (10/15/21). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted March 6, 2022 Author Share Posted March 6, 2022 Looks like low 40s by Tuesday again. Typical March rollercoaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gordo74 Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 On 3/5/2022 at 9:38 AM, Gordo74 said: Tis the season. Might get that thunder today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 The final hurrah on Saturday, eh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted March 7, 2022 Author Share Posted March 7, 2022 Just now, Mailman said: The final hurrah on Saturday, eh? Could be. Very March-like. 70s one weekend chance of accumulating snow the next. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 Yesterday’s low of 57 puts us into the record books. Interesting that Saturday afternoon was by far the warmer day this past weekend. Pretty impressive surge of warm air actually. HRRR nailed it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PghPirates27 Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 PIT gusted to 62 as the front rolled through. Sustained wind of 49 on the 3:51 obs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 Wind is ripping downtown. Surprised there are no warnings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donyewest Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 Robins have already come out to play. So have the dang chipmunks. Grass seed is on order, figure it'll be an early planting season since most models are easing up on cold over the next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted March 14, 2022 Author Share Posted March 14, 2022 So, anyway after our week of a foot of snow, we'll return to Spring this week. Ready for some 70s. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now