BuffaloWeather Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Not a cloud in the sky but cold low-mid 20s.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 24, 2022 Author Share Posted February 24, 2022 Good view of the lake today, full sunshine. You can see the Chautauqua ridgeline there with the snow line. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Canadian people are lucky that they’re so nice because I’m hopping mad at them for the no show today. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 3 minutes ago, 96blizz said: Canadian people are lucky that they’re so nice because I’m hopping mad at them for the no show today. Lol.. The 12z runs are up on TT.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Still playing catch up lol 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Rgem has done that a lot this year.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 15 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Still playing catch up lol Pretty big changes 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 17 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Still playing catch up lol Moved slightly south at 18Z. I am ok with that considering the NAM came a bit more north. Good middle ground. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Strong 18z runs for thruway corridor. NWS riding that line. Gonna be close to warning amounts I think. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 The track of the rgem is just some noise but it weakens/transfers several hours sooner, compared to the NAM.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 1 minute ago, wolfie09 said: The track of the rgem is just some noise but it weakness/transfers several hours sooner, compared to the NAM.. We might start crying bust when that dryslot comes through only to have the back end save us as usual. Not a big one but a solid 5-10 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 3 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: This would be ideal. That’s a solid rip of snow after the big front end thump! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 GFS still looks solid, a bit wetter then last run.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Sure looks like more than 4 inches in roc 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Funny, as the forecast amounts on models go up, the NWS offices reduce the amounts. They seem pretty set on the mix getting farther north. They must be seeing something, or just know how often it happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 14 minutes ago, tim123 said: Sure looks like more than 4 inches in roc Been thinking the same thing. I bet they bust low but dang they are usually pretty good. Like Matt said, maybe they know something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 I think eventually they will bump kroc back into the 6"-8' range..It could also have to do with ratios, WPC has 1/2"-3/4" precipitation for most, can't always trust kuchie lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Still a beautifully clear evening here. It'll be moving quickly for us to be getting snow in 6 to 7 hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 If you look at KSyr for example, grids show 7" on 0.70" liquid between 1am and 1pm..A little add on stuff after this.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 44 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Funny, as the forecast amounts on models go up, the NWS offices reduce the amounts. They seem pretty set on the mix getting farther north. They must be seeing something, or just know how often it happens. Mix lines and dry slots always seem to move in faster than expected. I think this is gonna be primarily a waa thump of 4-6 across most of WNY and CNY then mix and/or slot with backend snow showers. ENY will probably benefit from coastal re-development and end up with widespread 8-12. That's my guess. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 4 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: If you look at KSyr for example, grids show 7" on 0.70" liquid between 1am and 1pm..A little add on stuff after this.. Watertown 6.8" on 0.48" liquid.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Ready for replenishment. Pretty amazed theres still snow. Backyard which gets sun is sporadic at this stage but front of house still covered. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 28 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said: Mix lines and dry slots always seem to move in faster than expected. I think this is gonna be primarily a waa thump of 4-6 across most of WNY and CNY then mix and/or slot with backend snow showers. ENY will probably benefit from coastal re-development and end up with widespread 8-12. That's my guess. Yet another system where Syracuse gets the shaft? I hope that for once it doesn't happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 11 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Yet another system where Syracuse gets the shaft? I hope that for once it doesn't happen. Dude just sit back relax and enjoy the show! Anything’s better than nothing. I think your a lock for 6” and think your in a much better spot then BuffaloWeather and I. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 42 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Ready for replenishment. Pretty amazed theres still snow. Backyard which gets sun is sporadic at this stage but front of house still covered. It's gotta be all that ice you guys got in the storm at the beginning of the month. Just encased what you had. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 24, 2022 Author Share Posted February 24, 2022 Just now, TugHillMatt said: It's gotta be all that ice you guys got in the storm at the beginning of the month. Just encased what you had. Still 7" on the ground NW of Springville 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 9 minutes ago, lakeeffectkid383 said: Dude just sit back relax and enjoy the show! Anything’s better than nothing. I think your a lock for 6” and think your in a much better spot then BuffaloWeather and I. I love freaking out over each model run. For me that’s half the fun 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 Bgm radar just went down with no estimated time for restoration. Great time to be flying blind. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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