roardog Posted March 18, 2022 Share Posted March 18, 2022 53 minutes ago, Torchageddon said: Why not? It was the freeze in April that caused the damage. It brings an interesting point up whether its possible to have Morch and then a April/May that are also above normal or even avg in temps - I asked a met this and the answer was simply no. You can predict a monthly avg just based on the magnitude departure of a month before it? Yesterday did actually reach 18C but it was mostly filtered sunlight and then cloudy by evening. Waterloo ON got to 19C, Windsor and likely other towns in extreme SON got their first 20. Its very dark this morning. There could be an above normal April and still have hard freezes so another March 2012 would pretty much doom the plants/trees again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 18, 2022 Share Posted March 18, 2022 3 hours ago, Torchageddon said: Why not? It was the freeze in April that caused the damage. It brings an interesting point up whether its possible to have Morch and then a April/May that are also above normal or even avg in temps - I asked a met this and the answer was simply no. You can predict a monthly avg just based on the magnitude departure of a month before it? Yesterday did actually reach 18C but it was mostly filtered sunlight and then cloudy by evening. Waterloo ON got to 19C, Windsor and likely other towns in extreme SON got their first 20. Its very dark this morning. If I remember correctly, March and May were both above normal in 2010 & 2012. But yeah, April was normal to coolish both times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 18, 2022 Share Posted March 18, 2022 5 hours ago, roardog said: There could be an above normal April and still have hard freezes so another March 2012 would pretty much doom the plants/trees again. It does not matter how anomalous the April temperature is, it's almost impossible not to have a hard freeze in the areas that grow fruit trees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted March 18, 2022 Share Posted March 18, 2022 3 hours ago, Powerball said: If I remember correctly, March and May were both above normal in 2010 & 2012. But yeah, April was normal to coolish both times. 2010 was well above normal all 3 months, but 2012 had the more avg weather in April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted March 18, 2022 Share Posted March 18, 2022 Looks like temps for the next week will still be running around 40 for highs, and 25-30 for lows. Sloppy weather mixed in there with the rn/sn mix typical this time of year. Overnight always best for decent snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchageddon Posted March 18, 2022 Share Posted March 18, 2022 I wasn't aware that hard freezes happen every April, I just assumed above avg or record warm Aprils wouldn't. I'll also check Mar 2010 again because I don't remember it being above avg perception wise. Today was an even bigger bust than yesterday, I made it to 7C (briefly) and point was set to 13C, then 11C. Dumpster-tier day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted March 19, 2022 Share Posted March 19, 2022 Today's cold soaker put 1.00" in my gauge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 19, 2022 Share Posted March 19, 2022 16 hours ago, Torchageddon said: I wasn't aware that hard freezes happen every April, I just assumed above avg or record warm Aprils wouldn't. I'll also check Mar 2010 again because I don't remember it being above avg perception wise. Today was an even bigger bust than yesterday, I made it to 7C (briefly) and point was set to 13C, then 11C. Dumpster-tier day. I was only referring to MI btw. Not sure about other states but in the northern locations i would assume its the same. In 148 years of record, there has only been 1 April at Detroit without a freeze, and the min temp that April was 33. Areas around here where fruit is grown are in areas that radiate much better than DTW, so by that I assume hard freezes are seen every April. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 19, 2022 Share Posted March 19, 2022 Picked up 0.85" here. Had some pretty close thunder yesterday morning. We're definitely off to a great start with thunderstorms this year, especially compared to last year lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bowtie` Posted March 20, 2022 Share Posted March 20, 2022 0.81" of rain so far for this event. Might be able to add another hundredth or two but I am going to call it a night. The good news is that for the first time in a long time the backside precipitation was all rain. Just in time for the Equinox tomorrow. Happy Spring everyone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted March 20, 2022 Share Posted March 20, 2022 Latest NAM gets us up to 68 Monday in the warm sector of a surface low near the Twin Cities. Seems like there ought to be some storms/severe weather chances with a pattern like that, but dewpoints are in the low 40s. Going to have to armchair chase Texas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 20, 2022 Share Posted March 20, 2022 0.68" of rain here last night through today. Washed away the salt lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted March 20, 2022 Share Posted March 20, 2022 Looking forward to the next couple weeks. Hoping some of these systems wrap up to bring me a good storm (blizzard??). Would be nice. I noted one potential in my Holiday forecast thread on April 1st. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 21, 2022 Share Posted March 21, 2022 nice but boring spring so far and we have avoided the great geosland drought of 2021-2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted March 21, 2022 Share Posted March 21, 2022 Windy day with NE winds up to 35. Had some light mix move through this morning, rn/sn/sl. Looks like ice over to snow the next 48 hrs or so. Up to 0.25" of ice, then 3-6" of snow with 6-12" farther up the shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted March 21, 2022 Share Posted March 21, 2022 First 70º day here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted March 21, 2022 Share Posted March 21, 2022 Saw my first robin(s, 2 actually) of spring 2022 today. A couple weeks earlier than some recent years. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 21, 2022 Share Posted March 21, 2022 aren't robins year round in madison? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted March 21, 2022 Share Posted March 21, 2022 48 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: aren't robins year round in madison? most migrate south but a few stay around during the winter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted March 21, 2022 Share Posted March 21, 2022 up to at least 72 out there. Nice torch 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted March 21, 2022 Share Posted March 21, 2022 Winds off the Lake getting a bit stronger. A good 40-45 mph now. As the system approaches, strong inflow of dry air can retard the precip for a few hours around the head of the Lake, lessening the totals. Get that radar donut hole. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted March 21, 2022 Share Posted March 21, 2022 Just a gorgeous spring day here. We hit 75º. It appears we won't see this temp again for a while. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 21, 2022 Share Posted March 21, 2022 Outstanding day, hit 75 here, 77 at MLI. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 21, 2022 Share Posted March 21, 2022 First buds popping now 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchageddon Posted March 22, 2022 Share Posted March 22, 2022 What is this conveyor belt? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted March 22, 2022 Share Posted March 22, 2022 Raining with some snow starting to mix in now. A little ice on my ramp this morning. Winds are not bad today, up to 25-30 mph. Should turn to all snow later on today with 3-6" of slush by tomorrow. Temps are right at freezing at the moment, and will hover there until later in the night. Tis March EDIT: Starting to freeze on the roads with a little snow. Still mixed stuff, but getting icy out there. Update: All wet, heavy snow now at 4:30 pm. Starting to collect on the roads as sun angle is lower now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted March 22, 2022 Share Posted March 22, 2022 After a week of really nice weather, still quite a bit of ice out on the Big Water. This weather system should reduce it quite a bit tho. Lake pic is from 20th, while ice chart is issued midday 21st. The chart data comes from pm 20th to am 21st sat data. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted March 23, 2022 Share Posted March 23, 2022 We didn't get much rain from the weakening initial band this morning, but tonight was much better. I finished with a real nice 1.34". More fell just barely to my west. We are in moderate drought, so spring is off to a good start (2.34" over the last week). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chuckster2012 Posted March 23, 2022 Share Posted March 23, 2022 Don't look now but the end of the month looks interesting for some of us.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted March 23, 2022 Share Posted March 23, 2022 "IF THERE ARE SOME BREAKS IN THE CLOUDINESS AND HEATING STEEPENING UP THE LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES, THEN PERHAPS THERE COULD BE A CHANCE FUNNEL CLOUDS OR A WEAK LANDSPOUT, BUT OVERALL THE SEVERE THREAT IN OUR CWA LOOKS QUITE LOW. "- never go full IZZI. today's LOT AFD 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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