George001 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 This Saturday isn’t the last threat 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 7 minutes ago, George001 said: This Saturday isn’t the last threat 2mT would disagree for all of us and no fresh cold air 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 1 hour ago, yoda said: 2mT would disagree for all of us and no fresh cold air The low can create its own cold air, and 2m temps aren’t even worth looking at this far out. If the upper levels are that cold, that’s all snow. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 5 hours ago, George001 said: The low can create its own cold air, and 2m temps aren’t even worth looking at this far out. If the upper levels are that cold, that’s all snow. Low is too weak Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 From a science standpoint March solar is pretty cool to witness. All northern exposures still holding snow while southern are bare. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Euro still engaging in sping next week. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: From a science standpoint March solar is pretty cool to witness. All northern exposures still holding snow while southern are bare. yeah the rate of the snowmelt yesterday was impressive, kids built a snowman at 10, was a snowball by 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Hey PF ... Monday's a 'diurnal spread watch' from what I am seeing. ...I mean it's one of my little dorkisms about spring(autumn) season(s), to test the extremeness of diurnals? I think you mentioned sharing in this crushing tedium LOL But, that looks like decoupling Sunday night to a pretty deep layer... going to an interesting correction Monday afternoon. I think up your way, mid summit up, SW winds overnight - tougher there. The valleys may actually not mix out at all the following afternoon on Monday. Otherwise, we could be dead calm 19 at dawn around SNE Monday morning, and make 57F that afternoon. WSW flow during the day under full equinoxian full sun? Seeing 850 mb explode from -11C at dawn, all the way to +3 by evening ...whilst dry advection/ clear ceiling, which means the mixing depth may extend higher than one may think. The gradient seems too week to force that much correction at that level, so it's gotta be mixing... Pretty cool. Winter coats to heavy nape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Today's likely to be impressive too... Low 20s at dawn, it's already 40-44 at home sites around the area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 By the way ...for our winter enthusiasts, the anticipated 'bowling season' is showing up in the guidance as increasingly more plausible. One thing I'm seeing is the 'spring flash' passing over the operational models. It's not a fixed "effect" year to year, but it's when the pervasive veneer of colder availability/in situ across the N-tier and southern Canada, abruptly retreats and/or modulates up. This even this weekend appears to herald that in. It appears to coil winter up with it and trundles away as a deep pattern changing bomb- which is almost like a symbolic "seasonal Archembault" thing ... (that's interesting). anyway, next week we are left with more minoring 850 mb plumes and general warm tapestry of hydrostatic heights have taken over. *BUT* ... that still offers winter hope - ironically. Because the flow is relaxed, and it is curved in nature. The slowing velocities in the ambience allows that latter to happen, and there is the risk of closing off these parcels of mechanics. That's 1997 incarnate - not saying that's walking through the door. Just that closing off systems over marginal thickness settings is how you go from 64 F to 33 F at 10" of blue bomb snow ... which melts away in 3 days and your back in the 60s ...but, that's bowling season. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 42 minutes ago, tavwtby said: yeah the rate of the snowmelt yesterday was impressive, kids built a snowman at 10, was a snowball by 3 When the frost follows the shadows. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Next week looks great. <3 Winds gradually subside Sunday as gradient relaxes and high pressure builds to our south. Dry weather then prevails most of next week as flow aloft becomes more zonal, which will allow for temperatures to quickly rebound to above average for mid March. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 30 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: Next week looks great. <3 Winds gradually subside Sunday as gradient relaxes and high pressure builds to our south. Dry weather then prevails most of next week as flow aloft becomes more zonal, which will allow for temperatures to quickly rebound to above average for mid March. We take 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 1 hour ago, Torch Tiger said: Next week looks great. <3 Winds gradually subside Sunday as gradient relaxes and high pressure builds to our south. Dry weather then prevails most of next week as flow aloft becomes more zonal, which will allow for temperatures to quickly rebound to above average for mid March. We will be talking Stein in no time! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 4 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: We will be talking Stein in no time! i took a walk out in my back 40 yesterday, and there is some major water ponding going on. I imagine some of it has to do with the ground being frozen, but there is still a ton of water. my first thought was, if that Stein guy mentions anything about it being abnormally dry, or mentions the word drought, I am going to report his twitter post lol. because it is complete BS, at least up my way 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 55 minutes ago, dendrite said: We take No we don't 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 20 minutes ago, SJonesWX said: i took a walk out in my back 40 yesterday, and there is some major water ponding going on. I imagine some of it has to do with the ground being frozen, but there is still a ton of water. my first thought was, if that Stein guy mentions anything about it being abnormally dry, or mentions the word drought, I am going to report his twitter post lol. because it is complete BS, at least up my way Oh I know but people just love to indulge in that nonsense. I want nothing more than a warm, abnormally dry summer. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Driest summer ever? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 16 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: Driest summer ever? Bring it on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: No we don't 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 2 hours ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Bring it on. Please let that be. A monsoon summer would be extra depressing. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 Is it over? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Is it over? You can never rule out a bowling ball fluke scenario. However I would bet against more snow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 7 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: You can never rule out a bowling ball fluke scenario. However I would bet against more snow. Horrible way to end winter. Mostly rain here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rimetree Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 End of month might have something interesting but probably just model fantasy. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 Just now, MJO812 said: Horrible way to end winter. Mostly rain here. Honestly I am at peace with this winter. D+. Could have been a lot worse. 7th below average season this century so can't complain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 3 hours ago, MJO812 said: Horrible way to end winter. Mostly rain here. Yeah it’s all rain here and 40 degrees. This storm was always a long shot for us closer to the coast. It’s too bad, it’s a strong storm too. If we had blocking this would have likely been a blizzard, hopefully next winter the polar vortex cooperates more. Can’t really complain about winter for my area though, left some on the table but regardless, slightly above average snow with 20 inches in the monster blizzard late Jan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 Pattern gets kind of slow and blocky…not really huge arctic blocking per say, but bowling ball season with pseudo blocks in Canada…Tip alluded to this the other day. But this is showing up pretty strong on all ensemble guidance is we head into the equinox and beyond during the final week of March. So while we prance in the tulips a couple times next week, there’s a reasonable chance we haven’t seen our last accumulating snow…esp for interior. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 23 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Pattern gets kind of slow and blocky…not really huge arctic blocking per say, but bowling ball season with pseudo blocks in Canada…Tip alluded to this the other day. But this is showing up pretty strong on all ensemble guidance is we head into the equinox and beyond during the final week of March. So while we prance in the tulips a couple times next week, there’s a reasonable chance we haven’t seen our last accumulating snow…esp for interior. Is it possible to prance in the tulips, have a chill to the nape, and to have snow chances all at the same time? ...The questions that weenies ponder as spring approaches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 30 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Pattern gets kind of slow and blocky…not really huge arctic blocking per say, but bowling ball season with pseudo blocks in Canada…Tip alluded to this the other day. But this is showing up pretty strong on all ensemble guidance is we head into the equinox and beyond during the final week of March. So while we prance in the tulips a couple times next week, there’s a reasonable chance we haven’t seen our last accumulating snow…esp for interior. Yeah. Might even need to watch next weekend too. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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