Ginx snewx Posted March 6, 2022 Share Posted March 6, 2022 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Epic fail. Maybe but I would keep an eye open as this isn't set in stone. That's not a bad look 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 6, 2022 Share Posted March 6, 2022 8 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Wasn't the blizzard the 13th? My memory is fuzzy but I remember that was a good month 3/8 was the rain to snow bomb. I don’t think blizz statements were posted, but a lot of the interior had 1/4SM vis with 40kt gusts for over a few hours that evening…some TSSN too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 6, 2022 Share Posted March 6, 2022 Just now, dendrite said: 3/8 was the rain to snow bomb. I don’t think blizz statements were posted, but a lot of the interior had 1/4SM vis with 40kt gusts for over a few hours that evening…some TSSN too. There was another storm on 3/12/05 but it was nowhere near a blizzard. Maybe he was thinking of that one. It was actually a storm trying to escape east and dumped a large area of 8-12” over the interior with a bit of an IVT enhancement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 6, 2022 Share Posted March 6, 2022 8 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Maybe but I would keep an eye open as this isn't set in stone. That's not a bad look That’s a cutter look. Prob a deep wrapped up storm up in Ontario somewhere with that H5 plot. Behind it around 3/15 is the window I’d be looking at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 6, 2022 Share Posted March 6, 2022 1 minute ago, dendrite said: 3/8 was the rain to snow bomb. I don’t think blizz statements were posted, but a lot of the interior had 1/4SM vis with 40kt gusts for over a few hours that evening…some TSSN too. Ok just looked on Ewall. Now I remember that then the 984 on the 13th added a 10 to 14 down here. I remember that one was dryer. That's the one where an old lady hit the rocks by my driveway, so I offered to drive her and her dog, full car of groceries down our hill to the flats. Got in the car and started down the hill only to find she had NO Brakes, hit the Ebrake and slammed it into park and we slid sideways down the hil. Got her off the road and a ride from a passing truck. On my way back up the hill a car came flying down swerved and hit the hill on the side of the road and Dukes and Hazard style flew past my head by about 3 feet and landed back in the road. Quite the day. This year during the blizzard another car wrecked into rocks at the bottom of my hill. That makes 5 consecutive years. That hill is brutal as it's a blind drop to a stop sign. The people at the bottom of the hill put up huge boulders as their house was hit 3 times lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 6, 2022 Share Posted March 6, 2022 28 minutes ago, MJO812 said: What happened to the epic pattern ? All the way back to last fall ..Morch looked like early spring . We were skeptical of this epicosity that some were touting here. Wax hoping they’d be right, but had doubts. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 6, 2022 Share Posted March 6, 2022 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: All the way back to last fall ..Morch looked like early spring . We were skeptical of this epicosity that some were touting here. Wax hoping they’d be right, but had doubts. When does this early spring start? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 6, 2022 Share Posted March 6, 2022 7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: When does this early spring start? He calls for March 2012 every single year now. 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 6, 2022 Share Posted March 6, 2022 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: He calls for March 2012 every single year now. Other than this prefrontal heater tonight it's hard to see any crazy AN weather for the next ten days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 6, 2022 Share Posted March 6, 2022 27 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: When does this early spring start? Today onwards 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 6, 2022 Share Posted March 6, 2022 2 hours ago, dendrite said: It feels tropical walking out to a temp above freezing. 33° Warm sector bust going on today though ... I haven't been paying much attention to the details, admittedly, but the general synoptics offered by most guidance I've seen ...didn't appeal like we'd be stuck with the "spilled latex on the highway" look on hi res satellite. Sometimes ( hypothesis ...) I've noticed this about/when in these high velocity flow scenarios, where the warm advection takes place, but seems to perhaps be 'too fast' - it out paces the Eikman (ch spl) drag effect? That cold lower saturated fog miasma, needs some special scouring the sun is just slightly too weak to do on it's own, yet the sounding is protecting the surface. It's almost like a stain on satellite. Whatever it is the strands this paste in the lowest 50 mb of the atmosphere ..it doesn't help that we're drilling mid level cloud swaths over top, either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 6, 2022 Share Posted March 6, 2022 There is a mid and U/A clearing punching in from the WSW though... Roughly SYR-PIT at dawn and it's leading edge is already knocking on the door of ALB. I wondering, when it unlids eastward if it just exposes this static cling on the bottom, or if it arrives with a t-spike and some breeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 6, 2022 Share Posted March 6, 2022 It's really hard to ignore the vast deconstruction of the EPO handling that's insidiously claimed the otherwise favorable look we had been erstwhile tracking. It seems to erode ... slowly, under the radar, spanning five days ... Now, both the EPS and GEFs ( centered on day 10 ) have a dying EPO ridge receding back toward Kamchatka... with a zonal, velocity rich flow, spanning the entire hemisphere from west of the Dateline to NS. ( ssh...sometimes zonal flows precede subtropical ridge expansion. That's synoptic 101) The previous "optimism" was based upon the climate behavior of -EPO's tending to fade into +PNA's... That would be a segue into a storm potential..etc.. EPS loads cold... PNA sends amplitude underneath. Boom. But this has suffered ( maybe?? ) seasonal wave length - seems a bit early to make that assumption. But this is situation either way that will dump cold into Canada, but then an unattended -PNA circulation mode may not bring it south...nor serve any means to amplify... It just changes everything. The other aspect I'm hypothesizing is that the speed/mass balancing of the hemisphere screwed mechanically ... like it tunneled under and abandoned. Both operational Euro and GFS ( 00z ), average about 3.5 day periodicity between cold waves and warm sector oscillations. With nothing but different hobby engagement worthy events separating, through day 10. Honestly... I did post reticence to the March mid month period last week. I cited the fact that EPO signals may not carry the same telecon correlation at this time of year, as they do DJF. It's just that the PNA aspect intervened and sort distracted the look ... Either way, the EPO is not at this time, modeled to subsequently lead a +PNA of sufficient anything.. Nothing's happened yet. We're still going to have plenty of late season cold loaded nearby over Canada. And the 06z GFS ...which I'm tossing pending anything from anyone or source that concurs..., shows if nothing else, 'how' it can happen in a butt bang pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 6, 2022 Share Posted March 6, 2022 41 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Today onwards It may snow Thursday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 6, 2022 Share Posted March 6, 2022 The only thing epic about this March so far is how bad it has been. Maybe mid-month it finally turns around and we can get a couple weeks of a grand finale on the slopes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 6, 2022 Share Posted March 6, 2022 30 with mod rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted March 6, 2022 Share Posted March 6, 2022 15 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: Yea I remember that. It missed us south. 4/8/95 I think. It was after that ridiculous cold outbreak we got on 4/5 and 4/6 Its been since 1997 that there was an area wide event in very late March or April. I mean double digit( or at least 8 inches) snows to the valley floor. They have missed northern CT and much of southern mass to the south and north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Moonlit Sky Posted March 6, 2022 Share Posted March 6, 2022 The groundhog said winter continues into March though. Are we all saying the groundhog is wrong? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted March 6, 2022 Share Posted March 6, 2022 2 hours ago, MJO812 said: What happened to the epic pattern ? weaklies fyl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 6, 2022 Share Posted March 6, 2022 54 with dim sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted March 6, 2022 Share Posted March 6, 2022 42 with showers, where are the 60s? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 6, 2022 Share Posted March 6, 2022 42 minutes ago, PhineasC said: 30 with mod rain. 30? Icing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 6, 2022 Share Posted March 6, 2022 58 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: It may snow Thursday Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 6, 2022 Share Posted March 6, 2022 11 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: 42 with showers, where are the 60s? Lol Coming my way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 6, 2022 Share Posted March 6, 2022 We had maybe five minutes of light rain here. Cloud deck has now brightened up a little bit. 36/30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 6, 2022 Share Posted March 6, 2022 Temps should shoot up when that dry sector punches through. At least that’s how it’s been modeled…we’ll see. 33° and RA right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 6, 2022 Share Posted March 6, 2022 0.40” water in the Stratus at Mtn Ops… all fell at 33-36F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted March 6, 2022 Share Posted March 6, 2022 1 hour ago, PhineasC said: The only thing epic about this March so far is how bad it has been. Maybe mid-month it finally turns around and we can get a couple weeks of a grand finale on the slopes. Biggest week of the winter for NNE from Friday to Friday but ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 6, 2022 Share Posted March 6, 2022 31 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: 30? Icing? Roads are slick. It’s raining too hard to really accrete much. But pack is holding fine so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 6, 2022 Share Posted March 6, 2022 23 minutes ago, dendrite said: Temps should shoot up when that dry sector punches through. At least that’s how it’s been modeled…we’ll see. 33° and RA right now Glad to see I can still do CAD and not always just shoot to 60 in these events. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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