klw Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 2 hours ago, Cold Miser said: ...But will I be able to use this before the end of the season? Probably when the wheat is ready for harvest. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Probably more mid month. Might be a cutter risk there 10-12. I'm kind of checking out. If there is nothing imminent it's not worth getting excited. You walk out now it's mild....could wear a t shirt. Just doesn't have the same feel or excitement it did even a month ago. If something major(and not 1-3/2-4 BS) becomes imminent…the feel will come right back…bet on it! But until something is imminent(or never happens)…I hear ya completely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 13 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: If something major(and not 1-3/2-4 BS) becomes imminent…the feel will come right back…bet on it! But until something is imminent(or never happens)…I hear ya completely. Oh I'm there for anything big. And hell I'll take a few inches here or there. I just meant nothing looks promising at the moment and I'm not paying that much attn to weather over the next week. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 Aside from maybe a brief burst of moderate to heavy snow tonight, close the shades until after 3/10....the pattern still does look quite good after that point though. I'd be surprised if we don't have another legit threat. May not pan out, but hard to see not having a threat or two. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 2 hours ago, Lava Rock said: no shame in getting an over performer. 1.25" last night. Agreed. Our 3.0" of 16:1 fluff was about twice what I expected. 8-9 hours of steady light snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bch2014 Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 21 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Aside from maybe a brief burst of moderate to heavy snow tonight, close the shades until after 3/10....the pattern still does look quite good after that point though. I'd be surprised if we don't have another legit threat. May not pan out, but hard to see not having a threat or two. The 12z GFS looks pretty good for NNE for the 3/7-3/8 event. Definitely a net gain for the ski areas at the very least if taken verbatim. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 4 minutes ago, bch2014 said: The 12z GFS looks pretty good for NNE for the 3/7-3/8 event. Definitely a net gain for the ski areas at the very least if taken verbatim. Yeah way up north might be able to salvage 3/7.....we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 Gfs says winter isn't over yet 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: Aside from maybe a brief burst of moderate to heavy snow tonight, close the shades until after 3/10....the pattern still does look quite good after that point though. I'd be surprised if we don't have another legit threat. May not pan out, but hard to see not having a threat or two. What blocking were you referring to yesterday post 3/10? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 13 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Gfs says winter isn't over yet 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 29 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Gfs says winter isn't over yet Not yet, some cold still around for a while on and off, suns really warm though, I'm at 38 and it feels like 50 in the sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 23 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: What blocking were you referring to yesterday post 3/10? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 29 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: That’s a 5 day mean though, seems to be decaying after 3/10. New GEFS keeps a -EPO and gets a nice PNA going for mid month , nice change from last few runs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 12 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: That’s a 5 day mean though, seems to be decaying after 3/10 The block is over the Bering strait prior to 3/10...it rolls into a more favorable position after that further east. It might not be technically as strong as it is on 3/9 or 3/10 (though we won't know for sure until we are closer), but it's effectively more potent there in terms of impacting our sensible wx. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 23 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: That’s a 5 day mean though, seems to be decaying after 3/10. New GEFS keeps a -EPO and gets a nice PNA going for mid month , nice change from last few runs 7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: The block is over the Bering strait prior to 3/10...it rolls into a more favorable position after that further east. It might not be technically as strong as it is on 3/9 or 3/10 (though we won't know for sure until we are closer), but it's effectively more potent there in terms of impacting our sensible wx. The 13th time frame is a big threat. Lot of cold air around as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 8 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: The block is over the Bering strait prior to 3/10...it rolls into a more favorable position after that further east. It might not be technically as strong as it is on 3/9 or 3/10 (though we won't know for sure until we are closer), but it's effectively more potent there in terms of impacting our sensible wx. Ya definitely in a better position, hopefully will spike a western ridge . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 25 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: That’s a 5 day mean though, seems to be decaying after 3/10. New GEFS keeps a -EPO and gets a nice PNA going for mid month , nice change from last few runs I think the message of a decent to good pattern is the takeaway here, as Will and Scott have eluded too post the 10th…there will be some chances. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: The 13th time frame is a big threat. Lot of cold air around as well I’m hoping you’re correct….I want another shot at something significant here. Then spring can come in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 29 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: I’m hoping you’re correct….I want another shot at something significant here. Then spring can come in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 39 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Ya definitely in a better position, hopefully will spike a western ridge . Today's guidance is breaking it down a little faster than yesterday too.....so I think we have about a 7-8 day window between 3/12-3/20 IMHO. Any western ridging during that period will have to be watched since there will be plenty of cold loading already. Things could obviously change again, but as of now, that looks like the prime period if we have one more big dog threat in us....STJ down south is still ejecting shortwaves too from time to time....so if we can line up all the ducks, then there's a chance. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 12 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: Well, once is never enough... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 Pack just disappearing out there. Hate to see it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 Euro almost making the 8-9th period interesting. Not far off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 It's been tenacious here, even in my sun drenched yard. Man pack ftw. Would be nice to get a touch of snow tonight, but whatever is left will lock up into the weekend like a brick. The rain last night just added more meat. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It's been tenacious here, even in my sun drenched yard. Man pack ftw. Would be nice to get a touch of snow tonight, but whatever is left will lock up into the weekend like a brick. The rain last night just added more meat. When we had the sleet frzrn snow storm both of us were working, by the time we got home the flash freeze had locked it all up. It was a bear using a flat ice chopper to pick our way thru the sidewalks and part of the driveway. Yesterday's rain froze overnight. Hopefully when I get home at 5 today the sun softened up the deck and driveway so I can get rid of the 3 to 4 inches of solid ice. Ugh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 Total congrats Dendrite on the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 21 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It's been tenacious here, even in my sun drenched yard. Man pack ftw. Would be nice to get a touch of snow tonight, but whatever is left will lock up into the weekend like a brick. The rain last night just added more meat. Since I’m over 50 and don’t like falling I have had crampons on a pair of boots by the front door since December. I’ve never had this much glacial ice in my yard for such a long stretch of time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 26 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Total congrats Dendrite on the Euro Ugh...need to bump that north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 EPS has a western ridge spike around 3/14-3/15....if we've got one more big dog left this season, that's probably the most likely period to get it....tons of cold around too when that happens. We'll see how this looks in another few days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 2, 2022 Author Share Posted March 2, 2022 6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: EPS has a western ridge spike around 3/14-3/15....if we've got one more big dog left this season, that's probably the most likely period to get it....tons of cold around too when that happens. We'll see how this looks in another few days. Pretty precarious loop...check out the little weenie appendage the erects south of the great lakes at hour 300, as the western ridge reaches its apex. If that remains, may have one more round of storm blogs as we await the millionaires and billionaires to settle their shit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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