mahk_webstah Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: NNE may see snow as it stands now. Even here the warmth may not win. For when? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: When? Monday / Tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Might be pike north Hi res hits terrain pretty good SOP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Hi res hits terrain pretty good SOP Might be dicey near you as 925 is mild there. But I could see 1-2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 6 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: For when? EPS says Monday night into Tuesday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 ...But will I be able to use this before the end of the season? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 Managed 2.7" without the visibility ever getting worse than 1 1/4SM last night. Also I really hate missing the snow forecast by that much. I had forecast 1.1" for PWM yesterday. Sure the difference is just over an inch, but something about double what I forecast always hurts. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 14 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Managed 2.7" without the visibility ever getting worse than 1 1/4SM last night. Also I really hate missing the snow forecast by that much. I had forecast 1.1" for PWM yesterday. Sure the difference is just over an inch, but something about double what I forecast always hurts. no shame in getting an over performer. 1.25" last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 1 minute ago, Lava Rock said: no shame in getting an over performer. 1.25" last night. The weenie in you says no shame. The met in you says we shame. I get it. But luckily fluff in early March isn't much of an impact. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: no shame in getting an over performer. 1.25" last night. Now that's what I did have for the GYX area. I did think the coastal front forcing would help boost totals, but I expected that more north of IWI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: EPS says Monday night into Tuesday. 6z EPS says close the shades on that lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 1 minute ago, OceanStWx said: Now that's what I did have for the GYX area. I did think the coastal front forcing would help boost totals, but I expected that more north of IWI. are you thinking the same tonight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 PWM only measured 0.4" too, so they were really close to rain just 10ish miles to my south. I was near freezing so everything stuck to the trees. Maybe like 1 inch more and we'd have had some power issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 4 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: are you thinking the same tonight? I'm thinking less, more showery this time. Maybe can sneak something better south of here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 6z EPS says close the shades on that lol. Off hour runs and all….lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 Didn't think I'd be plowing this morning. 2.5" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 19 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Off hour runs and all….lol. Sure blame that haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 Wake me up during the ides of March, or maybe a few days before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 Best case scenario is NNE gets through the first system with minimal rain and just a mostly dry torch period and then we get the follow up overrunning event to replenish the pack. GFS/CMC/Euro all kinda show this now. Doesn't look like a warm atmospheric river at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 15 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Sure blame that haha. Was just busting…lol. But they do differ from the on hour runs unfortunately more often than not. Don’t know why but they do. How’s the 10th on looking? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Was just busting…lol. But they do differ from the on hour runs unfortunately more often than not. Don’t know why but they do. How’s the 10th on looking? Probably more mid month. Might be a cutter risk there 10-12. I'm kind of checking out. If there is nothing imminent it's not worth getting excited. You walk out now it's mild....could wear a t shirt. Just doesn't have the same feel or excitement it did even a month ago. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 2, 2022 Author Share Posted March 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Probably more mid month. Might be a cutter risk there 10-12. I'm kind of checking out. If there is nothing imminent it's not worth getting excited. You walk out now it's mild....could wear a t shirt. Just doesn't have the same feel or excitement it did even a month ago. Same, which is why the MLB news was especially brutal. I wanted to immerse myself in the draft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Same, which is why the MLB news was especially brutal. I wanted to immerse myself in the draft. Yeah that blows. So frustrating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 2, 2022 Author Share Posted March 2, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah that blows. So frustrating. There is cold lurking, blah, blah, but I think odds are against anything major. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: There is cold lurking, blah, blah, but I think odds are against anything major. We'll have a shot after the 10th, but nothing looks concrete. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 heh ... no one was really paying much attention to the synoptics leading last night's "event" - if we want to distinguish it with that merit. Not to toot horns but I did know that was all possible. In fact ...between 06z and 12z Thurs looks similar. Affairs this week with repeating frontal passages... And also the loss of the front side mix ordeal over the weekend... blah blah. It's a 'penny pattern.' C-3's from butterflies in the flow. In theory ...there is a bigger event mid month. The -EPO burst still appears on track. Both the Euro and the GFS operational version carry the climate EPO cutter right on cue - albeit ...day 10 isn't exactly hugely deterministic lol. There are some aspects to me... 1 ...the fast nature of the flow may tend to extended the R-wave climatology for -EPO onset more E. Example, the blizzard back mid season was actually taking place in a stretched field. The western ridge was actually west of typology. 2 ...the -EPO may collapse into and enforce a rise of the PNA. It doesn't have to... but that's not an unusual evolution. The erstwhile -EPO loads cold. The rising in the PNA ... viola. 3 ...whether that happens more or less coherently, that is quite the cold anomaly settling into mid Canada out there D7-12. It's hard to believe that won't play some kind of factor at least down to ORD-BOS latitudes, some how, some way. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: There is cold lurking, blah, blah, but I think odds are against anything major. That's no that Ray we have come to know! Yes on MLB...sucks Weather, 24 hrs ago you seemed more "upbeat", cold will be lurking, this week sucks, however, I still have faith of 2 more plowable storms, for me I'm talking 3"+, however, the end is near, after April 5th, not interested.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 2, 2022 Author Share Posted March 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, 512high said: That's no that Ray we have come to know! Yes on MLB...sucks Weather, 24 hrs ago you seemed more "upbeat", cold will be lurking, this week sucks, however, I still have faith of 2 more plowable storms, for me I'm talking 3"+, however, the end is near, after April 5th, not interested.. I said pretty much the same thing 24 hours ago....I mean, it would be poetic justice to have an interior bomb, but pattern is not great, so odds are against it... bowling ball and fortuitous PNA spike not withstanding. There are certainly worse patterns for winter weather prospects, but at this point, I am so drained by the season that it will take something substantial that is virtually imminent to evoke much emotion from me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 2, 2022 Author Share Posted March 2, 2022 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: We'll have a shot after the 10th, but nothing looks concrete. Agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 27 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: We'll have a shot after the 10th, but nothing looks concrete. Good enough. Probably doesn’t happen, but nothing else much to do at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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