PhineasC Posted March 17, 2022 Share Posted March 17, 2022 61 here. Winter is dead to me. I have shifted mentally to spring mode now. Melt it all. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 17, 2022 Share Posted March 17, 2022 Stuck in the 40s here and overcast. All of the rain missed us here in Greenfield. At least the winter has been consistent with this being a precipitation hole. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 17, 2022 Share Posted March 17, 2022 This winter felt very short to me, but whatever, it appears to be over. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 17, 2022 Share Posted March 17, 2022 6 minutes ago, PhineasC said: This winter felt very short to me, but whatever, it appears to be over. It was...mostly just January and a few fleeting periods in February. I'm still annoyed at December where the pattern wasn't that far from being really good. We just somehow managed to get a -20 sigma PNA when a merely solidly negative PNA would have been fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 17, 2022 Share Posted March 17, 2022 mm there's a Miller b out there on the GEFs mean ... sort of there in the 00z, but more coherent in the 12z, looks like late on the 24th through the 25th. not a lot of support for it suggestive of the numerical telecon, but the latter was calculated off the 00z, ... so there that. but also, the wave lengths are shorter, so those may not be as dependable - typical spring issue with those. We'll have to see... i was a proponent of this sort of relaxed flow/curvature having a window for a couple of weeks between the 15th and the April Fools... It's interesting that the MJO desk is speculating a warm anomaly. If they're onto something with that forcing ( strong Phase 4-6 constructively overlaying a warm La Nina spring climo...) than this stuff might get rudely usurped by a force the operational runs merely have not yet detected in the physics just yet. Somethong to keep in mind, too. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 17, 2022 Share Posted March 17, 2022 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Hmmm Hmmm Hmmm Hmmm.... Lol. And the potential later Next week will find a way to deconstruct its look somehow…I’m betting on that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 17, 2022 Share Posted March 17, 2022 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: Lol. And the potential later Next week will find a way to deconstruct its look somehow…I’m betting on that. Like Will said earlier, no loss this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 17, 2022 Share Posted March 17, 2022 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: mm there's a Miller b out there on the GEFs mean ... sort of there in the 00z, but more coherent in the 12z, looks like late on the 24th through the 25th. not a lot of support for it suggestive of the numerical telecon, but the latter was calculated off the 00z, ... so there that. but also, the wave lengths are shorter so the those may not be as dependable - typical spring issue with those. We'll have to see... i was a proponent of this sort of relaxed flow/curvature having a window for a couple of weeks between the 15th and the April Fools... It's interesting that the MJO desk is speculating a warm anomaly. If they're onto something with that forcing ( strong Phase 4-6 constructively overlaying a warm La Nina spring climo...) than this stuff might get rudely usurped by a force the operational runs merely have not yet detected in the physics just yet. Somethong to keep in mind, too. The larger scale features are interesting on the 12z runs....you have the massive PV lobe acting as the 50/50 low in Labrador/New Foundland and a trough ejecting out of the central CONUS. I'd like the trough to be a little more organized....seems kind of disjointed a little and positively tilted, but those are details we know can change easily at this lead time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 17, 2022 Share Posted March 17, 2022 Euro is certainly not Like the gfs, but it doesn’t really matter that much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 17, 2022 Share Posted March 17, 2022 Dry ftw today. Half decent day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted March 17, 2022 Share Posted March 17, 2022 Getting a few sprinkles now but decent day, high near 60. Can't wait for tomorrow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 17, 2022 Share Posted March 17, 2022 51 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Like Will said earlier, no loss this time of year. Oh no absolutely no loss..agreed. Just throwing it out there, that it will fail to produce, at least for SNE. It’s the tenor…something will sabotage it. No science behind it, just going on what has been happening all winter…abs I know things/wavelengths are changing and all, but I’m sticking with the tenor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 17, 2022 Share Posted March 17, 2022 Dumping rain on my way home. -RA just started at the casa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 17, 2022 Share Posted March 17, 2022 1 hour ago, PhineasC said: This winter felt very short to me, but whatever, it appears to be over. It was a little better then last winter here but my grades are weighted highly on snow retention so it will be another low one this year. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 17, 2022 Share Posted March 17, 2022 2 hours ago, PhineasC said: 61 here. Winter is dead to me. I have shifted mentally to spring mode now. Melt it all. Probably one of the earliest I've seen 1,500ft here get to this patchy cover point. South facing is just getting obliterated, north facing still solid cover but man the Spruce Peak south facing slopes are getting hammered. 2012 was similar melt out time at 1500ft during 5 days of 70s with lows like 40s and even 50s. Still really fun spring skiing with the stake at 54" on the north/east facing aspects. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 17, 2022 Share Posted March 17, 2022 Spring! 1 1 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted March 17, 2022 Share Posted March 17, 2022 First time I saw the word thunderstorm in the point and click forecast this year. Gotta figure no way it’s happening on a crappy east wind and 50 odd degrees but still nice to see. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted March 17, 2022 Share Posted March 17, 2022 59 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Dry ftw today. Half decent day. .06 on the rain gauge. 55 degrees cloudy drizzle and some fog with a storm to our SE and northerly winds on March 17th… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 17, 2022 Share Posted March 17, 2022 Mud and fog at Wachusett. They are still skiing on 25 trails though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 17, 2022 Share Posted March 17, 2022 Dreary day looking forward to 70 tomorrow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 17, 2022 Share Posted March 17, 2022 Was in Portsmouth and Hooksett today . Sunny and warm thru early afternoon then clouded up with light rain from Nashua home. No way S Wey stayed dry 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 17, 2022 Share Posted March 17, 2022 10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Was in Portsmouth and Hooksett today . Sunny and warm thru early afternoon then clouded up with light rain from Nashua home. No way S Wey stayed dry I had no rain until like 4:30. Sprinkle or two at worst. Was fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 17, 2022 Share Posted March 17, 2022 1 hour ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Mud and fog at Wachusett. They are still skiing on 25 trails though. More than Wildcat has open (23). 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 17, 2022 Share Posted March 17, 2022 I love these years with early spring. We tried to tell @40/70 Benchmarklast fall that Morch looked warm . This is turning into mini 2012 month . No cold or BN or snow in sight. Things greening and blooming. It’s so over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 17, 2022 Share Posted March 17, 2022 Even Mitch mailing it in as arms and legs begin to surface from mud . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted March 18, 2022 Share Posted March 18, 2022 Blue skies all day here. High temp of 61.1° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 18, 2022 Share Posted March 18, 2022 24 minutes ago, mreaves said: Blue skies all day here. High temp of 61.1° We had that yesterday here..was 64 degrees and clear and sunny..gorgeous. Today sucked..cloudy with drizzle and showers, high of 52 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 18, 2022 Share Posted March 18, 2022 Mud season in full swing when temps reach the 60s in mid-March. The ground here is thawing very fast. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 18, 2022 Share Posted March 18, 2022 5 hours ago, dryslot said: Spring! The dirt road to my driveway is destroyed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted March 18, 2022 Share Posted March 18, 2022 I was feeling pretty smug out there strolling around my paved driveway today. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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