ORH_wxman Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 12z EPS 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: 12z EPS Feel like that's slightly east from last run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 Most of those are good hits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 55 minutes ago, weathafella said: Lol...check out the euro. We TTTE yesterday a farther east trend would mean pulling snow east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 Looking closer at the Euro that's likely flashing to heavy snow ORH-Monads ...collapsing E 18 thru 21 z on Saturday early afternoon... It would prooobably be like 1.5 hours of it, then moderate for 3 or 4 shredding out to flurries and also very strong backside wind pulse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 4 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Looking closer at the Euro that's likely flashing to heavy snow ORH-Monads ...collapsing E 18 thru 21 z on Saturday early afternoon... It would prooobably be like 1.5 hours of it, then moderate for 3 or 4 shredding out to flurries and also very strong backside wind pulse Damaging wind signal on all models Sat nite 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 49 minutes ago, PhineasC said: I don’t have a good feeling about this one. Pivotal Euro clown has you getting 10-12". Let's see if that holds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 11 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Pivotal Euro clown has you getting 10-12". Let's see if that holds For the next five days. Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 42 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: We TTTE yesterday a farther east trend would mean pulling snow east Lol…no you said it was elevation dependent yesterday Kev. Which it is not(it’s longitudinal) with the Saturday deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 48 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Feel like that's slightly east from last run. It is. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 18 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Lol…no you said it was elevation dependent yesterday Kev. Which it is not(it’s longitudinal) with the Saturday deal. Just like tomorrow it would favor elevations for Maximum amounts which is what we mentioned Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: 12z EPS Around half of those would be a good track for SNE as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Just like tomorrow it would favor elevations for Maximum amounts which is what we mentioned Lol…no. Tomorrow will be elevation dependent outside of the banding. Saturday elevation is a non factor, longitude is. You know this. But if the NAM’s are correct for tomorrow, elevation won’t matter much either. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: Lol…no. Tomorrow will be elevation dependent outside of the banding. Saturday elevation is a non factor, longitude is. You know this. But if the NAM’s are correct for tomorrow, elevation won’t matter much either. There is no cold source Saturday. There’s no cold High to the north so you’re relying on cold air to rush in and dynamics . That all favors elevations . Assuming it even is cold enough for snow there 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: There is no cold source Saturday. There’s no cold High to the north so you’re relying on cold air to rush in and dynamics . That all favors elevations . Assuming it even is cold enough for snow there The cold rushes in behind it. It's not elevation dependent. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: There is no cold source Saturday. There’s no cold High to the north so you’re relying on cold air to rush in and dynamics . That all favors elevations . Assuming it even is cold enough for snow there Uh? It all depends on the track 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The cold rushes in behind it. It's not elevation dependent. It would be for maximum amounts.. again assuming it even happens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 4 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Uh? It all depends on the track It’s not snowing Saturday in NYC to stick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 3 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Uh? It all depends on the track Yep track and strength of the low. If the low is to our se and is as strong as depicted on guidance (eps mean in the 980s) this could get really interesting even for the coast. Even your area in NYC is in the game of the euro has the right idea with the low location. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It’s not snowing Saturday in NYC to stick It's cold enough This is still trending east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The cold rushes in behind it. It's not elevation dependent. Does it rush, rush in behind it? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 22 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It would be for maximum amounts.. again assuming it even happens I feel like when you jack due to elevation dependency..it's usually the storms like Wednesday, where you see a spot 4" or 5" vs 1"-3" in the low lands. Never in the bigger storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 2 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: I feel like when you jack due to elevation dependency..it's usually the storms like Wednesday, where you see a spot 4" or 5" vs 1"-3" in the low lands. Never in the bigger storms More often than not yes. That all changed in 2015 though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 1 minute ago, SouthCoastMA said: I feel like when you jack due to elevation dependency..it's usually the storms like Wednesday, where you see a spot 4" or 5" vs 1"-3" in the low lands. Never in the bigger storms Exactly. Tomorrow he will have the advantage if the warmer guidance is correct.(NAM’s are very cold at surface now). In the bigger more substantial systems, or where boundary layer warmth isn’t a factor, it doesn’t matter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 Long range looks kinda torchy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 15 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: Long range looks kinda torchy Hope it stays that way through September at this point 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 33 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: Long range looks kinda torchy Any torchier than it has been relentlessly since early-Feb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 12 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Any torchier than it has been relentlessly since early-Feb Maybe .... This look (blw) is shared in essentials by the GEFs and GEPs for D9 ... It may be wet though. But plenty of time to adjust the boundary draped from DTX to BTV more NW of that axis, in which case we'd dry out and sore. The only difference between this sort of look now compared to a month ago, is solar - add that to it and we start to synergize the warm days One thing I'm noticing as a "hint" in the longer range ( beyond this weekend) is that the whole hemisphere appears to "flash" - it's when the cold suddenly bites less. The hydrostatic thicknessess rise sort of unilaterally all at once, and the colder mass ebbs back into higher latitudes of Canada. This ... that may be how this season really ends it. I've seen this other years, too... it's kind of interesting phenomenon for apparently no one else but me lol. I mean it varies year to year. Anyway, this weekend ordeal seems to coil up the cold around it and spins it away and continent below 55 N behind rapidly warms. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 18z gfs pretty amped for Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 18z gfs pretty amped for Saturday. ICON is through Buffalo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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