Typhoon Tip Posted February 26, 2022 Share Posted February 26, 2022 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah that vortex needs to come south. As modeled right now it’s too warm. It lifts out on the next panel or two and allows the western storm to cut. I was looking at that ... ( EPS ). I would say we are under a Severe Backdoor Watch in effect from late day 6 through day 8, given that EPS scaffold hemisphere during that span. If there is even a subtle NVA perturbation rotating around the SW-S side of that big vortex over the D. Straight, a BD front will cut underneath that. That pattern is designed solely for the drilling gelid wind SW at in the lower troposphere - no other reason... And its nasty too... because it does nothing for anyone. Winter enthusiasts won't get anything for that. Spring enthusiasts are shunted out. Oh, there's probably some petty types that sense a moral victory for having anti -SAD version...And just think, off a snow pack and the nadir SSTs... 33 with no freezing drizzle even. It's getting close to my fantasy time of the year, whence I flee like a Serbian climate refugee to my second home in a different part of the world and don't even check into this pos shit region until mid May, or until such time as I feel it is confident to return. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 25 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: I was looking at that ... ( EPS ). I would say we are under a Severe Backdoor Watch in effect from late day 6 through day 8, given that EPS scaffold hemisphere during that span. If there is even a subtle NVA perturbation rotating around the SW-S side of that big vortex over the D. Straight, a BD front will cut underneath that. That pattern is designed solely for the drilling gelid wind SW at in the lower troposphere - no other reason... And its nasty too... because it does nothing for anyone. Winter enthusiasts won't get anything for that. Spring enthusiasts are shunted out. Oh, there's probably some petty types that sense a moral victory for having anti -SAD version...And just think, off a snow pack and the nadir SSTs... 33 with no freezing drizzle even. It's getting close to my fantasy time of the year, whence I flee like a Serbian climate refugee to my second home in a different part of the world and don't even check into this pos shit region until mid May, or until such time as I feel it is confident to return. Lol…I always have told myself that if I become mobile to the point of being able to leave in the middle of a school year (so prob not until after my kids are older), I would flee this place in late March or early April and not return until maybe Memorial Day (maybe earlier if weather permits as you said). Just an abysmal time of the year around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 What are the chances of a 3-6” type event Wednesday night? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 21 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Lol…I always have told myself that if I become mobile to the point of being able to leave in the middle of a school year (so prob not until after my kids are older), I would flee this place in late March or early April and not return until maybe Memorial Day (maybe earlier if weather permits as you said). Just an abysmal time of the year around here. That’s my plan for retirement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 We’re starting to fade it away. Into the mild to warm Morch predicted it seems 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 ACATT rejoices . Everyone else cringes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: ACATT rejoices . Everyone else cringes Hopefully cold enough to snow and not just 35 and rain. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 30 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Lol…I always have told myself that if I become mobile to the point of being able to leave in the middle of a school year (so prob not until after my kids are older), I would flee this place in late March or early April and not return until maybe Memorial Day (maybe earlier if weather permits as you said). Just an abysmal time of the year around here. That's what I do. NNE mid-April to mid or late May is pretty bad. MD much nicer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 Early April skiing can be good to amazingly good but otherwise give me the bluebells blooming on the plains, the scent of distant grassfires, and the threat of strong convection. And home in time for our climo favored end of May/ early June EML. I will say that the CoC days before the humidity and the bugs come out can be some of the nicest wx of the year here, but just too few and far between. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 39 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: What are the chances of a 3-6” type event Wednesday night? Would be nice to have one more blowout to get me closer 60" for the year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 2 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: Would be nice to have one more blowout to get me closer 60" for the year. Yeah... I wouldn't consider that a Blowout Now.. Give us an 1888 March Blizzard. Now THAT'S a blowout! :-) 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 3 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: What a weenie EPS run today 59 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: We’re starting to fade it away. Into the mild to warm Morch predicted it seems Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: We’re starting to fade it away. Into the mild to warm Morch predicted it seems It portends some relief from biting cold soon, but we won't really enjay the new regime until it is 77 degrees and the forest turns a shade of lime green with lots of bugs and animals frolicking everywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 38 minutes ago, radarman said: Early April skiing can be good to amazingly good but otherwise give me the bluebells blooming on the plains, the scent of distant grassfires, and the threat of strong convection. And home in time for our climo favored end of May/ early June EML. I will say that the CoC days before the humidity and the bugs come out can be some of the nicest wx of the year here, but just too few and far between. I doubt it this year in the East. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 1 minute ago, PhineasC said: I doubt it this year in the East. I don't. Maine is the retention capital of NNE. Try Saddleback 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: I don't. Maine is the retention capital of NNE. Try Saddleback They don't even have all of their trails open now. We need a lot more snow in NNE to have a good, extended spring. Once the 60s and 70s hit you need a good base on the natural trails. NNE doesn't have that right now anywhere. Maybe they are still blasting through the woods way over there. I doubt it, but maybe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 6 minutes ago, PhineasC said: They don't even have all of their trails open now. We need a lot more snow in NNE to have a good, extended spring. Once the 60s and 70s hit you need a good base on the natural trails. NNE doesn't have that right now anywhere. Maybe they are still blasting through the woods way over there. I doubt it, but maybe. Only woods closed. You are a groomer though.. SR will be prime albeit they start shutting down services lifts after the first week but it's still the best time in the spring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Only woods closed. You are a groomer though.. SR will be prime albeit they start shutting down services lifts after the first week but it's still the best time in the spring Yeah, I am not too worried about the main groomers for late March/early April unless we have another round of cutters. I can tell you that NNE is pretty thin on depth. It's not just hyperbole. Depths are not good here even at elevation. A week of 60s with some rain would be pretty hard to deal with if we don't get a bunch more snow. Many places in NNE are already down to just the groomed/manmade trails and it's not even March yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 1 hour ago, radarman said: Early April skiing can be good to amazingly good but otherwise give me the bluebells blooming on the plains, the scent of distant grassfires, and the threat of strong convection. And home in time for our climo favored end of May/ early June EML. I will say that the CoC days before the humidity and the bugs come out can be some of the nicest wx of the year here, but just too few and far between. I nice warm 60-65 degree sunny day in April is some of my favorite weather, no bugs, no humidity, great days to start working on the golf game. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 48 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Yeah, I am not too worried about the main groomers for late March/early April unless we have another round of cutters. I can tell you that NNE is pretty thin on depth. It's not just hyperbole. Depths are not good here even at elevation. A week of 60s with some rain would be pretty hard to deal with if we don't get a bunch more snow. Many places in NNE are already down to just the groomed/manmade trails and it's not even March yet. It’s a low snowpack. Before this past snow, the general region’s mountain snowpack was in a top 10 bad place over the last 60-70 years. Now depths are a bit higher but the 20:1 ratio snow settled. It still looks snowy but doesn’t really change anything long term. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 2 hours ago, radarman said: Early April skiing can be good to amazingly good but otherwise give me the bluebells blooming on the plains, the scent of distant grassfires, and the threat of strong convection. And home in time for our climo favored end of May/ early June EML. I will say that the CoC days before the humidity and the bugs come out can be some of the nicest wx of the year here, but just too few and far between. Freaking bugs...worse than the high dews! First time I visited Arizona I thought I'd despise it as much as Florida, man was I wrong! In the right areas...no bugs and low dews even when its 100 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 2 hours ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Yeah... I wouldn't consider that a Blowout Now.. Give us an 1888 March Blizzard. Now THAT'S a blowout! :-) What I'd give for an 1888! Or do... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 1 hour ago, UnitedWx said: Freaking bugs...worse than the high dews! First time I visited Arizona I thought I'd despise it as much as Florida, man was I wrong! In the right areas...no bugs and low dews even when its 100 Bugs? How about that moth in Maine. This moth... Brown Tail Moth... has toxic hairs on it that cause horrific dermatitis that is similar to poison ivy. It is native to Europe but was introduced a couple hundred years ago by accident to New England. At first it took off, then populations of the moth dwindled, only to start flaring up more recently. I think they should do whatever they can to wipe that moth out here. Its not native to New England, and has no business tormenting people's skin in Maine. Arizona has a large population.... of scorpions. And those scorpions WILL go into your house for shelter and crawl into bed with you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 4 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: We’re starting to fade it away. Into the mild to warm Morch predicted it seems 4 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: ACATT rejoices . Everyone else cringes Contradictory posts??????? What am I missing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 8 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Contradictory posts??????? What am I missing? Beer leads to confusion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Beer leads to confusion. I was out tonight with my girl…was her birthday, had a few pops and feeling a lil good, but I can’t understand what Kev is trying to say with those two different posts? But perhaps it’s me?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 27, 2022 Author Share Posted February 27, 2022 1 hour ago, WinterWolf said: I was out tonight with my girl…was her birthday, had a few pops and feeling a lil good, but I can’t understand what Kev is trying to say with those two different posts? But perhaps it’s me?? The map showed a cold April, which is exactly what no one wants. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 19 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: The map showed a cold April, which is exactly what no one wants. Cold April possibly without baseball. What a combination... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 3 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: The map showed a cold April, which is exactly what no one wants. Yeah not sure where the confusion came from other than they’d had too much weed on a Saturday afternoon it shows a cold next 2 months Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 4 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: The map showed a cold April, which is exactly what no one wants. It shows a cold next 45 days…not exactly April. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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