Ginx snewx Posted February 26, 2022 Share Posted February 26, 2022 3 hours ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I’m at 45% of my yearly avg so unless Steve’s epic March call produces, the season is in big trouble being labeled as a ratter. Woah. I SAID time for the big boys to catch up. Yesterday was first shot across the board expect a bunch of those. Good timed ones and we are in the mix. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted February 26, 2022 Share Posted February 26, 2022 I'll take a cold month ahead and even into April. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 26, 2022 Author Share Posted February 26, 2022 7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Woah. I SAID time for the big boys go catch up. Yesterday was first shot across the board expect a bunch of those. Good timed ones and we are in the mix. No complaints yesterday. Nice snowy Friday 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 26, 2022 Share Posted February 26, 2022 19 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Clipper is back for SNE On which model Ant? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 26, 2022 Share Posted February 26, 2022 1 hour ago, WinterWolf said: You didn’t do well in the Dec 20 event? That was 14+inches here. I didn’t realize that Luke. We had 10-14” through the area but should have been much much more before the last second massive jump north. Just looked back on it man what a let down from what could have been and what was forecast a few days before Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 26, 2022 Share Posted February 26, 2022 Ukie is pretty aggressive for the 3/2-3/3 clipper. Basically turns it into a high end advisory/low end warning event. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 26, 2022 Share Posted February 26, 2022 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Ukie is pretty aggressive for the 3/2-3/3 clipper. Basically turns it into a high end advisory/low end warning event. Might have went with Kevin to the brewery. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 26, 2022 Share Posted February 26, 2022 Just now, CoastalWx said: Might have went with Kevin to the brewery. Lol. Probably. Although GGEM wasn’t far off from that. Maybe a tenth less LE across the board. GfS looks a little disorganized. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted February 26, 2022 Share Posted February 26, 2022 They say this time of year can be psychologically hard on people. And I think I know why. It’s been winter for a long time. But in addition, something teasing and tantalizing to the senses is going on: major increase in daylight and sun intensity. It messes with the human, who then becomes taunted because they expect it to be 70 degrees outside when instead it’s 15. I don’t actually know if that’s why there is an uptick in mental distress in Morch. But it’s my best guess. I personally look forward to the below image: which in truth, is a much more advanced state of “Spring” than the one you get (today) right now when it’s still meteorological AND calendar winter and there’s a slab of ice everywhere. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 26, 2022 Share Posted February 26, 2022 29 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: On which model Ant? Icon and ukie Gfs is also getting there 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 26, 2022 Share Posted February 26, 2022 8 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Lol. Probably. Although GGEM wasn’t far off from that. Maybe a tenth less LE across the board. GfS looks a little disorganized. 2 events on the bottle UNC 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 26, 2022 Share Posted February 26, 2022 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: Woah. I SAID time for the big boys to catch up. Yesterday was first shot across the board expect a bunch of those. Good timed ones and we are in the mix. I know, I tease. It is what it is back this way. I expected a MBN season for WOR so we’re not surprised. Glad you guys out there are doing well though, at least it’s not shit season for everyone here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 26, 2022 Share Posted February 26, 2022 Clipper city on the euro so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 26, 2022 Share Posted February 26, 2022 Every model has this clipper but different locations Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 26, 2022 Share Posted February 26, 2022 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Every model has this clipper but different locations Great. More school closures for 1-2”. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 26, 2022 Share Posted February 26, 2022 1 hour ago, moneypitmike said: Was doing some quick of sun angle now vs October. Realized that in just 7 months, we'll be spending the weekends blowing leaves, watching football and looking for signs of a frost. And so the world turns..... seven very, very long months 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 26, 2022 Share Posted February 26, 2022 3 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: I think you need to use standard deviation to really determine ratter status. Some places hardly ever get under 50% of their average. ORH hasn’t had a winter below 50% of their average since 1999-2000 when they had 30.2”. But years like 2001-2002, 2011-2012, and 2015-2016 all had in the 40s and I’d consider them ratters. Maybe use the bottom 10% as a threshold, or 15%. CAR, working on their 83rd winter, has never had a one with <50% of average - average is 115 and their lowest was 59.6. 10% for CAR would be at 70% of average and 15% would be 75%. Farmington's in year 130 with a 90" average and only 79-80 and 80-81 were <50%; #3 had 46.8" (0.1" less than 2015-16). The 10% threshold would be at 67% of average and 15% would at 71%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 26, 2022 Author Share Posted February 26, 2022 39 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Great. More school closures for 1-2”. I hope to god it's not a clipper pattern....no use for that in March. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 26, 2022 Share Posted February 26, 2022 12z Euro has more snow for northern MD than NNE for the first part of March. Probably time to just pull the plug on this winter and start thinking spring activities. And I don't mean spring skiing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 26, 2022 Share Posted February 26, 2022 24 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I hope to god it's not a clipper pattern....no use for that in March. no use for that ever, unless you're on a ski slope 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted February 26, 2022 Share Posted February 26, 2022 1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Great. More school closures for 1-2”. They may be closed for a few days...takes time for 1-2 inches to melt especially on the shady side of school buildings... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 26, 2022 Share Posted February 26, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted February 26, 2022 Share Posted February 26, 2022 Seems to me that March is when clippers can actually amount to something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 26, 2022 Share Posted February 26, 2022 56 minutes ago, MJO812 said: LOL at the upper MA screw zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 26, 2022 Share Posted February 26, 2022 23 minutes ago, radarman said: Seems to me that March is when clippers can actually amount to something. 3/18-19/56. One of my all time favorites 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 26, 2022 Share Posted February 26, 2022 Looks like maybe a few smaller storms early March, maybe we can get something big the second week? Models are showing a cutter, but it wouldn’t take much to turn that into a SWFE or even Miller B. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted February 26, 2022 Share Posted February 26, 2022 14 minutes ago, weathafella said: 3/18-19/56. One of my all time favorites as I stated before, did an interesting read on that season, in particular that march, good article from Blue Hill observatory about the three storms that March that made it epic, you maybe a few others on here are probably the only ones who actually experienced that month and period from then to the early 70s, where it was as we say, winters of yore. us slightly younger folk begin our winter starting with 77-78 for me anyway, we've had some pretty good March winters in my lifetime, but those 15 or so years had some really good ones, a lot of clipper redevelopment type ones too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 26, 2022 Share Posted February 26, 2022 What a weenie EPS run today 4 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 26, 2022 Share Posted February 26, 2022 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: What a weenie EPS run today What do you think about the March 7th threat? SE ridge too strong at that point or is there room for it to turn into an swfe or Miller B? I would think we need that vortex over Greenland a bit farther south to force secondary redevelopment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 26, 2022 Share Posted February 26, 2022 5 minutes ago, George001 said: What do you think about the March 7th threat? SE ridge too strong at that point or is there room for it to turn into an swfe or Miller B? I would think we need that vortex over Greenland a bit farther south to force secondary redevelopment. Yeah that vortex needs to come south. As modeled right now it’s too warm. It lifts out on the next panel or two and allows the western storm to cut. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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