JTA66 Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 Since no one wants ice, I figured I'd jinx things by starting a thread. Discuss... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 ice ice baby 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 UKMET also an ice hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 7 minutes ago, RedSky said: UKMET also an ice hit Will the warm temps the day before mitigate any ice? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 4 minutes ago, mattinpa said: Will the warm temps the day before mitigate any ice? Not in the slightest Additionally it starts overnight early morning with no help from the sun 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 EC has started so will soon see which way it goes! The Ukie did throw some snow down this way. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 14 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said: EC has started so will soon see which way it goes! The Ukie did throw some snow down this way. I don’t believe any of that is actually snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 Just now, anthonyweather said: I don’t believe any of that is actually snow The Ukie doesn't seem to distinguish so am guessing it would be something that could include sleet/IP, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 Euro yikes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 Yeah this looks bad not going to avoid this one 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 Ooooof Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 12z Euro looks real ugly. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted February 22, 2022 Author Share Posted February 22, 2022 Plenty of time still to root for one of the following... Models overdoing the cold push and it ends up being more wet Models underdoing the cold push and it's more IP Rates are heavy enough that it's not ideal for maximum accretion That's all I got. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 The ECM joined the CMC showing a catastrophic ice storm, need a north trend 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 1 minute ago, JTA66 said: Plenty of time still to root for one of the following... Models overdoing the cold push and it ends up being more wet Models underdoing the cold push and it's more IP Rates are heavy enough that it's not ideal for maximum accretion That's all I got. Was looking at the EC's temps for the period. It's gonna depend on where the warm sector ends up and who gets under it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 Here was Mt. Holly's take a few hours ago - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 Unless the NAM begins to show this I am not biting on the idea of any significant icing until you are North of the Lehigh Valley.....The European has had a lot of problems this year at this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rockem_sockem_connection Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 I don't buy it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 51 minutes ago, ChescoWx said: Unless the NAM begins to show this I am not biting on the idea of any significant icing until you are North of the Lehigh Valley.....The European has had a lot of problems this year at this range. NAM coming in colder and also back to the 2 wave idea with the weakness off the Mid Atl coast causing wind vectors to take on a slight Northerly component locking in low level cold. Going to get messy folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 3 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: NAM coming in colder and also back to the 2 wave idea with the weakness off the Mid Atl coast causing wind vectors to take on a slight Northerly component locking in low level cold. Going to get messy folks. If it comes back and sticks....I would be all in - either way let's see where this shakes out by the 12z runs tomorrow AM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 18z NAM still not in the same camp as the others.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 2 minutes ago, ChescoWx said: If it comes back and sticks....I would be all in - either way let's see where this shakes out by the 12z runs tomorrow AM I feel good that my area will not be too bad, but N and W of Doylestown.....yeahhhh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 Hard to go NAM vs. everything 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 ICON (sucks) came in warmer. Non-event for extreme SE PA counties Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 18z NAM still dryslotting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 4 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said: 18z NAM still dryslotting. Watch the NAM score the win with this one 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 17 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Watch the NAM score the win with this one It's just better with overrunning events and picking out frozen vs not etc.....I suspect the others will start moving it's way by 12z tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 18z GFS still standing it's ground although dries up at the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 4 hours ago, anthonyweather said: I don’t believe any of that is actually snow Probably sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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