rochesterdave Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 On 2/24/2022 at 3:31 PM, Syrmax said: Salty. Must be invasion jitters. Expand Pot meet kettle. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 On 2/24/2022 at 2:37 PM, rochesterdave said: NWS dropped a really anemic advisory on Monroe. 4-7”. Booo. Looks like they buy the EURO. Expand Euro seems mostly on its own here against most other guidance, excepting perhaps it's fellow European model, the Ukie. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 On 2/24/2022 at 3:31 PM, Syrmax said: Salty. Must be invasion jitters. Expand Must be all the ugly grass I've had to look at this week.:P Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 BUF'S forecast for N. Cayuga covers all the grounds: WWA advisory for 5 to 9 inches through 10 pm tomorrow (wouldn't that be warning criteria?), 8 to 12 inches on the map, 6 to 9 inches through tomorrow with more "snow and snow showers" tomorrow evening (which would add more). So, I'll just issue a "Winter Weather Warning" for 5 to 12 inches tonight through tomorrow night. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 On 2/24/2022 at 2:37 PM, rochesterdave said: NWS dropped a really anemic advisory on Monroe. 4-7”. Booo. Looks like they buy the EURO. Expand I mean with the speed of this system I don’t think you can realistically expect much more. A solid 6 inch storm would be fine by me. I’m going to Bristol first thing tomorrow. Pretty big gamble with the mix line so close but the season is quickly coming to a close so I’m rolling the dice. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 On 2/24/2022 at 3:44 PM, DeltaT13 said: I mean with the speed of this system I don’t think you can realistically expect much more. A solid 6 inch storm would be fine by me. I’m going to Bristol first thing tomorrow. Pretty big gamble with the mix line so close but the season is quickly coming to a close so I’m rolling the dice. Expand I hope you get lucky. Definitely close. I’d be psyched with 6”. I think once we count the backside we could get a few areas of 10” on the south shore. Have fun! Could be an epic day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Keep all toasters away in SNE.... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Gfs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 On 2/24/2022 at 3:53 PM, wolfie09 said: Gfs Expand The GFS has been insanely consistent for DAYS. If it ends up right it’s a pretty remarkable job. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 On 2/24/2022 at 4:02 PM, 96blizz said: The GFS has been insanely consistent for DAYS. If it ends up right it’s a pretty remarkable job. Expand GFS not really showing lake enhancement due south of L.O. We Toss. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 On 2/24/2022 at 4:11 PM, Syrmax said: GFS not really showing lake enhancement due south of L.O. We Toss. Expand Plus, it has Syracuse all snow. TOSS 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Rap has Syracuse at nearly a foot of snow! No Kuchie Krapola stuff either. All 10:1 map. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Looks like a potential snowy weekend.. Forecast through tomorrow night is 7"-15" which may be a little to high lol At least the high end unless we mix in some solid ratios.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 On 2/24/2022 at 4:19 PM, TugHillMatt said: Rap has Syracuse at nearly a foot of snow! No Kuchie Krapola stuff either. All 10:1 map. Expand Oh, wait. Oops. Sorry, @96blizz... I can see that stupid dry slot working its way north near Elmira and I can also see a bit of suppression up near Kingston. One of them is going to screw us over. I just know it! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 On 2/24/2022 at 4:19 PM, TugHillMatt said: Rap has Syracuse at nearly a foot of snow! No Kuchie Krapola stuff either. All 10:1 map. Expand Here I'll help you out.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 On 2/24/2022 at 4:22 PM, wolfie09 said: Here I'll help you out.. Expand Preeeeettty coooooolors.... NOPE! Won't do it! Snap out of it, Matt! Buuuuuut, loooooook......... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 On 2/24/2022 at 4:22 PM, TugHillMatt said: Oh, wait. Oops. Sorry, @96blizz... I can see that stupid dry slot working its way north near Elmira and I can also see a bit of suppression up near Kingston. One of them is going to screw us over. I just know it! Expand You’re a great sport brother!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 On 2/24/2022 at 4:22 PM, wolfie09 said: Here I'll help you out.. Expand Lock it in 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 I’d take a 6” snowfall here and run. Nervous as hell about the mix line but we are pretty far west so idk what to think. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 BIG difference in Ukster. This is actually coming together nicely UP TO the event. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 On 2/24/2022 at 4:19 PM, TugHillMatt said: Rap has Syracuse at nearly a foot of snow! No Kuchie Krapola stuff either. All 10:1 map. Expand I've always thought the RAP was the best model ever. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 On 2/24/2022 at 4:36 PM, Syrmax said: I've always thought the RAP was the best model ever. Expand I guess using the Rap...even if it's 10:1... is ish in itself, isn't it? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 On 2/24/2022 at 4:32 PM, lakeeffectkid383 said: I’d take a 6” snowfall here and run. Nervous as hell about the mix line but we are pretty far west so idk what to think. Expand Same. Want to go do some more cross country skiing. Hopefully its meaty stuff and at least 6" to get the trails looking good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 On 2/24/2022 at 4:32 PM, lakeeffectkid383 said: I’d take a 6” snowfall here and run. Nervous as hell about the mix line but we are pretty far west so idk what to think. Expand I mean if we want the best snows we gotta sniff the…yeah we know the rest… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Hard to believe we’re only a little over 12 hours from the start of the storm. There’s not a cloud in the sky right now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Even with all the new model runs coming in, BGM JUST posted a "new snowfall map" and look how much they adjusted it....AND check out the troll-job in NW Onondaga county just to my west. They read this board. I swear it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Does anyone else think this system looks terribly unorganized??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 On 2/24/2022 at 4:48 PM, TugHillMatt said: Even with all the new model runs coming in, BGM JUST posted a "new snowfall map" and look how much they adjusted it....AND check out the troll-job in NW Onondaga county just to my west. They read this board. I swear it. Expand Absolutely seems NWS BGM checks in on our drivel sometimes. If I were them (hint, hint), I'd have gone the other way though...showing a snow minima in that NW corner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 On 2/24/2022 at 4:56 PM, Syrmax said: Absolutely seems NWS BGM checks in on our drivel sometimes. If I were them (hint, hint), I'd have gone the other way though...showing a snow minima in that NW corner. Expand They had that yesterday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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