wolfie09 Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 15 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: I don't know which option I'd prefer. Seems the longer the primary holds on, the better the thumping is and we actually get more snow here. Just gotta play with fire. Go big or go home bro lol Nam gives you double what the euro shows, so what if we hear a few pellets haha 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 4 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Go big or go home bro lol Nam gives you double what the euro shows, so what if we hear a few pellets haha It all depends on how you define "few." Remember where I'm located. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 Enjoy enjoy this storm. The southeast ridge is making a comeback in March 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 You can see the euro robs all of our moisture to the coastal.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 Just now, BuffaloWeather said: Enjoy enjoy this storm. The southeast ridge is making a comeback in March Yep. This winter has had the forecast flip flop so many times. We went from Cold, snowy March to the SE ridge taking over once again. Well, we had our one below normal month for the year, I suppose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 Interesting first call. It's all over the place. Looks like Low-end warning to me. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 2 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Interesting first call. It's all over the place. Looks like Low-end warning to me. Yeah but they will call it 5"-10" and it will be an advisory lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 RGEM Koochie. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 Solid Low and high end.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brentrich Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 7 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Enjoy enjoy this storm. The southeast ridge is making a comeback in March Only for few days then cold will be back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 2 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Yeah but they will call it 5"-10" and it will be an advisory lol I'm feeling like this is a 4-8 event with a couple high end lollies in lake enhanced areas. Kind of straddling the line between advisory and warning but does it really make a difference? Just cover up the grass and mud please. Coastal transfers have been known to disappoint in far WNY so hedge your expectations accordingly 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 It's not often Binghamton goes bigger than Buffalo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 2 minutes ago, 96blizz said: RGEM Koochie. Stop it. Stop with the lies. Your rainbow farts do nothing here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 2 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Stop it. Stop with the lies. Your rainbow farts do nothing here. Matches BGM NWS almost exactly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 Just now, 96blizz said: Matches BGM NWS almost exactly. I saw that, and am quite surprised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 Just now, TugHillMatt said: I saw that, and am quite surprised. I think it’s the lake enhancement high ratio snow that’ll do it. We hit the numbers spit out in the last big storm on Koochie thanks to Lake Enhanced and Lake Effect. Not saying it’s what will happen but I like the upper end of 8” for sure. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 3 minutes ago, 96blizz said: I think it’s the lake enhancement high ratio snow that’ll do it. We hit the numbers spit out in the last big storm on Koochie thanks to Lake Enhanced and Lake Effect. Not saying it’s what will happen but I like the upper end of 8” for sure. True. If that high ratio stuff occurs, I can see us hitting double digits. BGM's latest discussion is saying 7 to 12 inches. Their discussions up until now have been they're rather unimpressed with lake potential behind the system, so not sure if they're including that much in the map. I'm going with the lower end for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 1 minute ago, TugHillMatt said: True. If that high ratio stuff occurs, I can see us hitting double digits. BGM's latest discussion is saying 7 to 12 inches. Their discussions up until now have been they're rather unimpressed with lake potential behind the system, so not sure if they're including that much in the map. I'm going with the lower end for now. Shocker. Lol. I think they’re not big on true lake effect because things dry up quick. But the lake enhanced is another story. This part… 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 GFS pushing the warm layer a little farther north as well.. Still in good shape as of now.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 40 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: It's not often Binghamton goes bigger than Buffalo. Give it time 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 5 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: GFS pushing the warm layer a little farther north as well.. Still in good shape as of now.. Low going to Jamestown and warm bulge going to the Sizzle. Wouldn't expect it any other way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 Nice look to me… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 Damn you PW.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 I think all the New England weenies froze Pivotal. They're in for a shock when lots of that will be sleet/mix. Interesting that COD shows the sleet lowering totals in South Central NY but not so much in Southern New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 3 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Damn you PW.. I do believe 6-10” is the WNY/Niagara Frontier area. Southern tier is a bit less due to sleet. Enhancement will play a key role from 90 corridor north to Lake Ontario. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 4 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Nice look to me… Definitely Dave but it's the frame before that, that gets a little dicey for CNY.. But it's not the worst thing in the world lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 5 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Definitely Dave but it's the frame before that, that gets a little dicey for CNY.. But it's not the worst thing in the world lol Yeah. And like Buf said, you really almost always have to add some to that. Close… 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 Say it with me, “Gotta. Kiss. The. Taint.” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 2 minutes ago, 96blizz said: Say it with me, “Gotta. Kiss. The. Taint.” Ewwww. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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