tim123 Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 55 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: While we're rhyming, I created a poem dedicated to him: Lake enhanced snows look pretty grim For our weenie friend, the little tim A troll sure likes to argue with others Must not get enough lover from their mothers From the basement he gives a chuckle and snort As he posts endless pictures of I like that. But I am not a troll. Just know when I am correct. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 3 minutes ago, tim123 said: I like that. Here's one dedicated to myself: Hi-ho, hi-ho I sure do love the snow Oh, for the love of Pete Here comes the bloody sleet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Syrmax. Sizzle sizzle I like the drizzle. I think the cuse is the fachizzle. Rolling down the window cause he can't take the heat. Forecast calls for snow warm layer says no ho. Been spending most his life living in the sizzle paradise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 1 minute ago, wolfie09 said: Euro Looks dry for western ny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Euro 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 0z Ensembles 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 5 hours ago, BGM Blizzard said: 0z Ensembles Definitely seems like it’s trending drier for western areas. Maybe this will jackpot more of CNY. So unfair! Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Mix line creeping up on the GFS lol Otherwise a solid run.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Pretty sharp, flat cutoff, just over the state line. Only our far southern members need to be concerned. With that strong HP to the north I think it’ll only go so far to the north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Thursday night into Friday, a southern stream system will become a bit better organized with the sfc low tracking northeast across Kentucky and Tennessee. Meanwhile...a secondary coastal low will begin to form off the Carolinas which over time becomes the main sfc low that steams up the coast during the day Friday. Thermal profiles suggest that this will primarily be an all snow event. Some guidance does show warm layer between H925-H85 getting precariously close to the NY/PA boarder on Friday. Could see wintry mix if enough warm air sneaks in aloft. This far out seems too low a potential to include in the grids, so kept only snow for ptype. As alluded to previously, some concern in the track of the H85 low which isn`t ideal as it tracks across western NY while stronger warm air advection is more to the east closer to the developing coastal low. Combination of these two factors may lead to multiple periods of light precipitation with little snow accumulation or even a lull in steadier precipitation. No change to the thinking that we`ll see some accumulating snow, but the negatives mentioned may prohibit this from being a bigger snow event. Stay tuned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Well this what the NWS is talking about..I'm surprised warm air doesn't make it farther north TbH, might have something to do with the transfer off the coast.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 7 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Well this what the NWS is talking about..I'm surprised warm air doesn't make it farther north TbH, might have something to do with the transfer off the coast.. Reason why I’m thinking mix gets to i90. Globals will miss sneaky warm layers as we have seen all winter long. Let’s see what mesos show as we get closer in. Regardless still looks like 4-8” event region wide 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevWarReenactor Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Might not seem like a big deal to you guys but I’m super excited for this storm. Have not seen a plowable storm since 2016 here in Delaware. Mid Atlantic winters are the worst. So I’ll be chasing this one up to upstate NY. Location tbd. I missed the last storm and was super bummed out. So this one means even more. Thanks for posting accu maps to help with the decision. Right now I’m thinking Albany is a safe bet although that mix line may have be going to glens falls or even lake George. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 3 minutes ago, RevWarReenactor said: Might not seem like a big deal to you guys but I’m super excited for this storm. Have not seen a plowable storm since 2016 here in Delaware. Mid Atlantic winters are the worst. So I’ll be chasing this one up to upstate NY. Location tbd. I missed the last storm and was super bummed out. So this one means even more. Thanks for posting accu maps to help with the decision. Right now I’m thinking Albany is a safe bet although that mix line may have be going to glens falls or even lake George. What a out the blizzard about a month ago? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevWarReenactor Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Just now, Ericjcrash said: What a out the blizzard about a month ago? Nope. Too far west. NJ got killed but was fringed here. Long duration light snow but only ended with 4 inches on the grass and due to marginal temps at the start; about 2 inches on the street. Not plowable. Still probably the best storm we be had in years. It’s rough down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 4-8" would be a nice refresher pack as I'm not sure the current pack will last through today and tomorrow. Still hoping for a big Miller A before the season is out. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 21 minutes ago, vortmax said: 4-8" would be a nice refresher pack as I'm not sure the current pack will last through today and tomorrow. Still hoping for a big Miller A before the season is out. Every year gotta wish for a 93 event. Even though 2017 storm was bigger locally. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Must be nice to track snow every week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 UP Michigan or Maine is the place to be for northern winters in the US. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Just now, vortmax said: UP Michigan or Maine is the place to be for northern winters in the US. For areas with alot of population and large cities. Hands down thruway corridor in upstate ny 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geez150 Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 14 minutes ago, vortmax said: UP Michigan or Maine is the place to be for northern winters in the US. If I hit the lotto that's where I'd be headed...one can only dream. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 1 minute ago, Geez150 said: If I hit the lotto that's where I'd be headed...one can only dream. My in-laws live in middle Maine and they have snow OTG from Nov-April, non-stop and very deeps sometimes. Big coastals with sunny days in=between. Even though they average less, it's much more winter-like there. Super cold though. I'd probably like the UP better as you get all the LE and cutters with the arctic air. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 3 minutes ago, Geez150 said: If I hit the lotto that's where I'd be headed...one can only dream. I could see UP of mich, but Maine doesn’t avg nearly as much as syr or tuggies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Kick 12z off with the LR NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 27 minutes ago, tim123 said: Every year gotta wish for a 93 event. Even though 2017 storm was bigger locally. As in Rochester, locally? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 5 minutes ago, Syrmax said: As in Rochester, locally? South shore. Niagara orleans monroe. 24 to 36. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Icon won't let the northern solution go lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Icon still looks good for thruway west of syr 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 5 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Icon won't let the northern solution go lol Even further north looks like it goes over syr. Nice qpf blitz with the waa. We take violently. Might get mixing to me in that solution 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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