78Blizzard Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Russia issues. Supply chain and panic. Watch the news... Could be... My wife said the supermarkets were crazy today, more than normal for a pedestrian snowstorm heading our way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: My mundane drive to work at 530 am should be anything but. People want Jack's but tomorrow is gonna be a pretty crazy kind of storm. Well, I didn’t exactly mean it in that regard. I meant it more in the sense that 3-5 4-8” isn’t all that exciting when modeling seems to be on a downtrend all day. That’s not good to keep posting going. Look at yesterday’s explosion during the day when modeling was ramping up..post and Page count went through the roof. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: already sky high prices going even higher. Gas rose 20 cents at the station near my house today. Not sure I’ve ever seen that type of single day rise in my lifetime. But getting back on topic, I’m expecting a shit ton of sleet here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: Well, I didn’t exactly mean it in that regard. I meant it more in the sense that 3-5 4-8” isn’t all that exciting when modeling seems to be on a downtrend all day. That’s not good to keep posting going. Look at yesterday’s explosion during the day when modeling was ramping up..post and Page count went through the roof. Seeing the NAM introduce something we haven't seen much of, CSI , convective instability, slanted. Maybe some Tsnow or Tsleet? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 4 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: Could be... My wife said the supermarkets were crazy today, more than normal for a pedestrian snowstorm heading our way. Most likely storm panic for people who have weekend plans. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 I'm just excited for a snowstorm! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 8 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Well, I didn’t exactly mean it in that regard. I meant it more in the sense that 3-5 4-8” isn’t all that exciting when modeling seems to be on a downtrend all day. That’s not good to keep posting going. Look at yesterday’s explosion during the day when modeling was ramping up..post and Page count went through the roof. One has to wonder what it is that prompted models to have a 10 inches to the coast frenzy last night in the first place, only to pull the rug out under by this morning. It is never a good feeling to wake up and see the snow line scalped up over the forehead of CT. And the Russia thing really bothers me and freaks me out. I do a lot of study of Chimpanzees, who have extremely similar coalitions, and the fore-planning of invasions and war... The behavior of taking other peoples land by murder and force is most definitely in our genes, and so is the prevalence of alpha-male authoritarian rule. The behavior of human war is nothing of surprise. It is shared by most other primates. These traits are not in my blood however, which is of course why I am a lower-ranking male. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: already sky high prices going even higher. Gas rose 20 cents at the station near my house today. Not sure I’ve ever seen that type of single day rise in my lifetime. But getting back on topic, I’m expecting a shit ton of sleet here. Shit ton of sleet or BL washed out and more snow than expected. That 850 60 knot jet slamming in running up can explode dendrites. Gonna be a very interesting day of geeking. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Seeing the NAM introduce something we haven't seen much of, CSI , convective instability, slanted. Maybe some Tsnow or Tsleet? Really? Hmm… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 24 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Nobody is driving from Houlton, or north of there down to Bangor for anything. That’s a 3-4 hour desolate drive down to Bangor. Houlton and Fort Kent are 2 plus hours apart. Houlton is a pretty big town for that area. And a Presque isle is known as the hub of Aroostook…its got everything one needs…definitely a small town, but doesn’t feel all that remote for up there. Caribou is another cool small town, that has everything you need. But Once you get north of caribou…it starts to get much, much more sparse. Fort Kent and Madawaska are neat lil small towns too. Folks are really genuine and sincere up there…again, it’s a different world in that respect as well. Yes, I absolutely loved it up there! Special place. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 I didn't think we'd re live the cold war, but I do know that SWFEs don't exceed 1' no matter when or where. Whether it's Kyiv or Stowe. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 Radar seems to be really blossoming down in central PA, as that precip heads northeast this way towards us. Interesting. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 00z GFS. More uniform precip shield. Sharper jackpot zone for QPF queens. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 4 minutes ago, powderfreak said: 00z GFS. More uniform precip shield. Sharper jackpot zone for QPF queens. Radar over W Virginia and SW PA looks great, should be a classic SWFE. I am psyched for some stormin'! #heavysnow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 Pretty significant 24-hour changes in the GFS. A day ago to the current run. Plenty of discussion of how SWFE work though as folks understand the game. Snowfall will bump northward and become less impressive in the jackpot zone. More uniform snowfall. SWFE have 6-10" totals, not 10-15". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 03 HRRR snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 Ukie held serve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 1 minute ago, 78Blizzard said: Ukie held serve. Any wetter? These dry as a desert runs are driving me bonkers! The models had a foot plus just yesterday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 I thought to myself today the models must be giving over an inch of melted to forecast 6 to 10 inches around here, especially when factoring some sleet and zr. GFS only has .7 to .8 qpf.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 21 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Pretty significant 24-hour changes in the GFS. A day ago to the current run. Plenty of discussion of how SWFE work though as folks understand the game. Snowfall will bump northward and become less impressive in the jackpot zone. More uniform snowfall. SWFE have 6-10" totals, not 10-15". I am so glad I wasn't following yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 16 minutes ago, George001 said: Any wetter? These dry as a desert runs are driving me bonkers! The models had a foot plus just yesterday. A hair dryer than 12z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 3 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: A hair dryer than 12z. Man you are a weenie. Enjoy 5-8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 00z GFS looks pretty much like my Final map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 Hopefully it has a clue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 1 hour ago, WinterWolf said: Nobody is driving from Houlton, or north of there down to Bangor for anything. That’s a 3-4 hour desolate drive down to Bangor. Houlton and Fort Kent are 2 plus hours apart. Houlton is a pretty big town for that area. And a Presque isle is known as the hub of Aroostook…its got everything one needs…definitely a small town, but doesn’t feel all that remote for up there. Caribou is another cool small town, that has everything you need. But Once you get north of caribou…it starts to get much, much more sparse. Fort Kent and Madawaska are neat lil small towns too. Folks are really genuine and sincere up there…again, it’s a different world in that respect as well. Depending on weather, I may try and get up there for a long weekend before the end of March. I’ve only been as far as Millinocket Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 All things considered, Short terms packing a fair amount of frozen precip nearly all the way down to the water... Looking at some 10:1 maps show 6 inches of snow clear into Groton, which means even this location just might be heavily glazed over with a mix of sleet and snow, not just wet. These short term models keep me just inside a solution that is snowier than not. I Think only the NAM is relentless about a plain rain scenario for the first 10 miles of the CT coast. This gives me the idea that virtually all of CT could be a crusty skating rink for the morning commutes tomorrow, even when the coast changes to some rain. Temperature dropped one degree in Groton to 31 degrees since 2-3 hours ago It is tantalizing, but the abrupt trend returning colder and wetter I have been praying for on the short terms has not quite materialized. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 58 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Pretty significant 24-hour changes in the GFS. A day ago to the current run. Plenty of discussion of how SWFE work though as folks understand the game. Snowfall will bump northward and become less impressive in the jackpot zone. More uniform snowfall. SWFE have 6-10" totals, not 10-15". Is this a positive twist to GFS Cutting QPF ? I’m not really following this today but trying to understand your last posts about GFS as I check in before bed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 35 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: A hair dryer than 12z. Shit, hope it’s wrong and yesterday’s models with the higher qpf are right. We will find out tomorrow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 34 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Man you are a weenie. Enjoy 5-8 Because I answered his question...? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 0z HREF shifted a bit north With best . It has 8-10 now thru most of central Maine and has some 15-18” totals near and just north of killington https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/href/?model=href&product=snowfall_024h_mean§or=conus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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