ORH_wxman Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think 95% of any amounts in excess of 12" are in NH, VT and ME....only shot in SNE is perhaps the northern most ORH hills and northernmost Berkshires. They will occur where the QS banding starts slowing down and sliding east....wherever that occurs is where the 12"+ amounts happens. Best guess is S VT to S NH...but it could be into N MA too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: It is still tracking the vort north of the Euro and some other guidance....the 12z run is tracking it over northern Lake Ontario. While others are more like BUF to ROC . It's not a massive difference but that 25-30 miles matters when we're talking about areas that are flirting with the sleet line. I don't really agree. Looks pretty similar to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 3K is nice by Ray and extreme NE MA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: I don't really agree. Looks pretty similar to me. That's 850mb. He was talking 500. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: They will occur where the QS banding starts slowing down and sliding east....wherever that occurs is where the 12"+ amounts happens. Best guess is S VT to S NH...but it could be into N MA too. So you agree with me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Just now, CoastalWx said: That's 850mb. He was talking 500. Okay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 9 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Luke, The guy is a nervous wreck. And who’s concerned? Geez. It’s 3-6 or 4-8 south to north. It’s had that look for a while. He melted earlier. Now the Hrrr goes colder..he should feel better. You have no idea who I am, I’m the least nervous person there is. Seems like you use others as an excuse to express your own feelings. I simply stated what the models showed. Get over it I don’t care what silly snow maps show I’ve said this many times that I think the Kuchera will be more accurate down here with lower totals as sleet will move in quicker and 10:1 maps are definitely including sleet. I have three businesses that I have to make forecasts for and make calls based on hours of studying the information available not hoping for the most snow in my backyard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Just now, WinterWolf said: Luke, The guy is a nervous wreck. And who’s concerned? Geez. It’s 3-6 or 4-8 south to north. It’s had that look for a while. He melted earlier. Now the Hrrr goes colder..he should feel better. You melted earlier this month yourself, we all do at times, but I’m not gonna get into a back and forth… he’s a good poster and met, good for our area, and calls it like he sees it. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: So you agree with me. Yeah, I've been saying that zone for days? Lol....not sure why you are making it sound like I was previously disagreeing with you. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Fight, fight, fight. 3 o’ clock high! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 3K is nice by Ray and extreme NE MA. Gives me 9 inches, I'll take Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah, I've been saying that zone for days? Lol....not sure why you are making it sound like I was previously disagreeing with you. I'm not. I guess it just seems like that because I am only now closely scrutinizing things for the first time since Sunday. Didn't mean to come across like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 What a disaster turn of events . Nam looks to be leading the way 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Just now, DavisStraight said: Gives me 9 inches, I'll take I don't see that? Maybe you are looking at it counting sleet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Fight, fight, fight. 3 o’ clock high! Whenever the wolf is awake and hungry…there’s always a body being chewed into. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That's 850mb. He was talking 500. I see the difference now...pretty trivial IMO. I'd still play it conservatively on the south end. JMHO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Whenever the wolf is awake and hungry…there’s always a body being chewed into. At least he can sharpen his teeth and claws on the sleet. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 24, 2022 Author Share Posted February 24, 2022 7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I don't really agree. Looks pretty similar to me. The strength matter there ... The stronger depiction ( right ) would lend to the stronger warm intrusion aloft - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Well we will see. Sticking with my range here for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I don't see that? Maybe you are looking at it counting sleet. ah, yeah, didn't take that into consideration, I'll be happy with 5-6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 1 hour ago, mahk_webstah said: all day during the daylight snowstorms are really the best. Boy CNE and AEMATT keep snowing well into Friday night. Good stuff for you guys. Love it 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 3 minutes ago, MJO812 said: What a disaster turn of events . Nam looks to be leading the way You never had a shot down there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Snowing lightly in Farmington CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Whenever the wolf is awake and hungry…there’s always a body being chewed into. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 4 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: You have no idea who I am, I’m the least nervous person there is. Seems like you use others as an excuse to express your own feelings. I simply stated what the models showed. Get over it I don’t care what silly snow maps show I’ve said this many times that I think the Kuchera will be more accurate down here with lower totals as sleet will move in quicker and 10:1 maps are definitely including sleet. I have three businesses that I have to make forecasts for and make calls based on hours of studying the information available not hoping for the most snow in my backyard. You may be the least nervous person in the real world. But in here you melt at the slightest change in the models. I understand you have a business to run and I respect that. And I should have been more clear when I said you’re all over the map…what I really meant was emotionally speaking your yo and down. . Or at least that’s how it comes across in here. And you melted big time this morning in here... Period. I don’t really give a flying crap either way, but that’s the way it sounded on here. I like your map of 4-8 south to north at the moment. Ita all good. We’ll drop it now. Carry on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Just now, CoastalWx said: Well we will see. Sticking with my range here for now. The snow depth change seems to take sleet into account better for southern areas, but seems a bit low up north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: The strength matter there ... The stronger depiction ( right ) would lend to the stronger warm intrusion aloft - True.....again, not night and day, though....I would still prefer to err on the poleward side of things with respect to the intrusion of mid level warm tongues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 9 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: You melted earlier this month yourself, we all do at times, but I’m not gonna get into a back and forth… he’s a good poster and met, good for our area, and calls it like he sees it. I melted at the frustration of the season, after the storm was over. He was melting at a model run. Again, its my opinion on what I saw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Boy CNE and AEMATT keep snowing well into Friday night. Good stuff for you guys. Love it I gotta hand it to you......you truly are not an IMBY bobo like so many, including me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: You may be the least nervous person in the real world. But in here you melt at the slightest change in the models. I understand you have a business to run and I respect that. And I should have been more clear when I said you’re all over the map…what I really meant was emotionally speaking your yo and down. . Or at least that’s how it comes across in here. And you melted big time this morning in here... Period. I don’t really give a flying crap either way, but that’s the way it sounded on here. I like your map of 4-8 south to north at the moment. Ita all good. We’ll drop it now. Carry on. Posting results of models isn’t melting! Sorry hurting your weenie snow feelings sounds like a melt. Maybe take some psychology classes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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