IowaStorm05 Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 38 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I have been burned too many times tossing the NAM. The one time I don’t, I get burned. Go figure You were cancelling the storm, and other people were adamantly discounting the snowy UK as being completely inaccurate and useless. It is still too soon to know with certainty what will unfold but it really does look like a cold storm is coming for these parts, don't it? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 21 minutes ago, IowaStorm05 said: Last year my parking lot jacked in one of the storms we got. Somebody here told me that is unusual, and that my town usually gets "screwed more ways than a hoe in the red light district". Is that actually true? If it is an unfavorable spot, why? In the two years here I have generally found that we do fairly well in each storm, usually getting a little more snow than Hartford. Albeit, 2 years is a small sample size. IJD is a bit of a snow hole because warm air from the south gets in there unimpeded and it can get a bit of downsloping on an east or northeast wind. It’s not the worst spot in CT but usually most of the towns to your north/northeast/west will do better. I remember the storm you are talking about though last year…I think it was the super bowl Sunday storm on 2/7/21. That awesome band smoked your area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 Just saw Harvey live. Same map but his words: 8-12 including Boston and Worcester. If mixing hits the pike region it will be brief. My words: I wouldn’t be surprised if that map gets pushed a bit south. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 3 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: I'm always skeptical of snow map amounts that follow the state borders, as in MA/NH, lol. It’s because they don’t forecast for NH. They are using the GYX forecast for the NH amounts. I would assume they coordinate more with GYX on the border region before they issue a more final map. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: Just saw Harvey live. Same map but his words: 8-12 including Boston and Worcester. If mixing hits the pike region it will be brief. I wouldn’t be surprised if that map doesn’t get pushed a bit south. He will probably peak at the 00z NAM to make sure it comes south a little more and then update the map for the 11pm segment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: Just saw Harvey live. Same map but his words: 8-12 including Boston and Worcester. If mixing hits the pike region it will be brief. I wouldn’t be surprised if that map doesn’t get pushed a bit south. Btw, I watched him too. Amazing how much energy he still has. You can tell he still gets excited for these higher impact snow events. Lol. Hopefully he goes another couple winters before hanging them up…all time great. First ballot HOFer. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 9 minutes ago, IowaStorm05 said: You were cancelling the storm, and other people were adamantly discounting the snowy UK as being completely inaccurate and useless. It is still too soon to know with certainty what will unfold but it really does look like a cold storm is coming for these parts, don't it? I never cancelled anything. Just wasn’t ready to say the sleet wouldn’t race into NH. More often than not, it does Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 NWS Albany Main uncertainty currently involves how far north a warm layer aloft extends Friday morning. The 12Z/23 NAM is most aggressive with bringing such a warm layer farthest north, suggesting a changeover to sleet/freezing rain for most areas south of I-90, with some sleet mixing in even to or north of I-90. This actually seems reasonable, given the anomalous warmth currently located across the southeastern U.S., and also based on recent model performance this winter with warm layers aloft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 23, 2022 Author Share Posted February 23, 2022 17 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Btw, I watched him too. Amazing how much energy he still has. You can tell he still gets excited for these higher impact snow events. Lol. Hopefully he goes another couple winters before hanging them up…all time great. First ballot HOFer. I recently was given the impression it may be this year ... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 26 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: I'm always skeptical of snow map amounts that follow the state borders, as in MA/NH, lol. yea thats just a difference between LFOs, BOX only goes up to the NH/VT boarder...they used to have the southern most 2 NH counties but a few years ago GYX took them over. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 21z RAP looks nice for EMA. Sleet line barely gets to me for an hour or so, and never makes it to BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 6 minutes ago, qg_omega said: NWS Albany Main uncertainty currently involves how far north a warm layer aloft extends Friday morning. The 12Z/23 NAM is most aggressive with bringing such a warm layer farthest north, suggesting a changeover to sleet/freezing rain for most areas south of I-90, with some sleet mixing in even to or north of I-90. This actually seems reasonable, given the anomalous warmth currently located across the southeastern U.S., and also based on recent model performance this winter with warm layers aloft. That is definitely one I have never head before...I was not aware nor am I sure that in this case surface warmth that far away has any real relevance to the mid levels 1000 miles way 36 hours later 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 1 minute ago, SnowGoose69 said: That is definitely one I have never head before...I was not aware nor am I sure that in this case surface warmth that far away has any real relevance to the mid levels 1000 miles way 36 hours later It's right up there with snow not sticking in October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 Clearly no coordination between ALY and BOX since one office tossed the NAM and the other is buying it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 30 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Btw, I watched him too. Amazing how much energy he still has. You can tell he still gets excited for these higher impact snow events. Lol. Hopefully he goes another couple winters before hanging them up…all time great. First ballot HOFer. Absolutely! He got to do what he loves and still going strong. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 7 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: That is definitely one I have never head before...I was not aware nor am I sure that in this case surface warmth that far away has any real relevance to the mid levels 1000 miles way 36 hours later Give them a call? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 6 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: It's right up there with snow not sticking in October. Gonna have a hard time meeting some of these snow map totals that fail to take that strong late Feb sun angle into consideration, ya know? Take 'em down, it's nape season now! 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderblizzard Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 18z Euro looked another tick south and colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Clearly no coordination between ALY and BOX since one office tossed the NAM and the other is buying it. OKX is also buying the nam. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Euro was pretty snowy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeanInWayland Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 4 minutes ago, weathafella said: Absolutely! He got to do what he loves and still going strong. And to think my wife used to babysit his kids. He still lives in the same house, BTW. Harvey is the best. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Just now, CoastalWx said: Euro was pretty snowy. Take um up 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 8 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Clearly no coordination between ALY and BOX since one office tossed the NAM and the other is buying it. Glad no one in our subforum lives or reads ALB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 It won't snow. Warm ground. Impossible to stick. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Take um up lol toss that far and wide 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 what are the synoptic features that pushed the Euro south? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnno Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Wow, shaping up to be the biggest snowfall of the season here if that verified Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 2 minutes ago, qg_omega said: lol toss that far and wide How far north do you move it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 1 minute ago, weathafella said: How far north do you move it? 100 miles 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 7 minutes ago, qg_omega said: lol toss that far and wide Why Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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