HoarfrostHubb Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: Oh, you must be referring to that comment I snarked last night. I meant that in deference to that particular run, ...as in, the RGEM's rendition sucked. The model may in fact suck, in general. But I'm not I don't use it? I get the sense for those that do, and comment on it... that is may have patterns it does better in. This season may not have featured very many of those - Yeah. I don’t know if it has had any redeeming qualities this season. I know you and Jeff (Dryslut) have shown distaste for it at various times. I have no clue how it scores lately and for which parameters. But it makes pretty snow maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 Weaker primary on the 12z GFS so this should tick south this run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 12z GFS ticking colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 Lol, Goofus...8-10 inches for most of CT...looked like the 0z Ukie 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 4 minutes ago, wxsniss said: 12z GFS ticking colder 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 Nam's tossed. Too many other models going against it to put faith in it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Big region wide hit. Lock it! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 Nice parting gift on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 Just now, Spanks45 said: Lol, Goofus...8-10 inches for most of CT...looked like the 0z Ukie I buy it but not to that extent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 Well I would love to be wrong, but tough for me to buy 10-12". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 I count 26 different models and Ens and only 2 of them are amped and they are both named NAM. You go Kev 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 12z models so far are a fairly sharp difference from the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 6 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: 12z models so far are a fairly sharp difference from the NAM Still early to spike the football, but recently when the NAMs are on their own island so to speak, we know how it ends....Even when it was the Euro/Nam combo, in the end they were wrong, even right up until gametime Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 17 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I buy it but not to that extent. Same. I could certainly see up to 6-7" in N CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 57 minutes ago, dryslot said: Careful, The snow police will be coming for you. What you gonna do what you gonna do when we come for you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Same. I could certainly see up to 6-7" in N CT. Yea. I have 6-8 NCT, 4-6 CCT, and 2-4 SCT but mostly lower amounts south because of prolonged sleet so the impacts would be the same imwo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: You can just sense the denial and anxiety.. People tossed the Nam yesterday like the Ukie today. The Nam was designed for warm layers Still not with you AT ALL on this. I would never take the NAM over all other models ( especially that them being the closest they have been with eachother all season ). Sorry man.. Just my feeling. If there were at least 1 or 2 remotely like it.. I might possibly consider it. It's a Big TOSS For me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 NAM looks great. It's funny how much it spooks people in events like this. Pingers around every corner, hitting window sills and tin roofs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 The fact that all other 12z guidance is actually trending in the opposite of direction of the NAM makes it even less likely to believe the NAM than normal. I personally think the GFS is prob too cold, but the NAM is prob too warm. I'd expect them to converge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 First call. Don't see it changing much honestly. 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 3 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: First call. Don't see it changing much honestly. Very reasonable… good work Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 10 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yea. I have 6-8 NCT, 4-6 CCT, and 2-4 SCT but mostly lower amounts south because of prolonged sleet so the impacts would be the same imwo. GFS thumps southern CT hard just after midnight tomorrow well before the mid levels warm we'd do several inches before any changeover easily.. let me check how horrible the growth is on that look. HRRR actually has great snow growth with 1-2" per hour rates at 10:1 .. I wonder if we over perform with the thump intensity and end up mixing earlier as usual and still get around 6" anyways... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 7am to like 3pm looks like a nightmare in eastern ma Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 8 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: The fact that all other 12z guidance is actually trending in the opposite of direction of the NAM makes it even less likely to believe the NAM than normal. I personally think the GFS is prob too cold, but the NAM is prob too warm. I'd expect them to converge. Agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: 7am to like 3pm looks like a nightmare in eastern ma Hellacious? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: 7am to like 3pm looks like a nightmare in eastern ma That period near dinner time as temps rapidly fall with light snow, could be highway Phil too. At least for you and I. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 Just now, dendrite said: Hellacious? Indeed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 2 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: GFS thumps southern CT hard just after midnight tomorrow well before the mid levels warm we'd do several inches before any changeover easily.. let me check how horrible the growth is on that look. Gfs soundings are still not grear with the lift below the dgz but to does decent lift above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 Canadian went south too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 Just now, CoastalWx said: That period near dinner time as temps rapidly fall with light snow, could be highway Phil too. At least for you and I. Yup…. Probably going to want to get whatever falls off the driveway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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