EastonSN+ Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 Just now, ORH_wxman said: It's like 2-4" down there now. Thanks. I need 11.5 to reach seasonal average. Will take any accumulation I can get with this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 2 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: I did not see 6z Euro clown map but assuming it cut back and looks like NAM now. TWC 5 to 8 for the south coast looks to be in jeopardy. Not even close to the NAM lol forecast remains exactly the same 4-8” probably closer to 4-6” but like to leave the 8” in there just in case the thump over-performs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: You should do better than that no? What does GYX have? 6-8" is what I saw earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 Just now, Lava Rock said: 6-8" is what I saw earlier. You're on the line, I'd probably slide you into the 8-12 to be honest. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said: Not even close to the NAM lol forecast remains exactly the same 4-8” probably closer to 4-6” but like to leave the 8” in there just in case the thump over-performs. Thanks. Hopefully the trend north stops (or the thump is more intense). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 1 minute ago, EastonSN+ said: Thanks. I need 11.5 to reach seasonal average. Will take any accumulation I can get with this. Euro is a 4 spot for Easton with a ton of sleet or freezing rain after. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 This is a bread and butter lakes region storm. the most solid 8-12er opportunity that we've seen in a good while. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said: Euro is a 4 spot for Easton with a ton of sleet or freezing rain after. Thanks. For these SWFE types I always take the Fairfield snow total to be safe. Plus I am only one mile from the Fairfield boarder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 36 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Thanks man. Life can be Russian roulette sometimes. My MIL was visibly upset because she was a few min late to our meetup thinking had she not been we would not have crashed….but I was like, had she been on time maybe the tree falls on us instead. Who the eff knows. Count your blessings and keep on. Glad you guys are ok! I missed doing the same thing last year. Not much wind at all but the tree was water logged and dead a few seconds makes all the difference Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 not sure what WU is using but they got 12" for mby, tomorrow night and Friday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 29 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: tell me what? what did I miss? 6-8" isn't exciting. That's all you get out of a SWFE up to 10" or so, You will have to like it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I totaled my car last night off exit 16 when a tree fell in front of me and I smashed into it head on. My life flashed before me with my daughter in the car…so I’m never driving in any inclement weather again, even in a windy rain lol. Damn Luke you guys alright? Pics? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 30 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: The HRRR has been on fire lately, very curious to see what it shows, loading now. It was frigid at 06z. I’d be surprised if 12z came in as cold but it’s probably a red flag not to believe the NAM if it does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 HRRR is most certainly warmer than 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 It is. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 31 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Probability of a snow day Friday? In your opinion. 75% 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 1 minute ago, IowaStorm05 said: Tossed 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: HRRR is most certainly warmer than 6z. Cranking thump. Initially a bit warm but settled back. Nice 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Tossed Thats reckless. The 06 GFS also looks similar to me. On the other hand, 06 CMC or NAM look horrifying, but it is mid range for NAM 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 HRRR still looks pretty damn cold to me 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 Just now, IowaStorm05 said: Thats reckless. The 06 GFS also looks similar to me. On the other hand, 06 CMC or NAM look horrifying, but it is mid range for NAM Reckless? It’s the reality. Tossed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 1 minute ago, IowaStorm05 said: Thats reckless. The 06 GFS also looks similar to me. On the other hand, 06 CMC or NAM look horrifying, but it is mid range for NAM Its not reckless. The UK is wrong. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 23, 2022 Author Share Posted February 23, 2022 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: You can get like 5 to 1 sleet ratios if it’s really cold with a ton of pixie dust mixed in but that type of ratio usually doesn’t happen over a long period of sleet. Best to assume 2 to 1 or maybe 3 to 1 in a colder profile. We actually had that here, that 5 .. 6::1 sleet bomb, from that event that was... jeezus, fore' or aft the blizzard. But we had it climbing up the tire walls in driveways and plow-able deep. I was dweebing it checking out the particulates in the pack on top of the car and could not find a snow aggregate, yet it was like 4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: We actually had that here, that 5 .. 6::1 sleet bomb, from the event ... jeez it was either fore' or aft the blizzard. But we had it climbing up the tire walls in driveways and plow-able deep. I was dweebing it checking out the particulates in the pack on top of the car and could not find a snow aggregate, yet it was like 4" It was after the blizzard....the early Feb deal. I had 2" of sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 When you smell the taint is when you get crushed with those 2 per hour unstable rates. Helluva winter storm incoming 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Its not reckless. The UK is wrong. Its usually pretty bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 56 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Hard to tell. Loves the snow as much as anyone but hates what it can do to his cocks. Shrinkage 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 Just now, dryslot said: Its usually pretty bad. If you want the fog bank off of the British Isles modeled with surgical precision, then its your weapon of choice. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: HRRR is most certainly warmer than 6z. Ya warmer but still a great thump. NAM on an island still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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