RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Lock it. Another 25min south and we can. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Either of you look at the next 5 days after Friday lol Talk to the march sun angle lol 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 8 minutes ago, weathafella said: Euro is the south goalpost now while gfs is north. They switched positions. Euro has been steady the past several runs. Euro was on the top.. now ….GFS is riding ….CMC coming in from behind? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Euro is like 8” to sleet here. I’d lock 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Boston will rack up the snow totals next month Big negative epo and negative PNA 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 8 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Talk to the march sun angle lol Talk to the dews in the single digits and 20s 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 15 minutes ago, weathafella said: Euro is the south goalpost now while gfs is north. They switched positions. Euro has been steady the past several runs. I'm telling ya.. Been on this for 10 days. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 35 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: I want this godawful winter to end. It is about as irredeemable to me as it can get. I just haven't been the same since my dad passed, and I don't want to drag others down ruminating about that here. I could use a landscape change. I respect that it's Feb 21 and winter isn't (and shouldn't be) over, so I'm posting less. Carry on. You said yourself your Dad loved winter. Use it as a sign. Time helps my man. Both my parents are gone now. There is no way they would want me to wallow in grief. I treat each snow as my very last as it certainly could be. Enjoy each day keep your faith man. Best wishes. By the way LETS DO THIS 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 15 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Either of you look at the next 5 days after Friday lol Yea, don't get the "winter's last legs" sentiment. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 @WxWatcher007So sorry to hear of your dad's passing. I lost mine 8 years ago, and it's no coincidence I just hit 8 years sober. In the short term, try to garner strength from it in order to make sense of it all, and then in the long run while it never goes away, it does get more manageable. May he RIP. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, don't get the "winter's last legs" sentiment. Kevs typical negative Nellie about snow melting that he hasn't gotten yet. Lol. Shit with a sleet layer and temps and dews below freezing for days and days? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 36 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: I want this godawful winter to end. It is about as irredeemable to me as it can get. I just haven't been the same since my dad passed, and I don't want to drag others down ruminating about that here. I could use a landscape change. I respect that it's Feb 21 and winter isn't (and shouldn't be) over, so I'm posting less. Carry on. Sorry to hear that, I lost both my parents not too long ago so I know how you feel. They wouldn't want you to wallow in a depression so enjoy the things that make you happy. We still have some good times coming in the next few weeks so try and enjoy it best you can. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Kevs typical negative Nellie about snow melting that he hasn't gotten yet. Lol. Shit with a sleet layer and temps and dews below freezing for days and days? He is just really biased towards the solar min period, which I get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 25 minutes ago, weathafella said: Euro is the south goalpost now while gfs is north. They switched positions. Euro has been steady the past several runs. Euro shows minimal taint for us, verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 21, 2022 Author Share Posted February 21, 2022 17 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Boston will rack up the snow totals next month Big negative epo and negative PNA This isn't the thread for that but ... be leery of that assumption. The correlations heading through March for -EPO may not be the same in March as is such in D J or F - just be warned... The wave lengths overall begin shortening pretty coherently from Mar 1 to 30 ... That means a -EPO block may not transitively force a favorable look this far away ... March is a spring month that by virtue of our geography ... we've always claimed as a winter affair. But, that's bit of a circumstantial ownership. Some years simply don't product in March ... In fact, that seems to be more common since 2000, ... definitely since 2010 - even though there's been some blue bombs too. There are other aspect more circumstantial to now ...The larger hemisphere's circulation mode is only vaguely coupled to the La Nina base-state. The MJO has been for the most part ... irrelevant this season. It's attempted to move from Phase 7 ...twice, and twice failed.. .bouncing around for 10 days along the interface between 7 .. 8, ultimately deteriorating it's momentum to nothing. This time, we have a wave momentum that is strengthen back over the India region, which is correlated to the La Nina - the two may together force the atmosphere to "re"couple to the La Nina. It's unclear what that will mean for pattern, when combining that uncertainty ..with the seasonal relaxation stuff above. Bottom line...there's competing signals here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 4 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: Euro shows minimal taint for us, verbatim. True. But I’m adding some in as I think it happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Thanks, everyone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 16 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Talk to the dews in the single digits and 20s There’s no debating that the late Feb / early March sun will melt the snow more quickly than December January I don’t care what the dew point is. That’s all we are saying, I’ll take snow any month but it will melt quickly this time of year is our only point. The inch from Saturday was gone in less than 24 hours with temperatures below freezing and low dews as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 13 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Kevs typical negative Nellie about snow melting that he hasn't gotten yet. Lol. Shit with a sleet layer and temps and dews below freezing for days and days? The sleet and freezing rain Friday will def keep this pack around a lot longer than just snow however. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 EPS looks pretty good too. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 4 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: There’s no debating that the late Feb / early March sun will melt the snow more quickly than December January I don’t care what the dew point is. That’s all we are saying, I’ll take snow any month but it will melt quickly this time of year is our only point. The inch from Saturday was gone in less than 24 hours with temperatures below freezing and low dews as well. Fluffer nutter snow. Yea it melts but this isn't April either. Let's crush the next three weeks. Stat padder or not 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 17 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: There’s no debating that the late Feb / early March sun will melt the snow more quickly than December January I don’t care what the dew point is. That’s all we are saying, I’ll take snow any month but it will melt quickly this time of year is our only point. The inch from Saturday was gone in less than 24 hours with temperatures below freezing and low dews as well. I still have some areas on the north side of my house with snow cover but the rest was gone the next day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 The Euro 10:1 snow map seems extremely logical for this type of event. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 27 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: There’s no debating that the late Feb / early March sun will melt the snow more quickly than December January I don’t care what the dew point is. That’s all we are saying, I’ll take snow any month but it will melt quickly this time of year is our only point. The inch from Saturday was gone in less than 24 hours with temperatures below freezing and low dews as well. Still have some of it here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Just now, Chrisrotary12 said: The Euro 10:1 snow map seems extremely logical for this type of event. Agreed, my first call was probably too high, but I could totally see it playing out exactly as shown here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HinghamBoss Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Just now, Chrisrotary12 said: The Euro 10:1 snow map seems extremely logical for this type of event. I pause when seeing 10-11 spots showing up in the BOS metro area. There has to be some "sleet inflation" to these numbers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 8 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: The Euro 10:1 snow map seems extremely logical for this type of event. Bump 50 miles north and looks reasonable 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 43 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: @WxWatcher007So sorry to hear of your dad's passing. I lost mine 8 years ago, and it's no coincidence I just hit 8 years sober. In the short term, try to garner strength from it in order to make sense of it all, and then in the long run while it never goes away, it does get more manageable. May he RIP. Agree I lost my dad 6 years ago. Although you never get over it does get easier to manage 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter Wizard Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 23 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: The Euro 10:1 snow map seems extremely logical for this type of event. I’m skeptical of anything more than isolated double digit totals but a widespread swath of 6”+ in New England seems logical. My initial hunch is it’s overdone from the Pike south and you shift it north a bit, more like a sloppy few inches for BOS. Going to be a very sharp southern gradient. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 I just caught up on the 12z runs as I was out all morning away from internet. The trend seemed to be a subtle shift south on the 12z guidance. GFS did bump north a bit but all the foreign models came a little south so the overall suite was a little colder/south than 00z. I still think this comes back a little north at some point down the stretch. The question is whether it sags a little south first before that happens. I’m also finding myself agreeing with Tip that the overall tenor of this system really hasn’t changed much at all in the past 48 hours. GFS made its usual moves but the rest of guidance hasn’t been all over the map that much. Esp when you concede that we’ve been tracking this since 200 hours out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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