George001 Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: UKIE is sweet you Boston guys really will like that. Qpf over 1.5 everywhere. Great storm. I buy that qpf, not sure how much is snow but I do think the models will trend more towards and earlier transfer and stronger secondary low. Also, can’t it snow east of the mid level lows? It did in the March 2017 storm with the mid levels way west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Has to be a lot of sleet or zr on the 12z Ukie, The potential qpf is not all snow on there, Even that distribution is off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 7 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: The same eps that was torching end of Feb/early Mar timeframe just a week or so ago? I thought we were talking about d5-d8, not d14-20. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 If it can’t snow at all. Just deliver ice 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: If it can’t snow at all. Just deliver ice Even if it started and ended at ZR, probably not enough for the damage you want. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 3 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: I thought we were talking about d5-d8, not d14-20. I’m not seeing that big of difference between eps and gefs d5-d8 to claim gefs is way off and terrible though. The fact it schooled eps in the LR is another reason to not completely dismiss the cooler look for this event. I’m leaning warmer, more north with the primary, myself… but I don’t think at d5 we should be handing out best and worst model awards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I’m not seeing that big of difference between eps and gefs d5-d8 to claim gefs is way off and terrible though. The fact it schooled eps in the LR is another reason to not completely dismiss the cooler look for this event. I’m leaning warmer, more north with the primary, myself… but I don’t think at d5 we should be handing out best and worst model awards. We shouldn't be handing out our best and worst model awards at d14-20 either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 1 minute ago, 78Blizzard said: We shouldn't be handing out our best and worst model awards at d14-20 either. Sure we can. We’re practically there and sustained spring is nowhere in sight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 15 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Even if it started and ended at ZR, probably not enough for the damage you want. With 1.50 qpf? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Sure we can. We’re practically there and sustained spring is nowhere in sight. I'm keeping my mouth shut. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 This would be so much better if it was December instead of late Feb and Morch . It would have a completely different feeling . Wouldn’t be worried about sun melting things the next day when it’s 24 degrees. Stat pad spring time of season 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Steady as she goes with the forecast here in S. NH following this mornings runs. 8" of snow to sleet/snizzle on the edge of the dry slot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: This would be so much better if it was December instead of late Feb and Morch . It would have a completely different feeling . Wouldn’t be worried about sun melting things the next day when it’s 24 degrees. Stat pad spring time of season Yup we are just padding stats and looking for some good daytime rates this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 14 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: I'm keeping my mouth shut. What happened? I must have missed it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: What happened? I must have missed it. I want this godawful winter to end. It is about as irredeemable to me as it can get. I just haven't been the same since my dad passed, and I don't want to drag others down ruminating about that here. I could use a landscape change. I respect that it's Feb 21 and winter isn't (and shouldn't be) over, so I'm posting less. Carry on. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: I want this godawful winter to end. It is about as irredeemable to me as it can get. I just haven't been the same since my dad passed, and I don't want to drag others down ruminating about that here. I could use a landscape change. I respect that it's Feb 21 and winter isn't (and shouldn't be) over, so I'm posting less. Carry on. Man do I have to agree with you. There has been no storm this winter that has had any consistency to it as far as the models go. There has been more Model Mayhem this year than I could remember. With that said, it just made this winter feel like it's went on and on but without the goods except for some localized areas. Even this storm is so up in the air at this point. Yes the models may still Trend a bit north, but I would not be surprised if they tended to go just a bit South again before the event. And... What is up with Damage in Tolland and wanting Ice???? Lol. He must have a death wish.... Haha! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Just now, WxWatcher007 said: I want this godawful winter to end. It is about as irredeemable to me as it can get. I just haven't been the same since my dad passed, and I don't want to drag others down ruminating about that here. I could use a landscape change. I respect that it's Feb 21 and winter isn't (and shouldn't be) over, so I'm posting less. Carry on. It’s gets better over time. Like weather, we can’t control the loss of loved ones so we remember their spirit as much as we can and keep plugging away. Spring is usually a nice mood changer too so hopefully that will help. Until then, some good snows could lift you up a little as well. Be well man. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 8 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: I want this godawful winter to end. It is about as irredeemable to me as it can get. I just haven't been the same since my dad passed, and I don't want to drag others down ruminating about that here. I could use a landscape change. I respect that it's Feb 21 and winter isn't (and shouldn't be) over, so I'm posting less. Carry on. Sorry for your loss my man, that sucks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 New euro looks a little colder, primary doesn’t drive as far NW and a little more aggressive with the secondary redevelopment (Miller B). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Euro crush job here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: If it can’t snow at all. Just deliver ice I think there is the potential of decent ice between you and the Pike; question is how much is sleet vs zr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 4 minutes ago, George001 said: New euro looks a little colder, primary doesn’t drive as far NW and a little more aggressive with the secondary redevelopment (Miller B). Euro is the south goalpost now while gfs is north. They switched positions. Euro has been steady the past several runs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Just now, ineedsnow said: Euro crush job here looked like it shifted south a hair...faster too, noise? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Weaker primary this run, Further south results. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 37 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: This would be so much better if it was December instead of late Feb and Morch . It would have a completely different feeling . Wouldn’t be worried about sun melting things the next day when it’s 24 degrees. Stat pad spring time of season 27 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Yup we are just padding stats and looking for some good daytime rates this time of year. Either of you look at the next 5 days after Friday lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 1 minute ago, Allsnow said: Lock it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 2 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: looked like it shifted south a hair...faster too, noise? Weaker primary helps. Lots of wiggles to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 38 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: This would be so much better if it was December instead of late Feb and Morch . It would have a completely different feeling . Wouldn’t be worried about sun melting things the next day when it’s 24 degrees. Stat pad spring time of season But it’s more likely in the first half of March. March isn’t a retention month unless 1956 walks in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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