tunafish Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 On 2/25/2022 at 2:46 AM, IowaStorm05 said: I'm sorry, but I don't understand what that means. Expand As depicted, the goods don't make it to MBY. Outliers at this point, but curious regardless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 On 2/25/2022 at 2:49 AM, tunafish said: As depicted, the goods don't make it to MBY. Outliers at this point, but curious regardless. Expand It looks like you will do about as well as me. Virtually every single model run coming out right now is offering me 5 inches. As far as 00z NAM 3k is concerned, it's straight to rain for Groton. And as far as 00z NAM 3k is concerned, Willimantic is RIGHT on the border line for plowable snow here. I checked all the soundings for each hour, and the air aloft does not breach 32 degrees until 13z. Shows a rainer as close as 10 miles to the south. Fortunately, this is the worst model run for this event for my spot. It is not that likely to verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 On 2/25/2022 at 2:49 AM, tunafish said: As depicted, the goods don't make it to MBY. Outliers at this point, but curious regardless. Expand I'm still curious if we get better ratios in NNE given the slightly further south projection of the sleet line and heaviest snowfall. The lift is pretty high up there, in the 600-700mb level. This has mid-level lift band written all over it at BTV. It could translate through a decent west-to-east axis. Meso-band potential of short duration. Here's ORH too... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeonPeon Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 On 2/25/2022 at 2:38 AM, IowaStorm05 said: I noticed that. Why? I mean this is a significant storm that just happens to be poised to disappoint my state. Expand Population distribution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 One trend to watch is if the mesos cut back QPF right up through go time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 On 2/25/2022 at 3:02 AM, NeonPeon said: Population distribution. Expand I guess most of us are in CT or Coastal Massachusetts, and it isn't looking that sweet for coastal peeps on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
monadnocks Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 On 2/25/2022 at 1:43 AM, IowaStorm05 said: 00z RAP Expand Works for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 On 2/25/2022 at 2:46 AM, mahk_webstah said: Congrats Dendrite Expand That looks a lot different than this: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 On 2/25/2022 at 3:12 AM, 78Blizzard said: That looks a lot different than this: Expand Like Robert Stack says..... UPDATE! : I can see where that one dude talked about how warm air gets easily pulled into the town of Windham Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 0z RGEM a hair cooler in critical 12z-15z window, also a hair drier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 On 2/25/2022 at 2:30 AM, moneypitmike said: I will also say that this is the most dead night of commentary 5 hours before the flakes fly I've ever seen. Expand I think it's been a tiresome leadup for not the most spectacular returns +/- our peak outcome on guidance was yesterday +/- people shook by Russia Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 On 2/25/2022 at 3:21 AM, wxsniss said: I think it's been a tiresome leadup for not the most spectacular returns +/- our peak outcome on guidance was yesterday +/- people shook by Russia Expand It's crazy how slow this evening has been ahead of a region-wide event. We start discussing stuff so far out, that hours before the event arrives we are tired of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 25, 2022 Author Share Posted February 25, 2022 On 2/25/2022 at 3:24 AM, powderfreak said: It's crazy how slow this evening has been ahead of a region-wide event. We start discussing stuff so far out, that hours before the event arrives we are tired of it. Expand My fault 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 On 2/25/2022 at 3:27 AM, Typhoon Tip said: My fault Expand You have been good luck. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 I don’t get how guidance is drying up with how the radar looks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 On 2/25/2022 at 2:26 AM, TugHillMatt said: Yeah, that drive from Aroostook down to Bangor for what I imagine would be all the "bigger city" commodities seemed like a looooooong one. I loved Fort Kent and Houlton though. Expand Nobody is driving from Houlton, or north of there down to Bangor for anything. That’s a 3-4 hour desolate drive down to Bangor. Houlton and Fort Kent are 2 plus hours apart. Houlton is a pretty big town for that area. And a Presque isle is known as the hub of Aroostook…its got everything one needs…definitely a small town, but doesn’t feel all that remote for up there. Caribou is another cool small town, that has everything you need. But Once you get north of caribou…it starts to get much, much more sparse. Fort Kent and Madawaska are neat lil small towns too. Folks are really genuine and sincere up there…again, it’s a different world in that respect as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 On 2/25/2022 at 3:24 AM, powderfreak said: It's crazy how slow this evening has been ahead of a region-wide event. We start discussing stuff so far out, that hours before the event arrives we are tired of it. Expand Nah that’s not it…it’s that this thing kind of has been becoming more mundane for most in CT and SE Mass all day, that some have lost interest. If this thing was showing 8-14” for those areas, this place would be off the hook. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 On 2/25/2022 at 3:21 AM, wxsniss said: I think it's been a tiresome leadup for not the most spectacular returns +/- our peak outcome on guidance was yesterday +/- people shook by Russia Expand Stock up, just got some inside info. No joke or BS either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 On 2/25/2022 at 3:24 AM, powderfreak said: It's crazy how slow this evening has been ahead of a region-wide event. We start discussing stuff so far out, that hours before the event arrives we are tired of it. Expand Guidance has been glacial: could see this SWFE a mile away, any guidance changes are incremental... And the best runs (at least for SNE) were yesterday and we've seen some attenuation since... if this was continuing to escalate, this place would be lit 02z RAP looks good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 On 2/25/2022 at 3:34 AM, WinterWolf said: Nah that’s not it…it’s that this thing kind of has been becoming more mundane for most in CT and SE Mass all day, that some have lost interest. If this thing was showing 8-14” for those areas, this place would be off the hook. Expand My mundane drive to work at 530 am should be anything but. People want Jack's but tomorrow is gonna be a pretty crazy kind of storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 On 2/25/2022 at 3:37 AM, wxsniss said: Guidance has been glacial: could see this SWFE a mile away, any guidance changes are incremental... And the best runs (at least for SNE) were yesterday and we've seen some attenuation since... if this was continuing to escalate, this place would be lit 02z RAP looks good Expand Yup pretty much just said the same thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 On 2/25/2022 at 3:37 AM, Ginx snewx said: Stock up, just got some inside info. No joke or BS either. Expand Chatter that cyberattacks are en route... SolarWinds last year was just a dry run 02z HRRR and RAP both looking healthy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 On 2/25/2022 at 3:37 AM, Ginx snewx said: Stock up, just got some inside info. No joke or BS either. Expand Thanks for the tease. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 On 2/25/2022 at 3:24 AM, powderfreak said: It's crazy how slow this evening has been ahead of a region-wide event. We start discussing stuff so far out, that hours before the event arrives we are tired of it. Expand Yup… this year has been particularly noticeable. You track a threat for a week and by the time it reaches go time, you could really care less what happens lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 On 2/25/2022 at 3:17 AM, wxsniss said: 0z RGEM a hair cooler in critical 12z-15z window, also a hair drier Expand 22/10 here, off a low, last hour, of 20/9. Definitely cold and dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 On 2/25/2022 at 3:37 AM, wxsniss said: Guidance has been glacial: could see this SWFE a mile away, any guidance changes are incremental... And the best runs (at least for SNE) were yesterday and we've seen some attenuation since... if this was continuing to escalate, this place would be lit 02z RAP looks good Expand Haven’t paid a ton of attention to down south, but been casually following this one up here. The QPF has been lower but lately the synoptic features have resolved in a very favorable manner. 500mb and 700mb lows go overhead. Should create some lift. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 On 2/25/2022 at 3:37 AM, Ginx snewx said: Stock up, just got some inside info. No joke or BS either. Expand Huh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 On 2/25/2022 at 3:43 AM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Huh? Expand Russia issues. Supply chain and panic. Watch the news... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 On 2/25/2022 at 3:41 AM, wxsniss said: Chatter that cyberattacks are en route... SolarWinds last year was just a dry run 02z HRRR and RAP both looking healthy Expand On 2/25/2022 at 3:41 AM, 78Blizzard said: Thanks for the tease. Expand On 2/25/2022 at 3:45 AM, Ginx snewx said: Russia issues. Supply chain and panic. Watch the news... Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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