CoastalWx Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Why are we doing Kuchera again? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 My final forecasts sent out. Have 6-9” for Tolland area . 10.. if we grab 1-2” in the evening tomorrow after it flips back to snow 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Why are we doing Kuchera again? Deaf ears. 10:1 should be the default for all events. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 All the mesos have double digits for the Boston area, as well as the Euro, GFS and Ukie. Still tossing the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Just now, 78Blizzard said: All the mesos have double digits for the Boston area, as well as the Euro, GFS and Ukie. Still tossing the NAM. Pike south will be hard to get double digits I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 No work tomorrow, don’t care what happens from this point forward 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: My final forecasts sent out. Have 6-9” for Tolland area . 10.. if we grab 1-2” in the evening tomorrow after it flips back to snow thats reasonable for your area 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: Deaf ears. 10:1 should be the default for all events. 10:1 is always a great baseline to start at with most storms. The only two big storms weve had in CT this season were generally averaged around 15-22:1 for most, at least in CT anyway. It's been a season of unusually high ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Why are we doing Kuchera again? the areas on the fringe of snow/sleet 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Here's the end of the 20z HRRR (9:00a.m.). Sleet line is exactly at the CT/MA border by this point. so everything north of that is all snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 7 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: thats reasonable for your area 10:1 is always a great baseline to start at with most storms. The only two big storms weve had in CT this season were generally averaged around 15-22:1 for most, at least in CT anyway. It's been a season of unusually high ratios. I think far N CT here fights off sleet until 9-10am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 16 minutes ago, weathafella said: Deaf ears. 10:1 should be the default for all events. 10:1 isn’t accurate with sleet on the edge. It’s counting sleet as snow. Kuchera is more reasonable (less snow) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I think far N CT here fights off sleet until 9-10am Hopefully--the longer you snow, the more I get. HRRR has the sleet hitting you between 8-9. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 1 hour ago, WinterWolf said: Lol…certainly not trying to be nit picky, but that’s not the notch, but rather the pan handle in far SW CT. The notch is up on the mass boarder in Far northern Hartford county. Got that right! I drive through the notch every day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I think far N CT here fights off sleet until 9-10am You definitely tossed the NAM this storm after pimping it for the last 2 days. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: You definitely tossed the NAM this storm after pimping it for the last 2 days. You’re now pimping it which is funny after tossing for 3 days. Tit for tat 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 1 hour ago, dryslot said: GYX bumped into the 8" range here and just hoisted WSW. meh. but at least it will look like winter again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: You’re now pimping it which is funny after tossing for 3 days. Tit for tat Nope....where did I pimp it? Link me the post. However, for your 'hood, RGEM and now the 18z GFS are not giving you warning snows (well 18z GFS is really close, you're on the line). So it's not just the NAM there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Nope....where did I pimp it? Link me the post. However, for your 'hood, RGEM and now the 18z GFS are not giving you warning snows (well 18z GFS is really close, you're on the line). So it's not just the NAM there. High not retreating Euro Rap weaker primary Reasons to go 6-9”.. 10” if round 2 hits 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 28 minutes ago, weathafella said: Deaf ears. 10:1 should be the default for all events. Why would I not use Kutchera? 10 to 1 will not show the correct amounts due to sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: High not retreating Euro Rap weaker primary Reasons to go 6-9”.. 10” if round 2 hits take em down. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Just now, EastonSN+ said: Why would I not use Kutchera? 10 to 1 will not show the correct amounts due to sleet. You should use 10:1 before the sleet. That was way too low over areas getting snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 GFS says Brett go to work. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 34 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Why are we doing Kuchera again? Wouldn't 10 to 1 be inaccurate for my area due to sleet? Kutchera seems to account for the different ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: take em down. Every outlet has 5-10” here. So a lot of Mets will have to be wrong . Your 3-5” here is way too low I bet this area gets more than you in S Wey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Just now, CoastalWx said: take em down. Nah take em up. The low isn’t going to ram into the high like the nam and rgem think, I don’t buy that at all, it’s going to redevelop and turn into a Miller B. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Just now, CoastalWx said: GFS says Brett go to work. Now I understand his optimism. He’s only in it to get a day off. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: High not retreating Euro Rap weaker primary Reasons to go 6-9”.. 10” if round 2 hits I'm not disputing your forecast....I think you may get warning snows....I was just curious why you all of the sudden do not think the NAM is valid there....esp since for CT, it has a little more support now. Sounds like you answered the question already, but aside from being out of the RAP range, those things were all true yesterday and the day before too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 GFS QPF and "snow". Not sure how much of those amounts are inflated by sleet. I think I'm good for 6-7 here though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Every outlet has 5-10” here. So a lot of Mets will have to be wrong . Your 3-5” here is way too low I bet this area gets more than you in S Wey 3-5? LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 17 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Hopefully--the longer you snow, the more I get. HRRR has the sleet hitting you between 8-9. There's a heavy burst before the sleet hits, hope that helps out totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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