Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 3 minutes ago, Spaizzo said: How much you shooting for for Seymour… I love that you’re close so I can gauge Ansonia I’m thinking 3-6” here. With 4-5” most likely 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Wow at 12z, the 18z NAM has a wicked 850 front near the south coast. Going to dump in that 12z-15z...whatever precip falls. Lots of IP. Jets helmet on here then chucked into the woods afterwards. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 1 minute ago, Winter Wizard said: Going with this as my stab at the forecast. Could see shifts either way, but hedging toward the warmer solutions for coastal SNE. Pretty much what I envision. Probably need to hit sleet impacts hard in that 3 to 6 zone. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Lots of IP. Jets helmet on here then chucked into the woods afterwards. It did cool overall aloft. Comparing runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: It did cool overall aloft. Comparing runs. We are embarrassed Jets fans so the only use our helmets have these days…are for wars and sleet storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 18z tickled a little colder...starting to narrow the goal posts a bit more. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LSC97wxnut Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 NAM seems a smidge cooler? Sleet line a few miles south of 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Wow at 12z, the 18z NAM has a wicked 850 front near the south coast. Going to dump in that 12z-15z...whatever precip falls. 60 knots about to slam into the south coast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Here's 15z tomorrow....when you see those wind flags going from 60 knots (even 70 shows up there) out of the SSW and turning to 20 knots out of the SE like that over BOS....that's what we mean by a "bent back WF" in the midlevels. You usually want to see that to get 1-2" per hour on the front end thumps. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: 60 knots about to slam into the south coast. Might be the time where it tries to wash out for an hour or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 9 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Pretty much what I envision. Probably need to hit sleet impacts hard in that 3 to 6 zone. Yea, that's exactly what I did....and maybe a bit of glaze. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Might be the time where it tries to wash out for an hour or two. The mesos look like they try and temporarily stall the sleet line just south of the pike or near the RI/MA border for a couple hours near 14z-15z. If that happens, that's how we'd pick up the 8-12" amounts I think...versus more like 6-8". 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 18 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Lots of IP. Jets helmet on here then chucked into the woods afterwards. Lol jets fan here too, nam tickled warmer down here.. weird to see 3km nam and hrrr this different 12 hours before go time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 We may be able to pound out 8-10” here before helmets go on. And then lighter fluff at end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 4 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Lol jets fan here too, nam tickled warmer down here.. weird to see 3km nam and hrrr this different 12 hours before go time 19z HRRR is going colder than 18z too...not an easy forecast down there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 GYX bumped into the 8" range here and just hoisted WSW. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 14 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: The mesos look like they try and temporarily stall the sleet line just south of the pike or near the RI/MA border for a couple hours near 14z-15z. If that happens, that's how we'd pick up the 8-12" amounts I think...versus more like 6-8". yeah I imagine we waver here for a bit after thump Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Final call. Another headache of a forecast this winter. We kept the original range of 4-8" the same with highest amounts obviously near the mass boarder. If you are close to the 2-4" line expect the lower end of that 4-8" range. Least amount likely near the NY boarder in the notch of far SW CT. First call: Warnings/Advisories: 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 5 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: Final call. Another headache of a forecast this winter. We kept the original range of 4-8" the same with highest amounts obviously near the mass boarder. If you are close to the 2-4" line expect the lower end of that 4-8" range. Least amount likely near the NY boarder in the notch of far SW CT. First call: Warnings/Advisories: Lol…certainly not trying to be nit picky, but that’s not the notch, but rather the pan handle in far SW CT. The notch is up on the mass boarder in Far northern Hartford county. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 22 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Lol jets fan here too, nam tickled warmer down here.. weird to see 3km nam and hrrr this different 12 hours before go time I’d personally lean more sleet and some zr in a forecast but again, the sensible impact remains the same. If anything, probably a tic worse for the am commute then if it was all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I’d personally lean more sleet and some zr in a forecast but again, the sensible impact remains the same. If anything, probably a tic worse for the am commute then if it was all snow. Ya no doubt sleet melts slower Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Lol…certainly not trying to be nit picky, but that’s not the notch, but rather the pan handle in far SW CT. The notch is up on the mass boarder in Far northern Hartford county. i was tryting to think of the word for that semantics, thats what i meant..pan handle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 GYX warning says 6-9. P&C says 6-10. Map says 8-12. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 5 minutes ago, PhineasC said: GYX warning says 6-9. P&C says 6-10. Map says 8-12. Berlin is 8.8" so just into the 8-12" shading. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 18 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: i was tryting to think of the word for that semantics, thats what i meant..pan handle I never knew it was called that. I always referred to it as a “nub”. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 6 minutes ago, dryslot said: Berlin is 8.8" so just into the 8-12" shading. Glad I don't live there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Reggie ticked colder too. Quite the snowy solution near and just north of pike. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 still thinking 6 to 10 here biggest storm of the season for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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