Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 10 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Post yours Sure here you go... since I’m lying right? @The 4 Seasons and I going through Bufkit and confirming our thoughts that the vendor maps are way overdone on maps like HRRR. much less snow on bufkit than the weenie maps are showing.. gfs right now only snowy model for southern half of CT. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 29 minutes ago, snowman21 said: They must have heard you because you're now in the warning as well. funny thing is I sent an email, maybe they did, just seemed odd that all confidence around me north, east, west was for warning criteria and not here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Kuchie map fight. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 10 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: nice blotch of heavies over my head there, ha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 I think people still see the weenie maps and anticipate those totals 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 3 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I think people still see the weenie maps and anticipate those totals I don't think most people look at anything but surface, I try not to even look at them and focus on temps at all the levels of the atmosphere, fascinating stuff, I still struggle with deciphering soundings though 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 5 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I think people still see the weenie maps and anticipate those totals One of those models has to be close to actual. OR One has to be least wrong. The forum (sub-forum) is akin to ensembles of thoughts and comments. Collectively always right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stash Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 11 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Years ago there was a late season storm that dropped 2”+ of sleet in Greenfield and roads were a disaster. The 2"+ of sleet (mixed with freezing rain) we had here just to your west a couple weeks ago was more disruptive than 8-12" of snow. It was compounded by the Arctic airmass immediately following the storm. I went out to the driveway towards the end of the storm, tapped the mass of ice with my shovel once or twice, and went right back inside. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScottieBird Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 For anyone who's been studying SNE climo for any length of time in these types of events knows how absolutely ridiculous those winters storm watches were for the South Coast of RI and MA. Absolutely ridiculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeonPeon Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 3 minutes ago, ROOSTA said: The forum (sub-forum) is akin to ensembles of thoughts and comments. Collectively always right Nonsense, this forum has a noted weenie bias. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Oh look, it trended to dogsh*t. Winter of ‘22 rolls on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeonPeon Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 2 minutes ago, ScottieBird said: For anyone who's been studying SNE climo for any length of time in these types of events knows how absolutely ridiculous those winters storm watches were for the South Coast of RI and MA. Absolutely ridiculous. I don't know how a watch can be ridiculous, but I've been certain that we're looking at a mainly rain, couple inches of slush at best thing. Honestly, the blizzard actually being a blizzard here shook my confidence in pessimism at all times, which was a welcome experience. But it has its limits. The cold don't hold in the bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 18z HRRR coming in a tick colder through 12h. Would help out the S CT peeps. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 18z HRRR coming in a tick colder through 12h. Would help out the S CT peeps. Comparing to 12z, primary and WAA weaker out in NY state. Also, battleground over my house for a couple of hours lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 I think at least 4” is a lock here in interior central CT. If we can really thump, and hold off the sleet a bit..6+ is easily doable imo. After all I’m in the warning zone lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2022/02/final-call-for-friday-winter-storm.html 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2022/02/final-call-for-friday-winter-storm.html Thanks. I HOPE to get 1 to 3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Ray that new map looks pretty much how I would think of it. edit. Ignore my earlier addition 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: Ray that new map looks pretty much how I would think of it. maybe I would go a little higher in N CT, N RI, EMass Yea, valid point....I am just erring on the side of advancing mid level warm tongue and easterly fetch inhibiting BL a bit east. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rimetree Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Damn, new snow blower won't get here in time for this...not looking forward to cleanup Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MuddyWx Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 This is an ASH payback storm 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 52 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Sure here you go... since I’m lying right? @The 4 Seasons and I going through Bufkit and confirming our thoughts that the vendor maps are way overdone on maps like HRRR. much less snow on bufkit than the weenie maps are showing.. gfs right now only snowy model for southern half of CT. Ok thanks but dude chill. No one said you are lying just wanted to see it. Lol. Dude.....isn't bufkit just nam and gfs rap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Ok thanks but dude chill. No one said you are lying just wanted to see it. Lol. Dude.....isn't bufkit just nam and gfs rap There's more we have hrrr downloaded too.. It's like 2-4" shore 4-8" inland with 10" extreme north at bdl.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HinghamBoss Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Woosh...going to be living on the edge in this one. Hard to complain. Happy for the crew North of the city on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 40 minutes ago, Hoth said: Oh look, it trended to dogsh*t. Winter of ‘22 rolls on. All we can do is scoop and toss as the storm departs and drops another turd on us… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Wow at 12z, the 18z NAM has a wicked 850 front near the south coast. Going to dump in that 12z-15z...whatever precip falls. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spaizzo Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 11 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: There's more we have hrrr downloaded too.. It's like 2-4" shore 4-8" inland with 10" extreme north at bdl.. How much you shooting for for Seymour… I love that you’re close so I can gauge Ansonia Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Wow at 12z, the 18z NAM has a wicked 850 front near the south coast. Going to dump in that 12z-15z...whatever precip falls. It is exceptionally warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 2 hours ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: yes much warmer than the torch at 6z here .. Kuchera and snow depth maps are 0-3" most of southern ct, 3-6" northern half, 1-3" of snow and sleet then ice storm for me and you.. 14 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: There's more we have hrrr downloaded too.. It's like 2-4" shore 4-8" inland with 10" extreme north at bdl.. You confused me. Good luck on your forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter Wizard Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Going with this as my stab at the forecast. Could see shifts either way, but hedging toward the warmer solutions for coastal SNE. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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