Winter storm for the 25th of February is imminent.

[Cold Miser]

...As long as the wolf is loose.

 

[subdude]

43 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

9-11” for my hood out to Hippy.  Ray to Dom in Nashua 12”.  Dendyland over to  Dryslot also in the 12” range.  8-10” for the Pike/ORH over to BOS 

6-9” for N CT over to Scooter

Good call, think we'll see any sleet for a brief period?

[40/70 Benchmark]

I really like the 3/5/01 jackpot zone in this.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

What did revs favorite new model at 12z show 

[IowaStorm05]

14z RAP still serving it up for papa

but it is quiet on here right now. 

 

[Damage In Tolland]

A place where snow is really snow Japan.. all sea effect snow 

 

[EastonSN+]

Was on a conference call what did I miss?

Have we all come to a consensus on Snowfall amounts?

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Just now, EastonSN+ said:

Was on a conference call what did I miss?

Have we all come to a consensus on Snowfall amounts?

After newest info I like Uptons map for us.  Having a conference with the guys at 1pm to make our final call. 

[dryslot]

Couple tics north on the 12z GFS.

[mreaves]

27 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Am I though?

 

Nice.  This guy approves

[IowaStorm05]

4 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Couple tics north on the 12z GFS.

The trend is screwing CT and the result of the losses I am going to be made to travel in nasty weather instead of enjaying hot cocoa by the radiator in my pajamas.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

3 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Couple tics north on the 12z GFS.

Ya couple tics north, still one of the coldest models for down here with the HRRR... 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Just now, IowaStorm05 said:

It is screwing CT and the result of the losses I am going to be made to travel in nasty weather instead of enjaying hot cocoa by the radiator in my pajamas.

GFS is still solid for you verbatim several inches of snow and sleet. 

[tamarack]

9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

A place where snow is really snow Japan.. all sea effect snow 

 

That Tsunan depth is a couple cm north of what Pinkham Notch reached in Feb 1969, but way short of Paradise Ranger Station's tallest at 5500' on Rainier - 376"/955 cm.  Crazy pics, thanks.

[CoastalWx]

Gfs about the same here. I’ll take it.

[The 4 Seasons]

10 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

After newest info I like Uptons map for us.  Having a conference with the guys at 1pm to make our final call. 

Word

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Gfs about the same here. I’ll take it.

Looked awesome for pike up to S NH....I'm expecting to ping though even though GFS says it stays south. But just need to hold off the pingers until about 15z and we're locked for solid warning snows.

[IowaStorm05]

GFS has decided that winter storms drop their precipitation in a pattern of Octagons. 

[Cold Miser]

21 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

A place where snow is really snow Japan.. all sea effect snow 

 

ummmm. Salty snow.

[UnitedWx]

1 hour ago, Cyclone-68 said:

I think it was colonial meteorologist  Patrick Henry who said “Give me eight inches or give me death!” That best expresses my feelings about snow too  

You sure he wasn't talking about the wood shed

[512high]

6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Looked awesome for pike up to S NH....I'm expecting to ping though even though GFS says it stays south. But just need to hold off the pingers until about 15z and we're locked for solid warning snows.

So you thing i will mix alot in ASH? I think I will pre-salt two lots, hoping for no more then 2" by 530am?? start time seems earlier then last night runs?

[moneypitmike]

For those who are counting.

 

[moneypitmike]

26 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

A place where snow is really snow Japan.. all sea effect snow 

 

 

For a minute I thought those were ultrasounds of a baby.   lol

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

17 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Ya couple tics north, still one of the coldest models for down here with the HRRR... 

I’m not sure this pans out for us.

meaning, I’m leaning towards the lower end of the range.

[ORH_wxman]

4 minutes ago, 512high said:

So you thing i will mix alot in ASH? I think I will pre-salt two lots, hoping for no more then 2" by 530am?? start time seems earlier then last night runs?

No it won't mix that much there....it might ping as the precip starts getting lighter near midday, but the damage is done by then....decent chance you don't mix at all.

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

I’m not sure this pans out for us.

meaning, I’m leaning towards the lower end of the range.

You guys in SW CT might start as straight sleet but then flip to moderate/heavy snow for a few hours as the lift deepens and cools the marginal warm layer, before it finally gets overwhelmed by WAA.

[Chrisrotary12]

6 minutes ago, 512high said:

So you thing i will mix alot in ASH? I think I will pre-salt two lots, hoping for no more then 2" by 530am?? start time seems earlier then last night runs?

If we ping at all its around 1p or so when the edge of the dry slot is on our doorstep. We're basically a lock for 8" at this point. Outside shot at 10-12" if we get in a band or sit on the good side of the coastal front.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

You guys in SW CT might start as straight sleet but then flip to moderate/heavy snow for a few hours as the lift deepens and cools the marginal warm layer, before it finally gets overwhelmed by WAA.

So I assume the sounding an hour or two later (which can’t be seen) would look better before the warm nose pokes us again?

[Sey-Mour Snow]

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

So I assume the sounding an hour or two later (which can’t be seen) would look better before the warm nose pokes us again?

Ya I'm really not too confident I'm leaning lower end of range like you said for SWCT portion of state. Like Will said its initially sleet cools quick turns to snow but then warm air moves back in super in quick, hrrr and gfs keep on fighting it off, but it really waffles back and forth it seems with dynamical cooling.. We could be on the good side or the bad side of the gradient, every mile north and east will matter.  

[IowaStorm05]

6 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

So I assume the sounding an hour or two later (which can’t be seen) would look better before the warm nose pokes us again?

This really has been a lot of north trending this past 12 hours, and gravitating toward NAM and RGEM solutions following their stubborness. 

it is my hope there is still a chance for a last-minute "correction" southward again. I know we are still going to get in on some of the action, but it is nothing like the 8 to 12 inch ideas that were on the table last night. 

Otherwise my worst-case idea last night of sleet tamping down amounts badly all the way up to 10 or 20 miles south of the MA border might be more of a reality.