moneypitmike Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 Tons of NCP in here, but fwiw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah I would agree. Especially if Reggie holds or ticks south. I wouldn't be surprised if the NAM comes south at 00z and the other guidance comes north to narrow the goalposts. Other guidance is so much colder/south than the NAM that at some point we're going to need to see a convergence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 Synoptically this looks pretty good with that cold high to the north... not in retreat. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 Just now, moneypitmike said: Tons of NCP in here, but fwiw. Isn't sleet crystalline precipitation? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 23, 2022 Author Share Posted February 23, 2022 1 minute ago, CT Rain said: Synoptically this looks pretty good with that cold high to the north... not in retreat. OH there you are 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 19 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 18z NAM coming in with stronger confluence....shocker I know. You hate to see it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Isn't sleet crystalline precipitation? No 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I wouldn't be surprised if the NAM comes south at 00z and the other guidance comes north to narrow the goalposts. Other guidance is so much colder/south than the NAM that at some point we're going to need to see a convergence. Yeah as much as everyone is scoffing at that, I still expect some of the cold solutions to come north a bit. I agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 Nam on this run at 18z Friday went from 3C at h850 on 12z run to 0C, yet it made no difference in total snow amount. Tossed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 4 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: You hate to see it The high means business I'm praying for more south shifts 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 2 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: Nam on this run at 18z Friday went from 3C at h850 to 0C, yet it made no difference in total snow amount. Tossed. That’s not an output of the NAM though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 3k Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 Hammertime goes 6-10 from HFD North 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 Although I will be happy if wrong. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: That’s not an output of the NAM though True that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 4 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: Nam on this run at 18z Friday went from 3C at h850 on 12z run to 0C, yet it made no difference in total snow amount. Tossed. More pellets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 1 minute ago, 78Blizzard said: True that. Pivotal doesn't include sleet, while TT does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
subdude Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 lol @ my work. They're asking everyone if they could come in early on Friday and that the snow isn't going to pickup until later on during the day. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 6 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: Also. NAM at 48 hours had h85 at 0.4. I haven’t looked at a sounding but if that layer is thin enough and no warmer you can easily get away with rimed snowflakes. I don’t think the vendor algorithms factor that in. Of course by 48 hours rates are slowing but upper levels cold fairly quickly after that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 I'm watching that little last hurrah on some guidance. Could be 1-2 of fluff on some models. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: I'm watching that little last hurrah on some guidance. Could be 1-2 of fluff on some models. That’s a lock for everyone. That’s not included in most of these snow maps from Mets . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: That’s a lock for everyone. That’s not included in most of these snow maps from Mets . I know you hate what I say this, but that's modeled further east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 The saving grace is any sleet falls on a decent amount of snow. Straight sleet on the walkways is horrible espy on areas not prone to sun during the day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 18z Reggie went another tick colder. Here's 12z Friday: 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 Lets get a 2/5/14 with a 2/2/15 vibe going. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 Pete B going 4-7 for most of metro Boston and the coast. Marine influence? I don’t know what he’s seeing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 Reggie is virtually all snow at BOS. Maybe briefly sleets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 Just now, NorEastermass128 said: Pete B going 4-7 for most of metro Boston and the coast. Marine influence? I don’t know what he’s seeing. That's good to see. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 Just now, CoastalWx said: Lets get a 2/5/14 with a 2/2/15 vibe going. This is the furthest north that run gets with the sleet line....I'm skeptical but that's kind of like the Euro 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 23, 2022 Share Posted February 23, 2022 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I know you hate what I say this, but that's modeled further east. Don’t care about that. I see that hang back all the way to West of river . It always happens in these. The sky lowers.. you get all these posts about it’s snowing hard but nothing shows on radar.. and then the returns start showing after about 30 mins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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