Chicago Storm Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 . 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 GOAT thread starter right here. This one has potential for a good thumping on someone. Another big surge of moisture over cold air mass pressing south. Could end up quite south and weak like GFS suggests or a bit stronger and north like Euro suggests. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 Was literally coming here to start a thread. Perhaps a bit early in some circumstances but relatively good confidence in something for this distance. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 Tempted to final call but I'll give it a day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 6 hours ago, StormChaser4Life said: GOAT thread starter right here. This one has potential for a good thumping on someone. Another big surge of moisture over cold air mass pressing south. Could end up quite south and weak like GFS suggests or a bit stronger and north like Euro suggests. I'm thinking Mchenry snow, Cary, and Cyclone might say otherwise. And it already has that look. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 First storm will be north. That will allow more cold air to come down from Canada for the second storm I feel like that one will be a southeast trender as well. Just a plausible guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 WE are clearly becoming more confident as the winter goes on. Starting a thread a week out back in December would never happen. IN this set-up I say SE but with the SE Ridge coming back to life it becomes a Monster. 2008 repeater for CMH... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 2 hours ago, Baum said: I'm thinking Mchenry snow, Cary, and Cyclone might say otherwise. And it already has that look. Remember when the Toronto people complained about getting the shaft. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Owensnow Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 Ohhhh this looks yummy this time! Classic look for DTW and XHA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 Yep, looks like a rainer Tues, followed by another miss southeast with this storm lol. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 GFS all over the place with this. Euro has been a bit more consistent in snow impacting areas this north. But definitely could see this getting shunted se because of the arctic front. Here's to hoping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 This could be respectably spread the wealth if it plays out right. Hopefully so for some areas that have not gotten much snow. I'd be feeling cautiously optimistic for Chicago. Even if the heaviest system snow passes south, there is a decent signal for lake contribution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 54 minutes ago, cyclone77 said: Yep, looks like a rainer Tues, followed by another miss southeast with this storm lol. Nah. This one will be more spread the wealth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 Well right now gfs is pretty much a miss south and euro has a large precip shield that spreads the "wealth" or in this case the "poor" as amounts are pretty anemic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 Welp, this one on life support huh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 8 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: Welp, this one on life support huh Tuesday a rainer and this one a 2-4 incher that will end up being a duster up here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fluoronium Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 NAM casually suggesting tornado potential over areas with snow still on the ground 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 Apparent screw zone but obviously just one model days out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 47 minutes ago, Chicago WX said: Nah. This one will be more spread the wealth. do you mean we all get the shaft? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 11 minutes ago, SolidIcewx said: Apparent screw zone but obviously just one model days out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 Wouldn't trust GFS. It did awful with last storm. Can't wait to see what NAM shows. Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 39 minutes ago, StormChaser4Life said: Wouldn't trust GFS. It did awful with last storm. Can't wait to see what NAM shows. Lol Exactly a litteral grain of sand in the ocean of models 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 55 minutes ago, SolidIcewx said: Apparent screw zone but obviously just one model days out And how has the GFS performed lately? This is going to change 50 times and that is just with the gfs. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 1 hour ago, Baum said: do you mean we all get the shaft? That's spread the BS. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 1 hour ago, Stebo said: And how has the GFS performed lately? This is going to change 50 times and that is just with the gfs. It’s a reference at work only had time to put off one model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 ECMWF 10:1 ratios 00Z Thursday to 18Z Friday. Quite the spread like sports gambling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 maybe it's a good thing this event doesn't have a model showing a swath of 20" somewhere 6 days out. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 5 minutes ago, Baum said: maybe it's a good thing this event doesn't have a model showing a swath of 20" somewhere 6 days out. Reverse psychology, genius. Those 20" solutions haven't verified so maybe now they'll sneak into a storm soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 17 minutes ago, Baum said: maybe it's a good thing this event doesn't have a model showing a swath of 20" somewhere 6 days out. 10 minutes ago, Stevo6899 said: Reverse psychology, genius. Those 20" solutions haven't verified so maybe now they'll sneak into a storm soon. Glad we all are thinking the same thing 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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