Metasequoia Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 OZ NAM with a couple ticks south. Not that many want sleet and freezing rain. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 Spending a long weekend here in the Berkshires, NWS saying anywhere btwn 7-12", before all said & done by 11PM tomorrow night. Currently 21 here, it's 30 back home in HPN. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 HRRR changes every run but there is potential for northern parts of the city/lower Westchester to stay mainly frozen with this. This run doesn't push the freezing line past the Bronx until 15z (10:00 am). 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 3km nam is got a decent freezing rain signal with that run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 1 minute ago, wthrmn654 said: 3km nam is got a decent freezing rain signal with that run. Can you post West of NYC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted February 25, 2022 Author Share Posted February 25, 2022 32/14 right now. No way dew points for supposed to be this low now… seems like temps should fall into high 20s with steady precip unless winds really turn off ocean quickly 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 22 minutes ago, mikem81 said: 32/14 right now. No way dew points for supposed to be this low now… seems like temps should fall into high 20s with steady precip unless winds really turn off ocean quickly 27/12 up this way. Been holding there for the last few hours. Temps might drop off a few at the surface up this way too at the onset especially if the precipitation would be moderate to heavy at times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gpsnavigator Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 TWC is really hyping the threat of a nasty ice storm for northern and inland central NJ and much of PA. Meanwhile dewpoints in my area continue to hover in the single digits. That's going to lead to a good deal of evap cooling, at least in the beginning half of things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 11.1 dew point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 22 minutes ago, gpsnavigator said: TWC is really hyping the threat of a nasty ice storm for northern and inland central NJ and much of PA. Meanwhile dewpoints in my area continue to hover in the single digits. That's going to lead to a good deal of evap cooling, at least in the beginning half of things. Amazing gfs doesn’t even show a trace of snow for us now lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 7 minutes ago, rgwp96 said: Amazing gfs doesn’t even show a trace of snow for us now lol Nobody should be the slightest bit surprised. Unless they ignored the path of the mid-level shortwave through Lake Ontario and the past 6 runs of the NAM. The GFS gets sleet to ALB now. Probably briefly to SVT too. Should still be decent snow up there though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 The radar trends indicate this is going to be all IP/ZR. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 2 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: The radar trends indicate this is going to be all IP/ZR. that would,,,,,,suck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 The 02z HRRR has a large swath of 0.25”+ with 0.71” at MMU. They really should have considered warnings. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 1 minute ago, Brasiluvsnow said: that would,,,,,,suck I think you neee to be North of Woodbury for more than an inch or two. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 4 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: I think you neee to be North of Woodbury for more than an inch or two. I'm not saying it sucks because I am not getting snow in my /our area,,,,I am saying that would suck because I would rather get RAIN than ICE or freezing rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 TWC is really bullish on the ice. Large area of 0.25-0.75” including most of NNJ into the LHV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 Dewpoint up to 17 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 26 minutes ago, eduggs said: Nobody should be the slightest bit surprised. Unless they ignored the path of the mid-level shortwave through Lake Ontario and the past 6 runs of the NAM. The GFS gets sleet to ALB now. Probably briefly to SVT too. Should still be decent snow up there though. Not surprised , but Not to long show that and euro where showing me as 6 plus lol. Current temp here 29.5 and dewpoint 11. I’m thinking some nasty icing is going to happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/... -- Changed Discussion -- Winter Weather Advisories remain in effect for all but far eastern sections of Long Island. There were some light radar returns moving across portions of the area out ahead of a more organized area of precipitation across the Mid Atlantic that will move in after midnight. Latest HRRR simulated reflectivity shows weak returns generally passing to the south and east of LI/NYC metro next couple of hours. Only minor adjustments were made to the forecast at this time. Biggest challenge overnight will be how quickly the precipitation type transitions to rain along the coast and a wintry mix inland. Guidance is in better agreement, but their are still enough differences in the magnitude and timing of the warm nose aloft and surface temperatures to impact snowfall accumulation and ice accretion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lawnguyland Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 Radar comin at me, blue dot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 27/10 NW wind at 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 Current temp 33 here with a DP of 20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 32/20 which is concerning. If temperatures fall to 28-29F there would be significant icing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 Its raining 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
justinj Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 Rain with some pingers mixed in. Middle island Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 After a few flakes at 32 degrees, temps have dipped to 30 with light rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 33 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: 32/20 which is concerning. If temperatures fall to 28-29F there would be significant icing. Temp dropped from 31.9 to 30.3 per home station. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 13 minutes ago, justinj said: Rain with some pingers mixed in. Middle island Ditto - Middle Island as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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