Brasiluvsnow Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Anyone care to guesstimate a start time for this ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Just now, Brasiluvsnow said: Anyone care to guesstimate a start time for this ? For where? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 27.0/9.0 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 1 minute ago, HVSnowLover said: For where? Well HVS, how about by you ? I will probably get it 20 minutes before you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Looks like the latest RAP has surface temps below freezing in NYC for most of the storm...tough to tell on Pivotal though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Just now, Brasiluvsnow said: Well HVS, how about by you ? I will probably get it 20 minutes before you TBH just model hugging but HRRRR says we start about 1 am. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Hrrr has cooled at 850 level 12z for a portion of the area. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 6 hours ago, HVSnowLover said: Maybe not 40 but several models are now spiking temps to mid 30s well inland, mostly after precip ends but still the small ice accretion will melt fast. Sleet woulda lasted a bit longer because its thick. NWS has a high temp of 44 for my area tomorrow. Temps are going to spike pretty good tomorrow afternoon when the sun comes out. Should be plenty of mid 40s. So yeah, anything we get will melt quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 15 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: NWS has a high temp of 44 for my area tomorrow. Temps are going to spike pretty good tomorrow afternoon when the sun comes out. Should be plenty of mid 40s. So yeah, anything we get will melt quickly. Parts of Jersey yes, most other areas don't hit 40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Latest hrrr skew says I snow till 10z, sleet 11z,12z,13z and rain by 14z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Rap says snow till 12z then straight to rain lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Earlier shortwave energy has moved offshore. Higher level clouds have cleared with some clouds around 5-7kft over the area. Can already see deeper moisture gathering over the Ohio Valley in response a strong vortmax over the Northern Plains. This vortmax moves towards the Great Lakes overnight. Low pressure develops over the Ohio Valley tonight with a weaker secondary wave possible forming near or just south of Long Island late tonight into Friday morning. The primary low will become absorbed into the secondary low by Friday afternoon as the system departs off the New England coast. No changes have been made with this update for overnight into Friday morning, with just minor adjustments made to sky cover, temps and dew points through midnight. Still appears that precip will begin around or shortly after midnight from southwest to northeast. No changes were made to the coverage of the winter weather advisories, but have adjusted the end time to 10 am Friday for NYC metro and NW Long Island and 3 pm Friday for southern Connecticut. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 34 with a wet bulb of 26 on an ENE wind at my station here in Sheepshead Bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 25/9 here expecting 5-6” with some sleet here. Thankfully that freezing rain threat is staying south of here. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 Latest HRRR looks warmer again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 6 minutes ago, HVSnowLover said: Latest HRRR looks warmer again. Failure down here I hate getting rain during winter 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 Latest HRRR is almost no ZR. Looks like just sleet and rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 33 minutes ago, wthrmn654 said: Rap says snow till 12z then straight to rain lol I could easily see just snow to rain for Eastern LI. I am almost sure North Shore of Central and Eastern LI will get more snow than NYC with this but the city may hang onto frozen precip a little longer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 29/9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 Temps seem a bit lower than expected and precip comes in like a wall so should be favorable for wet bulbing. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 54 minutes ago, HVSnowLover said: I could easily see just snow to rain for Eastern LI. I am almost sure North Shore of Central and Eastern LI will get more snow than NYC with this but the city may hang onto frozen precip a little longer. Rap and hrrr say city changes to rain sooner then my neck of the woods lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 00z surface temps are lower then 23z for long Island. Lol not sure how that's warmer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 Just now, wthrmn654 said: 00z surface temps are lower then 23z for long Island. Lol not sure how that's warmer 0Z was colder than 23z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 4 minutes ago, HVSnowLover said: 0Z was colder than 23z. then it's not warmer lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 This could have gone worse and become a ZR threat Just now, wthrmn654 said: then it's not warmer lol It runs every hour. I was referring before to 23z being warmer than 22z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 Temp has been holding around 33-34 here over the past few hours. DP 16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 It's about 30-31 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 30 degrees right now here in New City but I hear that Sloatsburg is a balmy 50 but I cannot confirm 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 7 minutes ago, Brasiluvsnow said: 30 degrees right now here in New City but I hear that Sloatsburg is a balmy 50 but I cannot confirm 27/12 here currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 Power outage tracking especially for northern areas. https://poweroutage.us/ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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