NEG NAO Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 are we going to make a new thread if this keeps showing up for Sunday on various models ????- it first showed on the Euro yesterday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 1 minute ago, NEG NAO said: are we going to make a new thread if this keeps showing up for Sunday on various models ????- it first showed on the Euro yesterday One storm threat at a time unless this becomes the main show. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 25 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: One storm threat at a time unless this becomes the main show. it would be cool to have 2 separate storm threads going at the same time but not enough confidence to create a late weekend thread YET........plus this coming storm has more questions than answers right now and low confidence... 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 40 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: One storm threat at a time unless this becomes the main show. I think I95 and points east the Sunday storm has way more potential than Friday but I agree probably would be cautious to make a thread until models are showing a more consistent hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 Still going beyond 90 hours 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 Long range nam 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 0Z GFS coming in way snowier 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 4 minutes ago, HVSnowLover said: 0Z GFS coming in way snowier 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 5 minutes ago, MJO812 said: It's not even over at this time. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 0Z CMC also trended colder, still sleet for the city but the snow line moved closer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 7 minutes ago, HeadInTheClouds said: It's not even over at this time. The 0Z CMC is a thing of beauty for your area, thinking this may finally be the I84 to I90 snowstorm but hopefully south of their can cash in on at least some snow. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 Ukie wow 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 CMC still too warm IMO. Look at last 6 hours of RGEM. It gives more snow to NYC than CMC. Definite trend colder and south with snow on 00z's. Still 3 days out though but nice trends tonight. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 6 minutes ago, HVSnowLover said: Ukie wow Nice south trend even if that's sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 Need to get that coastal to take over. Best chance for city south/east to get nice front end. Been trending towards that last few runs 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 We know these tend to bump north so to think we get a decent event would like to see the south trend continue through tomorrow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 4 minutes ago, HVSnowLover said: We know these tend to bump north so to think we get a decent event would like to see the south trend continue through tomorrow. Yes they do but didn't we have a swfe earlier in the winter and it didn't bump north. It actually stayed south. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 Ukie has the secondary way further south than the 12z run. Alot of the precip is sleet near the coast but it's a colder run. 0z vs 12z 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 10 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Ukie has the secondary way further south than the 12z run. Alot of the precip is sleet near the coast but it's a colder run. 0z vs 12z Way colder. Look where the 0* line is on each run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 18 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Ukie has the secondary way further south than the 12z run. Alot of the precip is sleet near the coast but it's a colder run. 0z vs 12z This is what we want. Hopefully the euro starts to show this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 6 minutes ago, Franklin0529 said: This is what we want. Hopefully the euro starts to show this 18z Euro looked pretty good. I expect similar or better at 00z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 Keep in mind (something I discuss in any setup where there could be sleet) there's quite a potential sleet signature, as per the GFS, especially, which is showing >6"+ of "10:1 ratio snow" most of which is really likely to be 3:1 ratio sleet, verbatim, looking at the Tidbits snowfall map. The Tidbits map counts all of the sleet as 10:1 snow, while the Tidbits and Pivotal snow depth maps seem like they are doing some combo of 10:1 snow and maybe 3-5:1 sleet, depending on location. It's impossible to tell exactly, which is why I often prefer the Tidbits snow/sleet map, all at 10:1, so I at least know one important thing and that is the mass of frozen precip (not including freezing rain) - as mass is a very important emergency planning number, as snow removal and driving (apart from visibility) impacts are most closely related to frozen mass, not depth. The NAM shows similar outcomes for the model outputs fro Pivotal and TT with regard to sleet/snow. I wish they would publish separate sleet maps (including the assumed ratio). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 Euro jogs south a bit with the snow, but doesn't show much sleet (snow depth actually shows less than snowfall, which makes no sense). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 7 hours ago, NEG NAO said: it would be cool to have 2 separate storm threads going at the same time but not enough confidence to create a late weekend thread YET........plus this coming storm has more questions than answers right now and low confidence... think about what it would've been like on this forum in 1993-94 from December thru March lol 2 storms every week 30 total storms 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 3 hours ago, HeadInTheClouds said: wow thats 6 inches of snow even here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 3 hours ago, LibertyBell said: wow thats 6 inches of snow even here Pretty unlikely it plays out that way this is one of those setups you do not want to be on the south shore, despite the colder water temps. This has been and always will be a city Nw storm. The northern parts of the city and the extreme north shore of the island are the big question, could be pretty high impact Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now