2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)

[Eskimo Joe]

1 minute ago, Kmlwx said:

It definitely seems like a setup where if you're in the right (or wrong) place, you could get trained over pretty good this afternoon and evening. I don't *think* it'll be anything like the training I saw in June 2006, but if the railroad tracks align it could be a hazardous afternoon for the usual standing water/flooding locations. Guessing at least 5 idiots will require water rescue from vehicles today. Will guess 3 pickup trucks and two minivans. 

There's no way we even come close to June 2006. Setup is vastly different.

[yoda]

6 minutes ago, Kmlwx said:

Flood watch expanded

---

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
1003 AM EDT Wed Jun 22 2022

DCZ001-MDZ005-006-011-013-504>506-VAZ052>056-222215-
/O.EXA.KLWX.FA.A.0009.220622T1900Z-220623T0300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
District of Columbia-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-Southern Baltimore-
Prince Georges-Central and Southeast Montgomery-Northwest Howard-
Central and Southeast Howard-Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-
Fairfax-Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Stafford-Spotsylvania-
Including the cities of Silver Spring, Bowie, Arlington, Manassas,
Westminster, Fredericksburg, Falls Church, Bethesda, Chantilly,
Centreville, College Park, Reisterstown, Columbia, Falmouth,
Herndon, Alexandria, Greenbelt, McLean, Camp Springs, Rockville,
Lake Ridge, Dale City, Suitland-Silver Hill, Laurel, Ellicott City,
Reston, Montclair, Baltimore, Eldersburg, Clinton, Woodbridge,
Washington, Annandale, Cockeysville, Lisbon, Gaithersburg, and
Franconia
1003 AM EDT Wed Jun 22 2022

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible.

* WHERE...Portions of DC, Maryland and Virginia, including the
  following areas: in DC, District of Columbia. In Maryland,
  Carroll, Central and Southeast Howard, Central and Southeast
  Montgomery, Northern Baltimore, Northwest Howard, Prince Georges
  and Southern Baltimore. In Virginia, Arlington/Falls
  Church/Alexandria, Fairfax, Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park,
  Spotsylvania and Stafford.

* WHEN...From 3 PM EDT this afternoon through this evening.

* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers,
  creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - Widespread showers and thunderstorms are expected later this
    afternoon into the evening. Given a very warm and moist air
    mass, these will produce some very heavy rainfall at times.
    Rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are possible within the
    span of a couple of hours, with locally higher amounts
    possible.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

[yoda]

Updated LWX morning AFD says tornado or 2 possible this afternoon and evening as well

[Kmlwx]

6 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

There's no way we even come close to June 2006. Setup is vastly different.

Yep - completely - but just in the sense that narrow corridors could see a decent amount of training. I could see a localized spot get sig flooding this evening even as most areas get garden variety heavy rain and some isolated cases of standing water

[George BM]

87/67 at IAD currently.

[batmanbrad]

1 hour ago, Kmlwx said:

It definitely seems like a setup where if you're in the right (or wrong) place, you could get trained over pretty good this afternoon and evening. I don't *think* it'll be anything like the training I saw in June 2006, but if the railroad tracks align it could be a hazardous afternoon for the usual standing water/flooding locations. Guessing at least 5 idiots will require water rescue from vehicles today. Will guess 3 pickup trucks and two minivans. 

And a partridge in a pear tree?

[MN Transplant]

NWerly component to the wind at IAD, but DCA looks like it is in the process of flipping.

[mappy]

HRRR not giving me a lot of confidence on getting rain before 6pm

[jewell2188]

CWG update with some rather strong wording. 

[yoda]

3 minutes ago, jewell2188 said:

CWG update with some rather strong wording. 

 

 

[osfan24]

Decent cell developing to my north and dropping my way. Thundering now.

[yoda]

MCD out... STWATCH coming soon 

[Eskimo Joe]

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2022/md1249.html

[yoda]

Storms look to be intensifying as they are moving south out of MD... lot more lightning strikes showing up on radarscope

[BlizzardNole]

First shot as we are catching the edge of that cluster passing through western MontCo.  I am hoping for an inch total as we've been dry and my lawn feels like concrete when walking on it.

[osfan24]

Storm near me ended up developing more to my west and missing me. HRRR doesn't really have any of this activity so hard to trust it today.

[87storms]

these are some serious rain producers.  had one come through a little while ago.

[yoda]

Another MCD issued for C PA to extreme N MD... STWatch likely there as well soon to be issued

[Maestrobjwa]

Screw zone again, lol A severe version of winter! Sheesh...one of these days Baltimore have some fun again

[WxUSAF]

On the eastern edge of a watch box…jackpot!

[aldie 22]

Stuff dropping just west of Harrisburg should be the show for my area I think

[SnowGolfBro]

Pounding rain and lightning in Woodbridge.

[wawarriors4]

Severe Thunderstorm Warning for the Fredericksburg vicinity......

[Eskimo Joe]

Heads up Stafford. Looks like the ASOS might get cored.

[weatherCCB]

picked up 0.15” in about 5 min downpour

steam bath outside now

sunny 81/75

[wawarriors4]

6 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Heads up Stafford. Looks like the ASOS might get cored.

Live in Stafford.....lost power.

[yoda]

More storms developing up in PA... moving southward and headed toward DC metro region later on

[H2O]

Quick .11” 

Need moar 

[09-10 analogy]

Just a sprinkle here. Sun coming back out.

[WEATHER53]

Got about 3 minutes of moderate rain from round 1.  Round 2 line now descending