NorthArlington101 Posted May 27, 2022 Share Posted May 27, 2022 I dunno... the watches on 4/27 were big as well for our area and the 4 were all 40/20 probs. Probably overthinking it lolFair enough. You’ll never catch me rooting for TORs anyway but I’m in the Outer Banks so have at your 10% if you can get it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 27, 2022 Share Posted May 27, 2022 3 minutes ago, mappy said: its too early to be overthinking lol I already had a message from work come through half an hour ago (after I had alerted them to the Tornado Watch) asking if I could monitor the weather and please let them know when any severe weather approaches (STW or TWs)... so I'm on my way to Starbucks soon for coffee lol Its my day off... but since the whole building knows I am a weather nerd and management knows I'm a storm spotter for the NWS... I get drafted to assess and assist for DDC3 operations 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted May 27, 2022 Share Posted May 27, 2022 4 minutes ago, mappy said: its too early to be overthinking lol It’s too early to do ANY thinking 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted May 27, 2022 Share Posted May 27, 2022 Just now, yoda said: I already had a message from work come through half an hour (after I had alerted them to the Tornado Watch) asking if I could monitor the weather and please let them know when any severe weather approaches (STW or TWs)... so I'm on my way to Starbucks soon for coffee lol hahahaha I literally just sent the kid's principal an email about the weather. We often email on severe days that could impact schools. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted May 27, 2022 Share Posted May 27, 2022 Just now, H2O said: It’s too early to do ANY thinking Truth. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 27, 2022 Share Posted May 27, 2022 2 minutes ago, mappy said: hahahaha I literally just sent the kid's principal an email about the weather. We often email on severe days that could impact schools. We do pick and stage at my work (I am at Amazon Delivery Station full time now at DDC3 in Springfield) from 9am to 1230pm every day... which is basically getting the bags and packages set and put on the vans for delivery... so apparently it has become my job to alert for any bad weather this morning so they can hold vans or bring in any drivers from outside for their safety if needed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted May 27, 2022 Share Posted May 27, 2022 1 minute ago, yoda said: We do pick and stage at my work (I am at Amazon Delivery Station full time now at DDC3 in Springfield) from 9am to 1230pm every day... which is basically getting the bags and packages set and put on the vans for delivery... so apparently it has become my job to alert for any bad weather this morning so they can hold vans or bring in any drivers from outside for their safety if needed At least they are being prepared! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 27, 2022 Share Posted May 27, 2022 That storm that is currently TW'd in LYH should be entering the LWX CWA shortly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted May 27, 2022 Author Share Posted May 27, 2022 Regardless of the end result - should be a lengthy day of tracking. Sometimes being able to track something throughout the day, rather than just waiting for initiation all day is fun. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted May 27, 2022 Share Posted May 27, 2022 Weather Channel saying the Lynchburg one did have some debris Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted May 27, 2022 Share Posted May 27, 2022 18 minutes ago, yoda said: We do pick and stage at my work (I am at Amazon Delivery Station full time now at DDC3 in Springfield) from 9am to 1230pm every day... which is basically getting the bags and packages set and put on the vans for delivery... so apparently it has become my job to alert for any bad weather this morning so they can hold vans or bring in any drivers from outside for their safety if needed I remember that Amazon facility that got hit a while back -- can't remember where that was. That was scary! Amazon workers are the awesome sauce 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted May 27, 2022 Share Posted May 27, 2022 4 minutes ago, BlizzardNole said: I remember that Amazon facility that got hit a while back -- can't remember where that was. That was scary! Amazon workers are the awesome sauce The facility in Baltimore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted May 27, 2022 Author Share Posted May 27, 2022 10z HRRR run suggests this is the main show between 16-18z and then we get some general thunderstorms/showers later on. ETA - the RAP indicates two distinct "tongues" of instability. One with the morning activity and then another surge of higher SB/MLCAPE values later on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 27, 2022 Share Posted May 27, 2022 It begins BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 754 AM EDT Fri May 27 2022 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Nelson County in central Virginia... Southwestern Albemarle County in central Virginia... Southeastern Augusta County in western Virginia... The City of Waynesboro in western Virginia... * Until 900 AM EDT. * At 753 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Pleasant View, or 7 miles south of Forks Of Buffalo, moving northeast at 45 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Waynesboro, Stuarts Draft, Crimora, Sherando, Shipman, Schuyler, Wintergreen, Afton, Fishersville, Lyndhurst, Nellysford, Arrington, Esmont, Lovingston, Piney River, North Garden, Covesville, Yancey Mills, Tyro and Jonesboro. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. Intense thunderstorm lines can produce brief tornadoes and widespread significant wind damage. Although a tornado is not immediately likely, it is best to move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. This storm may cause serious injury and significant property damage. A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 200 PM EDT for central and western Virginia. && LAT...LON 3767 7897 3768 7897 3768 7898 3770 7898 3770 7903 3772 7906 3777 7907 3779 7909 3779 7911 3781 7914 3781 7915 3820 7884 3786 7855 3760 7893 TIME...MOT...LOC 1153Z 220DEG 38KT 3758 7922 TORNADO...POSSIBLE HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 27, 2022 Share Posted May 27, 2022 Possible TOR damage being reported in NE Bedford County per scanner traffic and dispatch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 27, 2022 Share Posted May 27, 2022 I have a feeling that Lynchburg cell is going to produce another TOR today. It seems to be coupled right with the warm front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 27, 2022 Share Posted May 27, 2022 1 minute ago, yoda said: Possible TOR damage being reported in NE Bedford County per scanner traffic and dispatch Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA 755 AM EDT Fri May 27 2022 VAC009-271215- /O.CON.KRNK.TO.W.0033.000000T0000Z-220527T1215Z/ Amherst VA- 755 AM EDT Fri May 27 2022 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 AM EDT FOR CENTRAL AMHERST COUNTY... At 753 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located near Naola, or 8 miles west of Amherst, moving northeast at 30 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. Damage has been reported per dispatch and scanner traffic in the vicinity of northeastern Bedford County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southmdwatcher Posted May 27, 2022 Share Posted May 27, 2022 A completely destroyed house as per the Bedford VA scanner. Definitely significant damage to more than one home. Bedford County Sheriff, Fire and EMS, Bedford Police Dispatch Live Audio Feed (broadcastify.com) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 27, 2022 Share Posted May 27, 2022 Definitely sounds like a tornado occurred in Bedford, VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 27, 2022 Share Posted May 27, 2022 5 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Definitely sounds like a tornado occurred in Bedford, VA. LSR says tstm wind damage for right now 000 NWUS51 KRNK 271206 LSRRNK PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 806 AM EDT FRI MAY 27 2022 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0725 AM TSTM WND DMG 2 NE GOODE 37.39N 79.36W 05/27/2022 BEDFORD VA LAW ENFORCEMENT DAMAGE TO RESIDENCES, TREES, AND POWER LINES IN THE AREA OF LANGFORD LN, BETHANY CHURCH CIRCLE/CROCKETT. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 27, 2022 Share Posted May 27, 2022 SPC issues Mesoscale Discussion #934: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2022/md0934.html 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 27, 2022 Share Posted May 27, 2022 The storm down SW of CHO seems to be strengthening... hail up to quarter size is now in the STW and continuous CG as well 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted May 27, 2022 Share Posted May 27, 2022 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 27, 2022 Share Posted May 27, 2022 Taking a look at visible satellite, it's pretty clear the CHO storm is the main player with this first line. You can see it bubbling up compared to the low stratus clouds elsewhere. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted May 27, 2022 Share Posted May 27, 2022 Meh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted May 27, 2022 Share Posted May 27, 2022 Schools dismissed yet 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 27, 2022 Share Posted May 27, 2022 Rarity around here to see the word tornadoes in the LWX ZFPs... Zone Forecast Product National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 735 AM EDT Fri May 27 2022 DCZ001-VAZ054-271500- District of Columbia-Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria- Including the cities of Washington, Arlington, Alexandria, and Falls Church 735 AM EDT Fri May 27 2022 ...TORNADO WATCH 276 IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS EVENING... .TODAY...Cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms this morning, then showers with thunderstorms likely this afternoon. Some thunderstorms may be severe with damaging winds, tornadoes, and heavy rainfall, then some thunderstorms may produce damaging winds, tornadoes, and heavy rainfall this afternoon. Highs in the upper 70s. South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. Chance of rain 90 percent. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted May 27, 2022 Share Posted May 27, 2022 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Schools dismissed yet shut your face lol 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 27, 2022 Share Posted May 27, 2022 Decent clearing behind this first line. Would definitely help with any progged afternoon activity. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted May 27, 2022 Share Posted May 27, 2022 SPC stays with 5% tor risk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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