2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)

[wawarriors4]

Sun now fully back out around Fredericksburg, temp has jumped back up

[high risk]

Still looks like that the best chance of widespread rain for those of us on the eastern side of DC is later tonight through midday Thursday.    That said, I don't like that the 18Z NAM Nest moved the axis of heaviest rain closer to the Bay.

[yoda]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
418 PM EDT Wed Jun 22 2022

The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Southwestern Loudoun County in northern Virginia...
  East central Rappahannock County in northwestern Virginia...
  Northwestern Fauquier County in northern Virginia...
  North central Culpeper County in northern Virginia...
  West central Prince William County in northern Virginia...

* Until 445 PM EDT.

* At 417 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Middleburg,
  or 14 miles west of Brambleton, moving south at 45 mph.

  THIS IS A DESTRUCTIVE STORM FOR NEAR MIDDLEBURG MOVING SOUTH
TOWARDS MARSHALL.

  HAZARD...80 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Expect considerable damage to trees and power lines. Your
           life is at significant risk if outdoors. In addition to
           some trees falling into homes, wind damage is possible to
           roofs, sheds, open garages, and mobile homes.

* Locations impacted include...
  Warrenton, Middleburg, The Plains, Delaplane, New Baltimore,
  Marshall, Broken Hill, Auburn, Casanova, Rectortown, Orlean,
  Meadowville, Halfway, Upperville, Airlie, Broad Run, Ashville and
  Ada.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3901 7791 3899 7767 3865 7769 3869 7803
TIME...MOT...LOC 2017Z 010DEG 38KT 3895 7781

THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...DESTRUCTIVE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...80 MPH

 

[George BM]

5 minutes ago, yoda said:

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
418 PM EDT Wed Jun 22 2022

The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Southwestern Loudoun County in northern Virginia...
  East central Rappahannock County in northwestern Virginia...
  Northwestern Fauquier County in northern Virginia...
  North central Culpeper County in northern Virginia...
  West central Prince William County in northern Virginia...

* Until 445 PM EDT.

* At 417 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Middleburg,
  or 14 miles west of Brambleton, moving south at 45 mph.

  THIS IS A DESTRUCTIVE STORM FOR NEAR MIDDLEBURG MOVING SOUTH
TOWARDS MARSHALL.

  HAZARD...80 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Expect considerable damage to trees and power lines. Your
           life is at significant risk if outdoors. In addition to
           some trees falling into homes, wind damage is possible to
           roofs, sheds, open garages, and mobile homes.

* Locations impacted include...
  Warrenton, Middleburg, The Plains, Delaplane, New Baltimore,
  Marshall, Broken Hill, Auburn, Casanova, Rectortown, Orlean,
  Meadowville, Halfway, Upperville, Airlie, Broad Run, Ashville and
  Ada.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3901 7791 3899 7767 3865 7769 3869 7803
TIME...MOT...LOC 2017Z 010DEG 38KT 3895 7781

THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...DESTRUCTIVE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...80 MPH

 

Seeing some 80-86mph winds on velocity scans with this one.

[George BM]

3 minutes ago, George BM said:

Seeing some 80-86mph winds on velocity scans with this one.

Now a few 91.7mph pixels. 

[MN Transplant]

4 minutes ago, George BM said:

Now a few 91.7mph pixels. 

Woof

[George BM]

Warrenton especially the west side is getting raked. Lots of 90+mph pixels on the west side of town.

[yoda]

 

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
439 PM EDT Wed Jun 22 2022

The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  East central Madison County in northwestern Virginia...
  Northeastern Orange County in central Virginia...
  East central Rappahannock County in northwestern Virginia...
  Southwestern Fauquier County in northern Virginia...
  Culpeper County in northern Virginia...

* Until 515 PM EDT.

* At 438 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Warrenton,
  moving south at 55 mph.

  THIS IS A DESTRUCTIVE STORM FOR WARRENTON MOVING SOUTH.

  HAZARD...80 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Expect considerable damage to trees and power lines. Your
           life is at significant risk if outdoors. In addition to
           some trees falling into homes, wind damage is possible to
           roofs, sheds, open garages, and mobile homes.

* Locations impacted include...
  Culpeper, Warrenton, Bealeton, Opal, Remington, Midland, Elkwood,
  Catalpa, Stevensburg, Brandy Station, Amissville, Jeffersonton,
  Flat Run, Turnbull, Winston, Cardova, Mitchells, Rixeyville, Lake
  Of The Woods and Alanthus.

[WEATHER53]

1 hour ago, MN Transplant said:

 

Gotta be over 70mph

[yoda]

2 TVS sigs on radarscope in NW VA

[Kmlwx]

WPC frontal analysis shows the backdoor front running like this - 

 

 

Would certainly explain the death of activity in the DC/Baltimore corridor. 

[Kmlwx]

Just now, yoda said:

2 TVS sigs on radarscope in NW VA

Saw one on GR2AE as well. Wonder if some of that is due to the wind from the storms blowing up against the higher terrain and inducing some circulations. 

[Maestrobjwa]

13 minutes ago, Kmlwx said:

WPC frontal analysis shows the backdoor front running like this - 

 

 

Would certainly explain the death of activity in the DC/Baltimore corridor. 

Ouch! It just had to park right there didn't it? Activity West, East, South, smh

[Eskimo Joe]

Painful setup. Miss after miss.

[IronTy]

4 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Painful setup. Miss after miss.

Yeah it's plotting E-W here too.  Thundering nonstop but no precip.  

[Kmlwx]

7 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Painful setup. Miss after miss.

That backdoor boundary seems to be killing us. 

[H2O]

Def a dead zone DC N along I-95 to Balt and up I-83

[TSG]

Heavy rain and lots of CG lightning with this complex that's been sitting over Albemarle the last hour. Starting to get nervous with that line to my north really solidifying and picking up speed..

[aldie 22]

Stuff in upstate NY will be the next big deal here

[Eskimo Joe]

1 hour ago, H2O said:

Def a dead zone DC N along I-95 to Balt and up I-83

Yea really disappointing evening. Time to get the sprinkler out.

[Maestrobjwa]

Just now, Eskimo Joe said:

Yea really disappointing evening. Time to get the sprinkler out.

I'm telling ya...storms every where but here, smh One of the more frustrating severe misses this year

[09-10 analogy]

Usually the infamous DC split is to the north and south. This time it’s to the east and west.

[WinterWxLuvr]

Been a heckuva day out here

[hstorm]

Plenty of rain in Great Falls, but mainly just some distant thunder from the Loudoun cells

[North Balti Zen]

2 hours ago, H2O said:

Def a dead zone DC N along I-95 to Balt and up I-83

super confirmed

[NorthArlington101]

super confirmed

DC might get some relief with this next wave - loud thunder again in Arlington.

[Stormpc]

DC about to train. That went up quickly.  

[NorthArlington101]

Heavy rain and lots of CG lightning with this complex that's been sitting over Albemarle the last hour. Starting to get nervous with that line to my north really solidifying and picking up speed..

Saw some light flooding pictures from friends who are still in the area.

[Maestrobjwa]

Image from 30 mins ago. Like I said...the severe version of a la nina snow, lolol

[Kmlwx]

Training potential now setting up for DC if this keeps up. Radar looks a lot more active locally than it has. Getting loud thunder here north of Silver Spring now.